Chicago put on notice by Trump for homicide rate

U.S. President Donald Trump vowed on Tuesday to bring federal intervention to bear in Chicago to quell the "carnage" of gun violence plaguing America's third-largest city unless local officials can curb the murder rate on their own.

Trump likely noticed Chicago Tribune report on January figures, which follow 2016's homicide spike

Police investigate the scene of a shooting where a 23-year-old woman was shot in the chest and hand and a 25-year-old man was shot in the leg on January 1, 2017 in Chicago, Illinois. The two were shot just before midnight on December 31, making them the last of more than 4000 people shot in the city in 2016. (Scott Olson/Getty Images)

U.S. President Donald Trump vowed on Tuesday to bring federal intervention to bear in Chicago to quell the "carnage" of gun violence plaguing America's third-largest city unless local officials can curb the murder rate on their own.

Trump appeared to be seizing on a story published by the Chicago Tribune on Monday reporting at least 228 people shot in the city so far this year, up 5.5 percent from the same period last January, with at least 42 homicides to date, an increase of 23.5 percent.

A Chicago Police Department spokesman, Frank Giancamilli, disputed the Tribune's numbers, saying there were 182 shootings in the city from Jan. 1 to Jan. 23, "which is exactly flat from last year."

He said homicides have numbered 38 to date, compared with 33 for this time in 2016. Still, the Tribune said its latest figures put the city on track to exceed last January's 50 homicides, the most for that month in at least 16 years.

"If Chicago doesn't fix the horrible 'carnage' going on, 228 shootings in 2017 with 42 killings (up 24% from 2016), I will send in the Feds!" the president said in a Twitter post.

It was not clear what Trump meant by "the Feds," or what kind of unilateral government intervention he could order to address the issue.

Chicago Police Superintendent Eddie Johnson responded by saying he was "more than willing to work" in partnership with U.S. law enforcement and to help "boost federal prosecution rates for gun crimes in Chicago."

Civil rights leader Rev. Jesse Jackson said in a Twitter post: "We need a plan, not a threat. We need jobs, not jails."

Chicago's homicide toll for 2016 as a whole reached 762 killings, the most in 20 years, but a total that wouldn't rank in the worst 20 years of murderous violence according to the city's own police department statistics.

Spike follows years of below-average totals

Historically, the city's homicide rate has been of concern for decades, even as other causes of death have waned. A March 3, 1929 report in the New York Times, citing the city's public health department, noted the total homicides for the previous year (498) even outranked diptheria.

According to the city's own police department statistics, the lowest point was in 1974 when there were a record 970 homicides. The city threatened to break that record in the first half of the 1990s after a decade in which homicides ranged from 660 to 877.

In line with many other major cities, those numbers began to drop in the late 1990s and well into the new century. There have been eight years so far in the 21st century in which there were fewer than 460 homicides.

Criminologists pointed to a number of factors as opposed to one overarching reason for the drop from: stiffer penalties for gun violence enacted in previous years leading to increased incarceration rates, a bolstered police presence in at-risk communities, demographic and electronic surveillance trends, and a variety of societal trends that have seen young males spend more time indoors than previous generations.

In 2015, the year before the dramatic spike, there were 492 homicides.

The U.S. Justice department recently concluded after a year-long investigation that the Chicago police have violated the constitutional rights of residents for years, permitting racial bias against blacks, using excessive force and shooting people who did not pose immediate threats.

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Urban violence, drug trafficking and poverty were recurring themes in Trump's campaign appearances, and he periodically has cited Chicago as an example of rising inner city crime, which ticked up nationally in 2016 after a two-decade decline.

Speaking in his inauguration address about drugs and crime that "have stolen too many lives," Trump declared: "This American carnage stops right here and stops right now."

Chicago, with a population of 2.7 million, posted more shootings and homicides last year than any other U.S. city, according to FBI and Chicago police data, and its murder clearance rate, a measure of solved and closed cases, is one of the country's lowest.

On Jan. 2, Trump tweeted about Chicago's effort to lower its murder rate, saying: "If Mayor can't do it he must ask for Federal help!"

A spokesman for Mayor Rahm Emanuel, former chief of staff to Trump's Democratic predecessor, Barack Obama, said then that the mayor welcomed the prospect of working with Trump and that the two men had previously spoken together on the issue.