Topic: Éric grenier

Analysis

Liberals, NDP could use a bump in the polls — at each other's expense

Polls suggest the federal Liberals are knocking on the door of a majority government. A few more votes from New Democrat supporters could open it.
Analysis

COVID-19 and N.L.'s election results probably killed the idea of a spring federal election

The provincial election in Newfoundland and Labrador showed that a governing party can take a hit for calling a vote in the middle of a pandemic — particularly when case numbers rise.
Analysis

What a Legault-Trudeau detente might mean for the Liberals in Quebec

A better relationship between the prime minister and Quebec premier could be good news for the Liberals and bad news for their opponents.
Analysis

Change in leadership rules shows Conservative Party's old fault lines haven't gone away

Delegates to the Conservative policy convention last week voted to change how the party chooses its leaders, likely reducing the influence that Quebec and Atlantic Canada will wield in future contests.
Analysis

If he's ever going to win, Erin O'Toole needs to start broadening the Conservative tent

The Conservatives can count on a rock-solid base of about 30 per cent of the electorate, but they'll need more than that to win an election.
Analysis

Apathy might be what's keeping Canadians from ditching the monarchy

Polls suggest that support for the monarchy is a minority view in Canada — but people who really don't care who serves as this country's head of state might be the biggest bulwark against constitutional change.
Analysis

Blocked by the Bloc: how Quebec voters could decide the timing of the next election

The Liberals' lead in the polls over the Conservatives might make them bullish on their chances to win an election, but the Bloc could put a damper on their hopes for a majority government.
Analysis

Unlike past Conservative leaders, Erin O'Toole has enjoyed no bump in the polls

After their first 200 days in the job, past Conservative leaders saw their party's support in the polls increase. Under Erin O'Toole, the Conservatives have just as much support today as they did when he took over.
Analysis

Singh's NDP could gain a little — and lose a lot — in a spring election

The NDP has seen its support increase in national polls for several reasons. Some are promising for the party, but others suggest the gains are not quite what they seem.
Analysis

Trudeau's poll numbers took a hit over vaccine delays — but the Liberals escaped the worst

The prime minister's approval ratings have slipped but the Liberals still lead in the polls. And now more vaccines are on their way.
Analysis

Justin Trudeau is now the old man of the federation — and he didn't have to wait very long

Few prime ministers have held seniority around the first ministers' table — and none of them were younger than Justin Trudeau is now when they achieved it.
Analysis

Why Conservatives can't turn their backs on their western base

The Conservatives need to win over voters in central and Eastern Canada to win the next election — but that doesn't mean they can afford to ignore their base in the West.
Analysis

What's a safe lead in the polls? History suggests Trudeau's lead isn't enough

The Liberals lead in the polls, but not by a wide enough margin that they can be reasonably confident of winning an election if they call one early.

Conservatives, Liberals and Bloc end 2020 with record-breaking fundraising quarter

A global pandemic did not prevent Canadians from opening their wallets and donating to political parties.
Analysis

Annamie Paul's plan to win a seat in Ontario is a risky bet that could pay off big

Green Party Leader Annamie Paul wants to win a seat in Ontario in the next election, but which one gives her the best shot at winning?
Analysis

For Trudeau, there's no political reason to fight for Keystone XL

Polls suggest Canadians want this country's relationship with the U.S. to work — and the voters who most want the prime minister to go to bat for Keystone XL are among those least likely to vote for him.
Analysis

Booted from caucus, Derek Sloan faces long odds if he pursues re-election

Derek Sloan's chances of winning his seat again don't look good, whether he runs as an Independent or gets the help of Maxime Bernier's People's Party.
Analysis

Governments with rookie leaders don't always have it easy in N.L. elections

Throughout Canadian history, incumbent governments with new leaders have struggled to secure re-election. That's especially the case in Newfoundland and Labrador.
Analysis

Few MPs are opting out of the next election — so far

While minority governments tend to see fewer MPs retiring at the end of their terms than majority governments, the current rate of retirements is lower than usual.
Analysis

What the cabinet shuffle does (and doesn't) say about the next election

Tuesday's cabinet shuffle doesn't mean an election is coming, but it does put some pieces into place for the Liberals for when it does.
Analysis

2021's electoral calendar looks light — but it could get much busier

Just one province is scheduled to hold an election in 2021, but a few other provinces (and the country as a whole) could find themselves going to the polls ahead of schedule.
Analysis

What if? How politics in 2020 might have looked if the pandemic had never happened

What if the U.S. election had been about the economy and not the pandemic? Would Justin Trudeau's minority government have survived if 2020 had been politics as usual?
Analysis

Anxious voters were looking for safety in pandemic-year elections

The pandemic didn't keep people from the polls in Canada — but it did help to keep governments in power as incumbents were re-elected in three provincial elections. That wasn't the only common thread linking 2020's votes.
Analysis

Liberals end year with national polling lead as opposition parties struggle to gain ground

The Liberals have more support in the polls today than they did a year ago, with gains in every part of the country. The Conservatives, NDP and Bloc, however, are no further ahead.
Analysis

Across Canada, polls suggest it's (mostly) better to be in power during a pandemic

Though some leaders have come down from their spring peaks, polls suggest governing leaders and parties in Canada still have more support today than they did before the pandemic began.

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