The Current

ISIS has international ambitions if behind Metrojet bombing, says terrorism expert

If it turns out that ISIS is responsible for downing the Russian jet over Egypt late last month, it will mark a new chapter in the group's war on the West, and have major ripple effects the whole world over. We look at the potential consequences in Syria, in Moscow, and at airports everywhere.
People attend a religious service commemorating victims of a Russian airliner which crashed in Egypt, at St. Isaac's Cathedral in St. Petersburg, Russia November 8, 2015. (Reuters/Peter Kovalev)

Investigators are trying to determine with certainty what caused Russian Metrojet flight 9268 to break up over Egypt ten days ago -- killing all 224 people on board. But with each passing day, the theory that a bomb was to blame gains more credence. British and American intelligence officials first hinted at the possibility several days ago. Then, after rejecting the idea for a week, Russia halted flights to and from Egypt.

Now, Egyptian investigators say they are 90 per cent certain a bomb took down the plane. And American intelligence sources say they have intercepted communications which show the Russians think so too.

As the investigation proceeds, there are also growing concerns that ISIS, or an ISIS ally, may be involved. If that is confirmed, there will be ripple effects -- on the battlefields of Syria; in diplomatic backrooms across Europe and in airports everywhere. 

Chris Yates is the principle at Yates Consulting, an air safety, security and counter-terrorism firm.  He was in London, England 

If the downing of Metrojet flight 9268 is ultimately found to be an act of terror, then it will be considered the most significant attack in the skies since 9/11. And the ripple effects could be comparable as well.

For more on how Washington, Moscow, and the rest of the world would be rocked by a confirmed ISIS attack and how the world may react, we were joined by Max Abrahms. He is a political science professor at Northeastern University. He's also affiliated with the Council on Foreign Relations and the Center for Cyber and Homeland Security.

This segment was produced by The Current's Idella Sturino and Julian Uzielli.