Latest from Éric Grenier
Analysis
For Rachel Notley and the Alberta NDP, the dial isn't moving fast enough
After three weeks on the campaign trail, the NDP needed a sign they were turning things around. They haven't gotten one.
Analysis
Alberta's election comes down to Calgary — again
In Alberta's elections, parties need to win any two of Edmonton, Calgary and the rest of the province to form a government. That's why Calgary will decide the outcome this time.
Analysis
With Wilson-Raybould and Philpott, the Commons' crew of Independent MPs enters uncharted territory
Wilson-Raybould and Philpott have joined a record-setting cohort of independents and MPs from 'unrecognized' parties.
METHODOLOGY
Election vote and seat projections
Full methodology for Éric Grenier's vote and seat projections.
Analysis
Atlantic Canada goes from stronghold to point of vulnerability for Liberals
In a sense, the public outline of the SNC-Lavalin scandal emerged in Atlantic Canada with Scott Brison's resignation - and polls suggest it's in Atlantic Canada that the Liberals have suffered the most.
Analysis
Votes in B.C. and P.E.I. give the Greens two shots at making history
A federal byelection may offer the Green Party a chance to elect a second MP for the first time — just days after a P.E.I. provincial election that could create some momentum with a first-ever Green government.
Analysis
Speaker Regan's 'naming and shaming' approach to hecklers isn't working
MPs will sit in the new House of Commons for the first time on Monday, but it will be as noisy as ever.
Analysis
Rachel Notley's NDP starts Alberta campaign with big hill to climb
Rachel Notley and the NDP have plenty of ground to make up in the next several weeks if they're going to make the Alberta election race competitive with Jason Kenney's United Conservatives.
Analysis
As Liberals slip in key demographics, they hope the budget can stop the bleeding
The stakes are higher than usual for an election year budget, as the Liberals' electoral fortunes take a turn for the worse.
Analysis
Singh's Quebec strategy has the NDP fishing in a small pool
The NDP is looking to change the narrative in Quebec and is drawing inspiration from a left-wing, sovereigntist provincial party.
How to follow the polls in a tumultuous election year
With little more than seven months to go, the Conservatives have the edge. Here's how you can keep track of what happens between now and election day.
Analysis
Liberals have taken a polling hit over SNC Lavalin - but Trudeau's taken a bigger one
The latest polls suggest that Justin Trudeau, rather than the Liberal Party, has been hurt most by the SNC-Lavalin affair.
Analysis
Win, lose or draw? Byelection results suggest struggles ahead for major parties
The three major parties all came out of last night's byelections with reasons to celebrate - and even more reasons to worry.
Analysis
How today's byelections preview the key themes of this fall's federal election
Monday's federal byelections should shine a spotlight on some of the big themes of this election year.
Analysis
First post-SNC-Lavalin polls look bad for Trudeau Liberals
The Liberals were on track for re-election at year's end - but the SNC-Lavalin affair has taken its toll on Prime Minister Justin Trudeau.