Nfld. & Labrador

'Undecided' leads all provincial parties in latest MQO poll

When undecided voters are factored out, Liberals lead the PCs 48 per cent to 36 per cent.

Liberals lead among decided or leaning voters with 48%

From left, Liberal Leader Dwight Ball, Progressive Conservative Leader Ches Crosbie, NDP Leader Alison Coffin and NL Alliance Leader Graydon Pelley are all vying to be the next premier of Newfoundland and Labrador. (CBC)

The Newfoundland and Labrador Liberals remain the most popular political party heading into the May 16 general election, if the latest poll results released by MQO Research are any indication.

But the most popular choice isn't a party at all — it's "undecided."

In a poll of 600 residents conducted in the spring, 39 per cent said they didn't yet know who they'd be voting for. 

Among the respondents who had decided, 48 per cent said they'd support the Liberals. That's up four percentage points from MQO's previous poll.

Support for the Progressive Conservatives dropped six percentage points, to 36 per cent of decided voters.

A look at the poll results trends, as tracked by MQO Research. (MQO Research)

For the New Democrats and NL Alliance, there was not much change, with 11 per cent and two per cent of decided or leaning respondents, respectively.

When undecided voters are factored in, the Liberals lead all parties with 25 per cent, the PCs are five points behind at 20 per cent, with the NDP and NL Alliance at six per cent and one per cent, respectively.

Approval for the party leaders is more or less in line with party ratings.

MQO's results among voters polled have Liberal Dwight Ball at 47 per cent approval, Tory Ches Crosbie at 37 per cent, NDP's Alison Coffin at 12 per cent, and NL Alliance's Graydon Pelley at four per cent.

Overall, the leadership of Dwight Ball as premier averages around a rating of five out of 10.

MQO Research poll results on leadership of Dwight Ball. (MQO Research)

But the provincial outlook remains a bit bleak, with 41 per cent of respondents reporting their outlook had worsened over the past three months. That number is down only three percentage points since the latest MQO poll in January.

Of the people polled, 44 per cent said their outlook remain unchanged, with 13 per cent saying things had improved.

The MQO Atlantic Matters poll was conducted by telephone from April 25 to May 4 and includes 600 randomly selected eligible voters from across the province. The margin of error for the sample is plus or minus four percentage points, 19 times out of 20.

Read more from CBC Newfoundland and Labrador


  • A previous version of this story erroneously combined the results among decided voters with the undecided results and said the second most popular response was "undecided." In fact, among all respondents, "undecided" was the most common response.
    May 07, 2019 1:16 PM NT


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