Poll Tracker has been your guide to the 2015 Canadian election. See our results page for a detailed riding map and analysis.
Poll Tracker analyzed polls from across the country from July 15 through October 18. CBC polls analyst and ThreeHundredEight.com founder Éric Grenier analyzed which parties were gaining or losing support in the polls, who would win with the most seats if an election were held today, what's happening in the regions and how that compares to the last election. It also includes a complete list of polls.
To provide the best estimate of current voting intentions, the Poll Tracker combines data from all major public opinion polls into a weighted average. According to the latest data:
There will be 338 seats in the next House of Commons. A party needs to win 170 seats to form a majority government. Each federal electoral riding corresponds to one seat. The Poll Tracker estimates the most likely number of seats each party could win if an election were held today, based on current polling levels.
170 seats needed to win majority
Below are the regional breakdowns of the most recent seat projection. The number of seats in each province (and region) is largely determined by the proportion of the Canadian population that lives there. Due to population changes since the last election, seats have been added to B.C., Alberta, Ontario and Quebec, increasing the total number of seats in the House of Commons to 338 from 308.
All major opinion polls used in the Poll Tracker are listed below in reverse-chronological order. Click on the poll name to view the original source.
Scroll horizontally to see more columns