The Pollcast: A last look at the Conservative leadership race

Host Éric Grenier is joined by Conservative insiders Tim Powers and Chad Rogers to breakdown the Conservative leadership race for the last time.

Host Éric Grenier is joined by Conservative insiders Tim Powers and Chad Rogers

The next leader of the Conservative Party will be announced on Saturday. (The Canadian Press / Nathan Denette)

The CBC Pollcast, hosted by CBC poll analyst Éric Grenier, explores the world of electoral politics, political polls and the trends they reveal.

​Most of the votes have already been cast. The identity of the next leader of the Conservative Party is somewhere in the mass of ballots sitting in a counting room in Vaughan, Ont. Once those ballots are processed, the result will be revealed on Saturday night.

Who will emerge as the next leader of Her Majesty's Official Opposition and the person to take on Justin Trudeau's Liberals in 2019?

Before a single person had put his or her name forward, Pollcast host Éric Grenier has been joined by Conservative insiders Chad Rogers of Crestview Strategy and Tim Powers of Summa Strategies to break down the race. They come back one more time to give their final thoughts before the next leader is named.

Do Michael Chong or Kellie Leitch have a path to victory? What impact could social conservatives Pierre Lemieux and Brad Trost have on the vote? Can either Erin O'Toole or Andrew Scheer garner enough second choice support to surpass Maxime Bernier?

And just how much of a favourite is Bernier?

Listen to the full discussion above — or subscribe to the CBC Pollcast and listen to past episodes.

Past episodes with Chad Rogers and Tim Powers on the Conservative leadership race:

Follow Éric Grenier and Tim Powers on Twitter.


To encourage thoughtful and respectful conversations, first and last names will appear with each submission to CBC/Radio-Canada's online communities (except in children and youth-oriented communities). Pseudonyms will no longer be permitted.

By submitting a comment, you accept that CBC has the right to reproduce and publish that comment in whole or in part, in any manner CBC chooses. Please note that CBC does not endorse the opinions expressed in comments. Comments on this story are moderated according to our Submission Guidelines. Comments are welcome while open. We reserve the right to close comments at any time.