Éric Grenier

Politics and polls

Éric Grenier is a senior writer and the CBC's polls analyst. He was the founder of ThreeHundredEight.com and has written for The Globe and Mail, Huffington Post Canada, The Hill Times, Le Devoir, and L’actualité.

Latest from Éric Grenier


Doug Ford's PCs enter final year before election in the lead, but vulnerable

With one year to go before the 2022 provincial election, the Ontario PCs still hold a lead in the polls — but that could disappear if the divided opposition vote gets behind one party.

The Liberals' path to a possible majority government runs through Quebec

The Liberals are taking on the Bloc Québécois in Quebec, hoping to wrest enough seats from the party in the next election to make their path to a majority government easier.

Erin O'Toole isn't breaking through — and Jason Kenney and Doug Ford aren't helping

Polls suggest the federal Conservatives haven't been able to close the gap on the Liberals — and the premiers of Ontario and Alberta aren't making it any easier on them.

The pandemic election bill is a political football now — and may be unnecessary

C-19, a bill to make holding elections safer during a pandemic, has become a political football — but some of its provisions might do more harm than good.

How a vacancy in a safe Conservative seat could mean headaches for Erin O'Toole

Following the resignation of former Conservative MP Diane Finley, a byelection will take place in the Ontario riding of Haldimand–Norfolk — if there is no general election in the fall.

Independence movements in Scotland, Quebec heading in different directions

As Scots contemplate becoming an independent country again — just seven years after deciding against it in a 2014 referendum — Quebec seems further away from independence than it has been for decades.

Conservatives break fundraising records but struggle to break through with voters

Fundraising records are there to be broken, at least if you're the Conservative Party. But why hasn't voter support for the Conservatives grown at the same pace as their bank account?

A Harper dynasty and the end of the Liberals? How the 2011 election didn't change everything

At the time, the 2011 federal election seemed like it was ushering in a new era in Canadian politics. Ten years later, it looks more like the exception than a new rule.

Doug Ford's popularity plummets as pandemic takes its toll

The last week has been a bad one for the Ontario premier. Polls suggest his recent handling of the pandemic has sapped his support.

To win the next election, the Conservatives need to be taken seriously on climate change

Conservative Leader Erin O'Toole's new climate change plan amounts to a tricky balancing act. Will it attract enough swing voters to make up for any potential losses from a voter base inclined to oppose carbon taxes?