Meteorologist Drew Lerner predicts average crop year

A leading meteorologist from the United States is forecasting an average to above average crop year for Saskatchewan.

Two record years in a row unlikely for Saskatchewan, meterologist says

It takes a lot of big machines to bring in the harvest, particularly the 2013 bumper crop in Saskatchewan. (Courtesy Paul Dornstauder)

A leading meteorologist from the United States is forecasting an average, to above average, crop year for Saskatchewan.

Drew Lerner said 2014 is unlikely to be the record-breaker last year was, but it should still turn out pretty good.

Lerner expects spring seeding will get off to a good start. The eastern half of the province won't be beset with the kind of flooding and sodden fields seen in recent years.

"In the western part of Saskatchewan we will see a drier flavour so planting will go aggressively," Lerner said. "We'll probably be in the fields quicker, especially the closer you are to Alberta."

He said moisture will mostly come from snow melt in that area.

Wild card

Through the summer, Lerner foresees a lot of storm systems along the U.S. border.

"Those will likely generate a fairly regular occurrence of rainfall so that the southern parts of Saskatchewan will do fairly well," he said.

But the northwest may not fare as well, with below average rainfall and warmer temperatures, perhaps putting some crops under stress.

There is one wild card in Lerner's projections. He said if the drought in the western U.S. persists, it could extend into the Canadian prairies "reducing rain and making it hotter and creating a bit of a scare for our production potential."