Story Tools: PRINT | Text Size: S M L XL | REPORT TYPO | SEND YOUR FEEDBACK

Moore sees end of his law..again

by Paul Jay, CBCNews.ca

Intel co-founder Gordon Moore said the rapid doubling of computer power the technology industry has taken for granted is coming to an end in the next 10 to 15 years.

Speaking at the Intel Developer Forum this week, the retired computer chip pioneer said the principle commonly known as Moore's Law is coming up against the laws of physics.

The popular version of Moore's Law states that the number of transistors on a circuit – and therefore the computing power – doubles every 18 months. The principle behind the "law" first came up in an observation Moore made in a 1965 article about the progress of transistor technology, but it soon proved prophetic.

The problem now, however, is that transistors are running up against two physical constraints: the speed of light and the atomic nature of matter.

"Another decade, a decade and a half, I think we'll hit something fairly fundamental," Moore said.

It's not the first time Moore or others at Intel have predicted the end of Moore's law. It will be interesting to see though, as we get closer and closer to that time, whether research into quantum computing or other areas can keep Moore's Law alive. What other areas? Perhaps Moore provided a clue when he responded to a question about what he would do if he were a young person enrolling in college today.

"I'd probably look at something more in the biology mould. The interface between computers and biology now is a very interesting area."

« Previous Post | Main | Next Post »

This discussion is now Open. Submit your Comment.

Comments

Chris

Winnipeg

Sounds like more Star Trek technology come to pass. Biometric circuitry from the Starship Voyaguer!

Posted September 22, 2007 11:09 PM

« Previous Post | Main | Next Post »

Post a Comment

Disclaimer:

Note: By submitting your comments you acknowledge that CBC has the right to reproduce, broadcast and publicize those comments or any part thereof in any manner whatsoever. Please note that due to the volume of e-mails we receive, not all comments will be published, and those that are published will not be edited. But all will be carefully read, considered and appreciated.

Note: Due to volume there will be a delay before your comment is processed. Your comment will go through even if you leave this page immediately afterwards.

Privacy Policy | Submissions Policy

Story Tools: PRINT | Text Size: S M L XL | REPORT TYPO | SEND YOUR FEEDBACK

World »

New Trump shames ex-beauty queen for sexual history
Donald Trump shames a former beauty pageant winner for her sexual history and encouraged Americans to check out what he called her "sex tape," in an early-morning tweet-storm that drags him further away from his campaign's efforts to broaden its appeal to women.
Shimon Peres remembered as 'man of vision' at Jerusalem funeral
Shimon Peres was laid to rest on Friday in a ceremony attended by thousands of admirers and dozens of international dignitaries, including three Canadian prime ministers.
Global carbon dioxide levels reach highest point ever, likely for good
Global carbon dioxide levels in the atmosphere have surpassed 400 parts per million, and will almost certainly remain there indefinitely, according to new numbers from the Scripps carbon dioxide monitoring program at the Mauna Loa observatory in Hawaii.
more »

Canada »

Farmers and anti-GMO groups call for Competition Bureau review of Monsanto takeover
Canadian farmers worry that a merger of agricultural giants Bayer and Monsanto could increase seed prices, while social advocacy groups opposed to genetically modified food question whether the move could lead to fewer non-GM food choices on grocery store shelves.
Photos A royal playdate, and other highlights from William and Kate's trip to B.C., Yukon
The Duke and Duchess of Cambridge will wrap up their eight-day visit to Canada on Saturday after travelling from Victoria to Vancouver, Bella Bella, Kelowna, Whitehorse, Yukon, Haida Gwaii and back to Victoria, where their children, Prince George and Princess Charlotte, are staying.
Provinces with the cheapest cellphone plans and why the rest of us don't get them
Cellphone customers can often score a cheaper plan in Manitoba, Saskatchewan and Quebec compared to the rest of the country. CBC News explores the price differences and why better rates are offered in those three provinces.
more »

Politics »

Pot-smoking young men had the most to say to Ottawa about marijuana legalization
Canada's task force on marijuana legalization has heard a lot from one particular demographic about how to proceed: young men who smoke pot.
Shimon Peres remembered as 'man of vision' at Jerusalem funeral
Shimon Peres was laid to rest on Friday in a ceremony attended by thousands of admirers and dozens of international dignitaries, including three Canadian prime ministers.
PM's top adviser compares Maryam Monsef criticism to U.S. 'birther' movement video
The prime minister's top adviser has taken to Twitter to defend a cabinet minister and to criticize those questioning her family history. Gerald Butts called out the Globe and Mail for an editorial about Maryam Monsef, comparing questions it raised to the American "birther" movement.
more »

Health »

Sorry - we can't find that page
 
CBC.ca

Sorry, we can't find the page you requested.

