PEI

Liberal support drops to lowest level since the 2015 election, according to poll

Liberal support fell despite very little movement in the level of satisfaction in the performance of the government or in the popularity of Premier Wade MacLauchlan.

Corporate Research Associates poll was conducted in May

Liberal support dropped, PC support rebounded and Green support held steady in the most recent CRA poll. (Natalia Goodwin/CBC/Province of P.E.I.)

Liberal support fell despite very little movement in the level of satisfaction in the performance of the government or in the popularity of Premier Wade MacLauchlan in a poll released Wednesday.

The poll is from Corporate Research Associates, and was based on telephone interviews done from May 2 to 28.

If an election were held today on Prince Edward Island, for which party would you vote?
November February May
Liberal 37% 42% 34%
Green 25% 34% 33%
PC 28% 17% 26%
NDP 11% 6% 7%

With Liberal support down, the Green Party holding, and Progressive Conservative support up — and given the margin of error in the poll — it is not possible to definitively say which of the three parties is leading.

"The three parties are completely competitive at the moment," said Don Mills, CEO of CRA. "Any one of the parties, if there was an election held today, would stand a reasonably good chance of winning that election."

Party popularity was based on a sample size of 400 decided voters, providing a margin of error of 4.9 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. The total number of people polled was 600. Two hundred did not respond to the party preference question, saying they didn't know, did not plan to vote, or did not want to say.

The government satisfaction rate rose from 51 per cent to 52 per cent — February to May.

Green Leader Peter Bevan-Baker remained Islanders' first choice for premier with the support of 39 per cent of people polled in May. MacLauchlan polled 24 per cent, down slightly from February, and PC Leader James Aylward was favoured by 17 per cent in this most recent poll.

These figures have a margin of error of 4.0 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.

The popularity of the Liberal Party is at its lowest level in a CRA poll since 2004 .

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