The Pollcast: U.S. primaries move to New Hampshire - and the unknown

After some unexpected results in Iowa, the primaries in New Hampshire could be in for their own surprises. Can Donald Trump rebound? Will Marco Rubio take advantage of his new momentum? And what about Bernie Sanders? FiveThirtyEight's Harry Enten breaks it down with Éric Grenier.

Host Éric Grenier is joined by FiveThirtyEight's Harry Enten for this week's podcast

Bernie Sanders, Ted Cruz, Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are among the politicians vying for the Democratic or Republican presidential nominations. (Associated Press)

The CBC Pollcast, hosted by CBC poll analyst and ThreeHundredEight.com founder Éric Grenier, explores the world of electoral politics, political polls and the trends they reveal.

With Donald Trump losing to Ted Cruz and Hillary Clinton beating Bernie Sanders by the slimmest of margins, the Iowa caucuses had some surprising results. And those results have the potential to throw the U.S. primaries into completely new territory.

Joining Éric Grenier this week to break down what Iowa means and what to expect in New Hampshire, which votes in its primaries on Tuesday, is Harry Enten, senior political writer and analyst for FiveThirtyEight.com.

The stakes are high on the Republican side, with Trump needing a win to erase the disappointment of losing Iowa. But a lot is also riding on the performance of Marco Rubio, who put up a strong showing in Iowa, where he finished third. New Hampshire is his opportunity to consolidate his position as the favourite candidate of the Republican establishment.

But where things will go from New Hampshire is the real question, as primaries and caucuses move to more representative states.

Today on the Pollcast, we’re going States Side. Primary season is on in the United States and to help us break down what’s going on, we called Harry Enten. He’s a senior political writer and analyst for FiveThirtyEight.com.

Listen to the full discussion above — or subscribe to The CBC Pollcast and listen to past episodes.

You can follow Éric Grenier and Harry Enten on Twitter.


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