Nfld. & Labrador

Latest Abacus poll shows wide Liberal lead over Tories, NDP

Less than a week before the Newfoundland and Labrador election, a new poll suggests the Liberals continue to lead, despite a slight dip in voter support.

Liberals are ahead, despite many feeling province heading in right direction

Paul Davis (left), Dwight Ball and Earle McCurdy (right) are battling to be Newfoundland and Labrador's next leader. (CBC)

Less than a week before the Newfoundland and Labrador election, a new poll suggests the Liberals continue to lead, despite a slight dip in voter support.

Abacus Data released numbers Thursday which suggest Dwight Ball's party will win big if the same trend continues until Nov. 30.

A province-wide survey suggests the Liberals have the support of 64 per cent of decided voters, a slight drop of two percentage points since the start of the campaign.

An Abacus poll released Thursday suggests support for the Tories has increased but only slightly since the start of the election campaign. (Abacus Data)

The PCs saw a three percentage point increase in support to 22 per cent.

The NDP has seen a two percentage point decrease in voter support, with 13 per cent of voters indicating they would vote for Earle McCurdy's party.

Twelve per cent of respondents said they were undecided.

The company surveyed 700 people by phone between Sunday and Tuesday.

It has a margin of error of three-point-eight percentage points, 19 times out of 20.

'Somewhat' closer race on the Avalon

St. John's and the Avalon peninsula will see the tightest race, the poll results suggest, with 57 per cent support for the Liberals, 25 per cent for the Tories and 18 per cent for the NDP.

Abacus Data noted the provincial-wide data shows support for the Liberal Party mirrors that of its federal counterpart during the election in October.

As for leadership, Paul Davis has seen improvement with 39 per cent of voters indicating a positive impression of the PC leader. That's a jump of seven points. 

Ball continues to lead with 50 per cent of respondents said he made a positive impression.

McCurdy has been seen positively by 25 per cent of those polled.


Despite more than 53 per cent of surveyed voters saying they believe the province is heading in the right direction, the poll suggests there is still a strong desire for change.

According to the survey, 81 per cent of people polled said they wanted change.

The majority of those 56 per cent who said they definitely want a change in government have also said they will be voting for the Liberals in the upcoming election.

Read more from the election campaign in our live blog below.


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