  1. Please check the URL in the address bar, or ...
  2. Use the navigation links at left to explore our site, or ...
  3. Enter a term in the Quick Search box at top, or ...
  4. Visit our site map page

In a few moments, you will be taken to our site map page, which will help you find what you looking for.

more »

Arts & Entertainment»

MOVIE REVIEW Deepwater Horizon, Queen of Katwe and more
A real-life chess champ (Queen of Katwe) or an oil-rig disaster (Deepwater Horizon): which movie's worth your time this weekend? CBC film critic Eli Glasner weighs in on the latest releases.
Stolen Van Gogh paintings recovered by anti-Mafia police
Anti-Mafia police in Naples have recovered two Van Gogh paintings stolen from Amsterdam in 2002, the Van Gogh Museum and organized crime investigators said Friday.
New Larger-than-life Hitler apparition sparks call to Berlin police
A huge moving image of a laughing Adolf Hitler has prompted a shocked Berlin driver to call police, who discovered the apparition was part of an art installation.
more »

Technology & Science »

Updated Rosetta spacecraft crash lands into comet, ending 12-year mission
Europe's comet-chasing space probe Rosetta performed its final task Friday, dipping out of orbit for a slow-motion crash onto the icy surface of the alien world it's been following for more than a decade.
Global carbon dioxide levels reach highest point ever, likely for good
Global carbon dioxide levels in the atmosphere have surpassed 400 parts per million, and will almost certainly remain there indefinitely, according to new numbers from the Scripps carbon dioxide monitoring program at the Mauna Loa observatory in Hawaii.
On 20th anniversary, experts say it's time to review Arctic Council mandate
20 years after it was established, the Arctic Council is being lauded for its achievements. But former foreign affairs minister Lloyd Axworthy says the time has come for "a revised and stronger council."
more »

Money »

New Canadian GDP grew by 0.5% in July on oilsands rebound
The Canadian economy performed better than expected in July, growing by 0.5 per cent on the back of a rebound in oil and gas output following the Fort McMurray, Alta., wildfires.
Petronas weighs sale to exit $27B Canada LNG project: sources
After getting the go-ahead by the Canadian government this week, Malaysian firm Petronas is considering selling its majority stake in the $27-billion Canada LNG project due to poor market conditions.
Provinces with the cheapest cellphone plans and why the rest of us don't get them
Cellphone customers can often score a cheaper plan in Manitoba, Saskatchewan and Quebec compared to the rest of the country. CBC News explores the price differences and why better rates are offered in those three provinces.
more »

Consumer Life »

Sorry - we can't find that page
 
CBC.ca

Sorry, we can't find the page you requested.

  1. Please check the URL in the address bar, or ...
  2. Use the navigation links at left to explore our site, or ...
  3. Enter a term in the Quick Search box at top, or ...
  4. Visit our site map page

In a few moments, you will be taken to our site map page, which will help you find what you looking for.

more »

Sports »

[an error occurred while processing this directive]
Analysis Canada's core, led by Sidney Crosby, continues world hockey domination
The World Cup of Hockey lacked intensity but Patrice Bergeron and his Boston Bruins teammate Brad Marchand certainly provided a dramatic ending for Canada to claim yet another best-on-best championship.
Recap Canada takes World Cup title after furious comeback in final minutes video
Canada defeated Europe 2-1 after scoring twice in the final minutes of the third period to win the World Cup of Hockey.
5 things we'd like to see at the next World Cup of Hockey
Fans couldn't get enough of Team North America and the ref cam, but the trophy and the American team need some serious improvements before the next World Cup.
more »

Diversions »

[an error occurred while processing this directive]
more »