Éric Grenier

Politics and polls

Éric Grenier is a senior writer and the CBC's polls analyst. He was the founder of ThreeHundredEight.com and has written for The Globe and Mail, Huffington Post Canada, The Hill Times, Le Devoir, and L’actualité.

Latest from Éric Grenier


Justin Trudeau is now the old man of the federation — and he didn't have to wait very long

Few prime ministers have held seniority around the first ministers' table — and none of them were younger than Justin Trudeau is now when they achieved it.

Why Conservatives can't turn their backs on their western base

The Conservatives need to win over voters in central and Eastern Canada to win the next election — but that doesn't mean they can afford to ignore their base in the West.

What's a safe lead in the polls? History suggests Trudeau's lead isn't enough

The Liberals lead in the polls, but not by a wide enough margin that they can be reasonably confident of winning an election if they call one early.

Conservatives, Liberals and Bloc end 2020 with record-breaking fundraising quarter

A global pandemic did not prevent Canadians from opening their wallets and donating to political parties.

Annamie Paul's plan to win a seat in Ontario is a risky bet that could pay off big

Green Party Leader Annamie Paul wants to win a seat in Ontario in the next election, but which one gives her the best shot at winning?

For Trudeau, there's no political reason to fight for Keystone XL

Polls suggest Canadians want this country's relationship with the U.S. to work — and the voters who most want the prime minister to go to bat for Keystone XL are among those least likely to vote for him.

Booted from caucus, Derek Sloan faces long odds if he pursues re-election

Derek Sloan's chances of winning his seat again don't look good, whether he runs as an Independent or gets the help of Maxime Bernier's People's Party.

Governments with rookie leaders don't always have it easy in N.L. elections

Throughout Canadian history, incumbent governments with new leaders have struggled to secure re-election. That's especially the case in Newfoundland and Labrador.

Few MPs are opting out of the next election — so far

While minority governments tend to see fewer MPs retiring at the end of their terms than majority governments, the current rate of retirements is lower than usual.

What the cabinet shuffle does (and doesn't) say about the next election

Tuesday's cabinet shuffle doesn't mean an election is coming, but it does put some pieces into place for the Liberals for when it does.