Éric Grenier

Politics and polls

Éric Grenier is a senior writer and the CBC's polls analyst. He was the founder of ThreeHundredEight.com and has written for The Globe and Mail, Huffington Post Canada, The Hill Times, Le Devoir, and L’actualité.

Latest from Éric Grenier

Analysis

Why winning the most votes might not be enough for Brian Gallant's Liberals

If demography is destiny, the Liberals could find themselves winning the popular vote but not the election on Sept. 24.
Analysis

Couillard's Liberals need English debate to resonate beyond anglophones

Polls suggest that Philippe Couillard's Liberals can continue to bank on the non-francophone vote, but they'll need more than that to beat François Legault's CAQ.
Analysis

From the dustbin of history, a warning for Max Bernier

Will Maxime Bernier follow in the footsteps of another former Conservative cabinet minister who formed a new party and contributed to his old party's defeat?
Analysis

NDP, Liberals put contrasting electoral ambitions on display in caucus gatherings

The Liberals and New Democrats are holding their national caucus meetings in different parts of the country this week — and their choices of venue suggest that one party could be playing small ball with its plans for the coming federal election, while the other is swinging for the fences.
Analysis

How a CAQ majority win in Quebec's election could make history

Never has a party in Quebec won a majority government with less than 38 per cent of the vote. The Coalition Avenir Québec could end up doing just that on Oct. 1.

Federal NDP ended 2017 deep in the red, filings show

Annual returns filed with Elections Canada show the NDP in its worst financial shape in at least 16 years.
Analysis

Smaller parties poised to play bigger role in N.B. election

The Greens, New Democrats and People's Alliance could take a big share of the vote in the Sept. 24 election. What impact will that have on the outcome?
Analysis

Jagmeet Singh's NDP is losing incumbents and that could hurt in 2019

A higher share of the NDP's caucus is not running for re-election than in previous years. What does it mean for the party?
Analysis

Maxime Bernier's impact on next election could be big, even if his party isn't

The Conservatives have a lot to lose, and the Liberals a lot to gain, if Maxime Bernier is successful in building up a new party.
Analysis

Despite one good poll for the Liberals, the CAQ remains in control

A new survey suggests the Liberals might be closer to the CAQ than previously thought — but does it change anything? Not necessarily.
Analysis

Andrew Scheer's unlikely path to victory: Social conservatives and Quebec

Andrew Scheer's narrow victory over Maxime Bernier for the Conservative leadership can be chalked up to two factors: Bernier's underperformance in his home province of Quebec and a significant showing from social conservatives.
Analysis

New Brunswick's provincial campaign to kick off as a toss-up

Polls suggest Brian Gallant's Liberals can't take re-election on Sept. 24 for granted.
Analysis

Maxime Bernier has a base. Is it big enough to protect him?

Questions about Maxime Bernier's recent behaviour on social media pose a stark choice for his party: punish him and risk the wrath of his supporters, or leave him alone and risk the distraction he creates as the election approaches.
Analysis

Jagmeet Singh tours Quebec, where the NDP faces a fight to hang on

Not for the first time, the NDP is trying to turn things around in Quebec.
Analysis

François Legault's CAQ has the edge as Quebec provincial election approaches

The Coalition Avenir Québec likely would win a majority government if a provincial election were held today in Quebec, according to the first projection of the CBC's Quebec Poll Tracker.