The Pollcast: Manitoba goes to the polls

On the latest episode of The Pollcast, pollster Curtis Brown sets up the newly-called (and early) Manitoba provincial election.

Probe Research's Curtis Brown sets up the early election in Manitoba

On Monday, Manitoba Progressive Conservative Leader Brian Pallister kicked off the provincial election that will be held on Sept. 10. (David Lipnowski / Canadian Press)

Manitobans will be heading to the polls twice this year, with PC Leader Brian Pallister pulling the plug early on his majority government and calling an election for Sept. 10 — just a little more than a month before all Canadians cast their ballots in the Oct. 21 federal election.

The Manitoba Progressive Conservatives ended 17 years of NDP government in 2016, winning a record-setting majority government with 53 per cent of the vote and 40 of the provincial legislature's 57 seats.

The New Democrats, under then-premier Greg Selinger, were reduced to just 14 seats and 26 per cent of the vote.

The next election in Manitoba was only scheduled for 2020, but the polls suggest that Pallister is on track to win re-election this year despite the early call. While there is an opportunity for NDP Leader Wab Kinew to make some gains for his party, to do so he will have to hold-off Dougald Lamont's Liberals and the Greens under James Beddome.

To break down the electoral landscape in Manitoba as the provincial campaign kicks off, Pollcast host and CBC polls analyst Éric Grenier is joined by Curtis Brown, principal at Probe Research, a Winnipeg-based polling firm.

Is Manitoba going to have voter fatigue this fall? Pollster Curtis Brown sets up the newly-called (and early) Manitoba provincial election and talks about what impact it could have on the federal vote. 22:48

Listen to the full discussion above — or subscribe to the CBC Pollcast and listen to past episodes of the show.

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