Éric Grenier

Politics and polls

Éric Grenier is a senior writer and the CBC's polls analyst. He was the founder of ThreeHundredEight.com and has written for The Globe and Mail, Huffington Post Canada, The Hill Times, Le Devoir, and L’actualité.

Latest from Éric Grenier


To win the next election, the Conservatives need to be taken seriously on climate change

Conservative Leader Erin O'Toole's new climate change plan amounts to a tricky balancing act. Will it attract enough swing voters to make up for any potential losses from a voter base inclined to oppose carbon taxes?

Yukon's election shows why every vote matters — especially for Justin Trudeau's Liberals

The Yukon territorial election ended in a tie, but the performance of the conservative Yukon Party could mean the federal Liberals end up struggling to hold the territory's federal seat.

Liberals, NDP could use a bump in the polls — at each other's expense

Polls suggest the federal Liberals are knocking on the door of a majority government. A few more votes from New Democrat supporters could open it.

COVID-19 and N.L.'s election results probably killed the idea of a spring federal election

The provincial election in Newfoundland and Labrador showed that a governing party can take a hit for calling a vote in the middle of a pandemic — particularly when case numbers rise.

What a Legault-Trudeau detente might mean for the Liberals in Quebec

A better relationship between the prime minister and Quebec premier could be good news for the Liberals and bad news for their opponents.

Change in leadership rules shows Conservative Party's old fault lines haven't gone away

Delegates to the Conservative policy convention last week voted to change how the party chooses its leaders, likely reducing the influence that Quebec and Atlantic Canada will wield in future contests.

If he's ever going to win, Erin O'Toole needs to start broadening the Conservative tent

The Conservatives can count on a rock-solid base of about 30 per cent of the electorate, but they'll need more than that to win an election.

Apathy might be what's keeping Canadians from ditching the monarchy

Polls suggest that support for the monarchy is a minority view in Canada — but people who really don't care who serves as this country's head of state might be the biggest bulwark against constitutional change.

Blocked by the Bloc: how Quebec voters could decide the timing of the next election

The Liberals' lead in the polls over the Conservatives might make them bullish on their chances to win an election, but the Bloc could put a damper on their hopes for a majority government.

Unlike past Conservative leaders, Erin O'Toole has enjoyed no bump in the polls

After their first 200 days in the job, past Conservative leaders saw their party's support in the polls increase. Under Erin O'Toole, the Conservatives have just as much support today as they did when he took over.