Tracking The Impeach-O-Meter

What are Trump's odds of staying in office? Day 6's political experts track Trumps odd's from 'All good' to 'Oh &$@!!!'.
Here's how past Day 6 guests have predicted U.S. President Donald Trump's odds of staying in office on the Impeach-O-Meter. (Ben Shannon and Kevin Kirk/CBC)

When Donald Trump generates headlines, Day 6 fires up the "Impeach-O-Meter," inviting political experts to estimate the odds his presidency will end in impeachment. These are, of course, subjective and hypothetical scores and the impeachment process is complex and dependent on many factors.

Here's what our guests have said so far.     

August 24, 2018: 'Some Turbulence'

Paul Manafort, President Trump's former campaign manager, was found guilty on eight counts of financial crimes. On the same day, Micheal Cohen, the president's former personal lawyer, pleaded guilty to eight charges including campaign finance violations. Cohen went on to admit that Trump directed him to pay adult film actress Stormy Daniels $130,000 US in hush money. Washington Post opinion writer Paul Waldman raised the Impeach-O-Meter reading to 35 per cent.

July 20, 2018: 'Some Turbulence'

President Trump sparked controversy this week when he said he didn't see "any reason why" Russia would have interfered with the 2016 U.S. election, despite evidence found from his own intelligence agencies. This prompted the Irish betting house Paddy Power to raise the Impeach-O-Meter reading to 33 per cent. 

June 8, 2018: 'All Good' 

President Trump's controversial assertion that he has an "absolute right" to pardon himself amidst new revelations from the Russia investigation prompts Tina Nguyen of Vanity Fair's The Hive to raise the Impeach-O-Meter reading to 20 per cent.

March 16, 2018: 'All Good'

Democrat Conor Lamb's upset victory in a Pennsylvania special election leads Globe and Mail foreign correspondent Joanna Slater to bump the Impeach-O-Meter reading up to 15 per cent.         

Jan. 19, 2018: 'All Good'

Despite former White House chief strategist Steve Bannon's agreement to testify before prosecutors in Robert Mueller's Russia investigation, Politico reporter Darren Samuelsohn drops the Impeach-O-Meter reading all the way down to 10 per cent.

Nov. 3, 2017: 'Brace for Impact'

With the arrest of former Trump foreign policy advisor George Papadopoulos, former criminal investigator Seth Abramson pushes the Impeach-O-Meter to 65 per cent.

Sept. 29, 2017:'Some Turbulence' 

The collapse of the latest Republican health care bill causes Slate writer and editor Dahlia Lithwick to bump the Impeach-O-Meter to 35 per cent.

July 28, 2017: 'Some Turbulence' 

In-fighting in the White House and the surprise failure of a Senate vote on health care leads Quartz White House Correspondent, Heather Timmons to move the Impeach-O-Meter to 30 per cent.

July 14, 2017: 'All Good'

With Donald Trump Jr.'s admission that he met with a lawyer linked to the Russian government, BuzzFeed political writer Paul McLeod sets the Impeach-O-Meter at 20 per cent.

June 9, 2017: 'All Good' 

With Republican voters and congressional Republicans still solidly behind Trump, Upworthy writer Parker Molloy puts the Impeach-O-Meter at 15 per cent.

June 2, 2017: 'All Good'

Jared Kushner is identified as a person of interest in the Russia investigation, but with Congress still backing Trump, Lisa Goldman, founding editor at +972 Magazine, puts the Impeach-O-Meter at 10 per cent.

May 19, 2017 'All Good'

Jeet Heer, senior editor with the New Republic,delivers our inaugural Impeach-O-Meter reading, saying that "impeachment is still in the distance, but we're on the train." He puts the odds at 20 per cent.