Story Tools: PRINT | Text Size: S M L XL | REPORT TYPO | SEND YOUR FEEDBACK

Moore sees end of his law..again

by Paul Jay, CBCNews.ca

Intel co-founder Gordon Moore said the rapid doubling of computer power the technology industry has taken for granted is coming to an end in the next 10 to 15 years.

Speaking at the Intel Developer Forum this week, the retired computer chip pioneer said the principle commonly known as Moore's Law is coming up against the laws of physics.

The popular version of Moore's Law states that the number of transistors on a circuit – and therefore the computing power – doubles every 18 months. The principle behind the "law" first came up in an observation Moore made in a 1965 article about the progress of transistor technology, but it soon proved prophetic.

The problem now, however, is that transistors are running up against two physical constraints: the speed of light and the atomic nature of matter.

"Another decade, a decade and a half, I think we'll hit something fairly fundamental," Moore said.

It's not the first time Moore or others at Intel have predicted the end of Moore's law. It will be interesting to see though, as we get closer and closer to that time, whether research into quantum computing or other areas can keep Moore's Law alive. What other areas? Perhaps Moore provided a clue when he responded to a question about what he would do if he were a young person enrolling in college today.

"I'd probably look at something more in the biology mould. The interface between computers and biology now is a very interesting area."

« Previous Post | Main | Next Post »

This discussion is now Open. Submit your Comment.

Comments

Chris

Winnipeg

Sounds like more Star Trek technology come to pass. Biometric circuitry from the Starship Voyaguer!

Posted September 22, 2007 11:09 PM

« Previous Post | Main | Next Post »

Post a Comment

Disclaimer:

Note: By submitting your comments you acknowledge that CBC has the right to reproduce, broadcast and publicize those comments or any part thereof in any manner whatsoever. Please note that due to the volume of e-mails we receive, not all comments will be published, and those that are published will not be edited. But all will be carefully read, considered and appreciated.

Note: Due to volume there will be a delay before your comment is processed. Your comment will go through even if you leave this page immediately afterwards.

Privacy Policy | Submissions Policy

Story Tools: PRINT | Text Size: S M L XL | REPORT TYPO | SEND YOUR FEEDBACK

World »

Australian police charge Vatican cardinal with sex offences
Australian police have charged Cardinal George Pell, Pope Francis's chief financial adviser and Australia's most senior Catholic, with multiple counts of historical sexual assault offences, a stunning decision certain to rock the highest levels of the Holy See.
New 'We are already dead:' Power-deprived Gazans struggle with life in dark
The worst power crisis in recent memory has left most Palestinians in Gaza with less than four hours of electricity a day, while rival political factions battle for supremacy in the beleaguered Gaza Strip, writes the CBC’s Derek Stoffel
New Think turning your smartphone off means you're not distracted? Think again, study says
Research suggests a 'smartphone-induced brain drain' among people who keep their devices close by — even though they're not using them.
more »

Canada »

Analysis Judgment Day: B.C. Liberal tactics set up difficult decision for lieutenant governor
If the B.C. Liberals lose the confidence of the house today, Lt.-Gov. Judith Guichon will decide to either dissolve parliament and thrust the province into an election or ask NDP Leader John Horgan to govern.
New Union, public safety minister push for action at 'toxic' Edmonton prison
Canada's public safety minister has ordered the federal corrections service to prepare a report on what it's doing to prevent harassment by and of employees — a move that comes as one union is lambasting the response to high-profile harassment issues at Edmonton's maximum-security prison.
Teepee erected in ceremony on Parliament Hill after opposition from police
A group of Indigenous people and supporters headed to Parliament Hill Wednesday night to try and perform a ceremony and erect a teepee, but faced opposition from police. The teepee was eventually erected in a ceremony early Thursday morning.
more »

Politics »

New Summer dives set for Franklin ship as future ownership in limbo
Parks Canada marine archeologists will dive this summer on HMS Terror, the once-elusive Franklin ship discovered in the Arctic last September, even as troubling ownership and security issues remained unresolved.
Andrew Scheer says he will not appoint independent senators if elected prime minister video
Newly minted Conservative Leader Andrew Scheer said that if he is elected prime minister he will abandon the notion of an independent Senate as pursued by Prime Minister Justin Trudeau.
Teepee erected in ceremony on Parliament Hill after opposition from police
A group of Indigenous people and supporters headed to Parliament Hill Wednesday night to try and perform a ceremony and erect a teepee, but faced opposition from police. The teepee was eventually erected in a ceremony early Thursday morning.
more »

Health »

Sorry - we can't find that page
 
CBC.ca

Sorry, we can't find the page you requested.

