Canada

Long, cold, messy winter that's 'more frozen than thawed' ahead for most of Canada

November has already brought historically early snowfall in southern Ontario and power outages in the Prairies, setting what the Weather Network's chief meteorologist says will be a trend throughout a winter that's expected to be long, cold and messy.

Yukon, B.C. expected to be only parts of the country where spring could show up early

The first significant snowfall in Ottawa happened Nov. 12. The month has brought historically early snowfall in parts of Ontario and power outages in the Prairies, setting the tone for the winter, according to the forecast. (Justin Tang/The Canadian Press)

It's going to be a long, cold and messy winter across much of Canada, according to the seasonal forecast released Monday by the Weather Network.

November has already brought historically early snowfall in southern Ontario and power outages in the Prairies, setting what chief meteorologist Chris Scott said will be a trend throughout the winter.

"The upcoming winter across the country looks to be more frozen than thawed, and we've already seen an early entrance of winter weather this fall," he said. "The signs that we're seeing this year do suggest we're in for a winter that's more on than off across the country — and that it's going to be fairly long for many Canadians."

But things are looking a little better in British Columbia, where Scott said temperatures will be slightly above normal and precipitation will be just below normal.

Favourable ski conditions in B.C.

However, he said, there may still be a two-week period where winter shows up out of the blue on the Pacific coast. Conditions will also likely be favourable in British Columbia's ski areas, despite the slightly higher temperatures.

In Alberta, Scott said, there will be above-normal precipitation in the south, with especially frigid temperatures throughout the province.

The trend of a deep freeze will continue through Saskatchewan and Manitoba. That's especially the case in the southern parts of the Prairies, where Scott said he expects cold air to anchor down for the season.

From southern Ontario to southern Quebec, Scott said, people can prepare for a winter that's colder than usual and has much more precipitation than normal.

He expects it to be stormy throughout Quebec and Ontario, but said there will be a mix of precipitation. That means rain could often wash out snow after large dumps, and that there could be potential for icy conditions

"Once we settle into winter, it does not look like an early spring," Scott said. 

He said winter in Ontario and Quebec will be a slog towards the end. In fact, all the provinces east of Manitoba will likely face a prolonged winter season, Scott said. Spring weather is only forecasted to arrive in late March or early April.

Stormy season

In Atlantic Canada, Scott predicted it won't be bitterly cold, but will be a stormy season.

"It's going to be a real mess depending on where you are."

There will likely be lots of snow in New Brunswick and Prince Edward Island, Scott said, while in Nova Scotia, it will be a mix of snow, ice and rain.

In Newfoundland and Labrador, Scott said, snowfall will be average.

Scott said Nunavut and the Northwest Territories will likely experience average winter conditions, which would buck a recent trend of warmer-than-usual winters in the Far North.

"In years past we've seen the climate change signal where we get warmer-than-normal winters, and that's something we're going to see for years and decades to come," Scott said.

But he said this year is an exception, especially because near the North Pole, colder air tends to trend near Nunavut as opposed to near Russia and Scandinavia.

But in Yukon, the winter will likely be warmer than normal, Scott added.

Yukon and British Columbia are also the only parts of the country where spring could show up early in 2020. Scott said the rest of the country should get ready for a harsh and prolonged season.

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