Éric Grenier

Politics and polls

Éric Grenier is a senior writer and the CBC's polls analyst. He was the founder of ThreeHundredEight.com and has written for The Globe and Mail, Huffington Post Canada, The Hill Times, Le Devoir, and L’actualité.

Latest from Éric Grenier


Booted from caucus, Derek Sloan faces long odds if he pursues re-election

Derek Sloan's chances of winning his seat again don't look good, whether he runs as an Independent or gets the help of Maxime Bernier's People's Party.

Governments with rookie leaders don't always have it easy in N.L. elections

Throughout Canadian history, incumbent governments with new leaders have struggled to secure re-election. That's especially the case in Newfoundland and Labrador.

Few MPs are opting out of the next election — so far

While minority governments tend to see fewer MPs retiring at the end of their terms than majority governments, the current rate of retirements is lower than usual.

What the cabinet shuffle does (and doesn't) say about the next election

Tuesday's cabinet shuffle doesn't mean an election is coming, but it does put some pieces into place for the Liberals for when it does.

2021's electoral calendar looks light — but it could get much busier

Just one province is scheduled to hold an election in 2021, but a few other provinces (and the country as a whole) could find themselves going to the polls ahead of schedule.

What if? How politics in 2020 might have looked if the pandemic had never happened

What if the U.S. election had been about the economy and not the pandemic? Would Justin Trudeau's minority government have survived if 2020 had been politics as usual?

Anxious voters were looking for safety in pandemic-year elections

The pandemic didn't keep people from the polls in Canada — but it did help to keep governments in power as incumbents were re-elected in three provincial elections. That wasn't the only common thread linking 2020's votes.

Liberals end year with national polling lead as opposition parties struggle to gain ground

The Liberals have more support in the polls today than they did a year ago, with gains in every part of the country. The Conservatives, NDP and Bloc, however, are no further ahead.

Across Canada, polls suggest it's (mostly) better to be in power during a pandemic

Though some leaders have come down from their spring peaks, polls suggest governing leaders and parties in Canada still have more support today than they did before the pandemic began.

Annamie Paul's low profile isn't helping the Greens, polls suggest

Two months after becoming the new leader of the Green Party, polls suggest Annamie Paul has yet to register with a majority of Canadians.

The pandemic was already polarizing — now vaccines have become partisan as well

In the latest sign that the pandemic is politically polarized, polls suggest Canadians who support the Liberals or New Democrats are on average more willing to be vaccinated than those who support the Conservatives.

Erin O'Toole's Conservatives are not immune from the struggles of pandemic-rattled premiers

Satisfaction with how premiers Jason Kenney and Brian Pallister have handled the pandemic is dropping. So is Conservative support in their provinces.

Canada's pandemic elections haven't seen the same polling problems the U.S. just experienced

Doubts about polling are on the rise again in the U.S. in the wake of the presidential election — but that doesn't mean the polls on this side of the border are also suspect.

Why it's still too soon to write off the U.S. election polls

Polls in the U.S. suggested Joe Biden was the favourite to win, but the margin is looking narrower than most expected. Did they get it wrong again?

Where Biden and Trump still need votes to win — and why the election is as close as it looks

A lot of votes still have to be counted in the 2020 U.S. presidential election — and there are enough of them to make the difference between a Joe Biden presidency and a Donald Trump re-election.