  1. Please check the URL in the address bar, or ...
  2. Use the navigation links at left to explore our site, or ...
  3. Enter a term in the Quick Search box at top, or ...
  4. Visit our site map page

In a few moments, you will be taken to our site map page, which will help you find what you looking for.

more »

Arts & Entertainment»

Michael Bublé, Michael J. Fox, Martin Short get Governor General's Performing Arts Awards video
Actors Michael J. Fox, Martin Short and crooner Michael Bublé were honoured Wednesday night at Rideau Hall with Governor General's Performing Arts Awards.
Bono, the Edge donating time for Canada Day concert, government says
U2 members Bono and the Edge are donating their time as a "birthday present to Canada" and will not be paid a performance fee for appearing at Canada 150 celebrations on Parliament Hill July 1, a spokesperson from Canadian Heritage says.
A CBC send-off: Colleagues salute Peter Mansbridge ahead of final broadcast video
Just ahead of Peter Mansbridge's final broadcast as anchor of The National this week, CBC News's chief correspondent was honoured by staff at the public broadcaster's Toronto headquarters on Wednesday.
more »

Technology & Science »

New Think turning your smartphone off means you're not distracted? Think again, study says
Research suggests a 'smartphone-induced brain drain' among people who keep their devices close by — even though they're not using them.
Canada relatively unscathed as cyberattack continues to spread video
As a cyberattack continued to spread among nations and corporations on Wednesday, the identity and motives of the attackers remain a mystery.
Analysis From prosthetic limbs to baby bumps, new Xbox avatars a move toward greater diversity
The new Xbox Live avatar design is evidence that Microsoft is looking to include a more diverse audience, Ramona Pringle writes.
more »

Money »

New Poutine doughnut on Tim Hortons' Canada Day menu — for American customers only
To celebrate Canada's 150th birthday, Tim Hortons is serving up patriotic food. But only U.S. customers will get to try the poutine doughnut or the maple bacon Iced Capp.
New 'We used to be savers': Why Canadians ignore warnings about debt
Canadians have heard the message over and over again: Personal debt levels are alarmingly high, especially in light of interest rates that are only poised to increase.
Canada relatively unscathed as cyberattack continues to spread video
As a cyberattack continued to spread among nations and corporations on Wednesday, the identity and motives of the attackers remain a mystery.
more »

Consumer Life »

Sorry - we can't find that page
 
CBC.ca

Sorry, we can't find the page you requested.

  1. Please check the URL in the address bar, or ...
  2. Use the navigation links at left to explore our site, or ...
  3. Enter a term in the Quick Search box at top, or ...
  4. Visit our site map page

In a few moments, you will be taken to our site map page, which will help you find what you looking for.

more »

Sports »

[an error occurred while processing this directive]
Andre De Grasse easily claims 100m victory at Harry Jerome Classic video
Canadian sprint sensation Andre De Grasse delighted the Coquitlam, B.C. crowd at the Harry Jerome Classic with a convincing win in the men's 100-metre event on Wednesday night.
Oilers' Connor McDavid to sign $106M deal: reports video
Connor McDavid is nearing an extension with the Edmonton Oilers, reportedly worth $106 million US over eight years. The deal, which can't be signed until July 1 and won't kick in until the 2018-19 season, would give McDavid the highest yearly cap hit in the league at $13.25 million.
Video Usian Bolt on retirement: 'There is nothing else to do' video
The Olympic champion discusses his reasoning for retiring from track and field.
more »

Diversions »

[an error occurred while processing this directive]
more »