Soggy, but Milder Weekend Has Arrived + Latest on SANDY... Oct 26th
Hi! The light rainshowers started around 1 am for yvr and have picked up a bit since 8 am as a weak warm front pushes inland...the actual front is dissipating as it moves over Vancouver so temps still a touch on the chilly side today. This also means the rain should taper off later this afternoon with just clouds sticking around..
- A stronger warm front will approach during the day tomorrow...this means a bit of a wash-out of a Saturday. Rainfall totals for yvr may be as high as 15-25 mm. And windy too.
- Yes another low moves in for Sunday but those of us running the James Cunningham seawall in the morning, fingers crossed that the heavier rain will hold off until the afternoon
- Long term: a series of systems will follow the jetstream onto the coast right through next week. Roughly one every 24 hours.
Sandy's Dangerous Projections
- Hurricane Sandy is still a cat 1 storm with sustained winds of 120 km/h..about 650 km SSE of Charleston Souther Carolina as it pull north of the Bahamas. Tropical storm warnings are in effect for the east coast of Florida and a tropical storm watch is in place all the way up to North Carolina
- Sandy is already beginning to interact with a trough of low pressure to its west...this has caused some weakening, but the injection of colder air is actually helping to spread the energy out farther...Sandy is a very large storm and storm surge and heavy rain will be major threats in the forecast
- The latest round of model data still has a spread of landfall happening between the mid Atlantic coast Monday afternoon to the New England coast Tuesday afternoon. The two most likely scenerios are Maryland/Deleware Mon aft OR Long Island Tues aft
- Either way Sandy is likely to be a billion-dollar disater with hurricane force winds along the coast, a record storm surge that lines up with a full moon tide, and rainfall rates that may cause inland flooding because of how slow miving Sandy will become once it approaches landfall
- Sandy is shaping up to be a historic storm for parts of the eastern US that has few precedents
- This storm really become a bit of a hybrid because of its interaction with the cold front tracking across Canada right now. It will not only help to 'hook' Sandy inland for landfall but it will also continue to transform Sandy from a cat 1 hurricane to a Nor'Easter type storm with hurricane force winds. Comparisons have been made to the 1991 'Perfect Storm' that the movie was based on because the set-up is similar..although the 'perfect storm' never made a full landfall
- This will most certainly be a big story with major impact regardless of exact track now. New York Governor: "I have directed state agencies and New York's emergency operations personnel to begin preparations now for the potential impact of Hurricane Sandy,"
NHC Track as of 2pm ET. Latest updates here: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at3.shtml?5-daynl?large#contents
Sandy + Canada
- While the exact track of Sandy will play a big role in it's eventual impacts on Canada...the Canadian Hurricane Centre has issued a special weather statement for the Maritime province, Ontario & Quebec for impact early to mid next week
- "Based on the current forecast scenario, Southern and Eastern Ontario are likely to see the most rainfall from this system. These areas
will likely also be subject to strong and gusty winds as will Southern Quebec and the Maritimes. Although it is too early to nail
down any specific values, people living in these areas are urged to pay close attention to messages from the Canadian Hurricane Centre
and local weather forecasts and possible future warnings throughout the weekend"
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