Story Tools: PRINT | Text Size: S M L XL | REPORT TYPO | SEND YOUR FEEDBACK

Moore sees end of his law..again

by Paul Jay, CBCNews.ca

Intel co-founder Gordon Moore said the rapid doubling of computer power the technology industry has taken for granted is coming to an end in the next 10 to 15 years.

Speaking at the Intel Developer Forum this week, the retired computer chip pioneer said the principle commonly known as Moore's Law is coming up against the laws of physics.

The popular version of Moore's Law states that the number of transistors on a circuit – and therefore the computing power – doubles every 18 months. The principle behind the "law" first came up in an observation Moore made in a 1965 article about the progress of transistor technology, but it soon proved prophetic.

The problem now, however, is that transistors are running up against two physical constraints: the speed of light and the atomic nature of matter.

"Another decade, a decade and a half, I think we'll hit something fairly fundamental," Moore said.

It's not the first time Moore or others at Intel have predicted the end of Moore's law. It will be interesting to see though, as we get closer and closer to that time, whether research into quantum computing or other areas can keep Moore's Law alive. What other areas? Perhaps Moore provided a clue when he responded to a question about what he would do if he were a young person enrolling in college today.

"I'd probably look at something more in the biology mould. The interface between computers and biology now is a very interesting area."

« Previous Post | Main | Next Post »

This discussion is now Open. Submit your Comment.

Comments

Chris

Winnipeg

Sounds like more Star Trek technology come to pass. Biometric circuitry from the Starship Voyaguer!

Posted September 22, 2007 11:09 PM

« Previous Post | Main | Next Post »

Post a Comment

Disclaimer:

Note: By submitting your comments you acknowledge that CBC has the right to reproduce, broadcast and publicize those comments or any part thereof in any manner whatsoever. Please note that due to the volume of e-mails we receive, not all comments will be published, and those that are published will not be edited. But all will be carefully read, considered and appreciated.

Note: Due to volume there will be a delay before your comment is processed. Your comment will go through even if you leave this page immediately afterwards.

Privacy Policy | Submissions Policy

Story Tools: PRINT | Text Size: S M L XL | REPORT TYPO | SEND YOUR FEEDBACK

World »

New Boris Nemtsov funeral: Russians pay respects to Kremlin critic
Several hundred Russians, many carrying red carnations, queued on Tuesday to pay their respects to Boris Nemtsov, the Kremlin critic whose murder last week showed the hazards of speaking out against Russian President Vladimir Putin.
New Craig Hicks could face death penalty if convicted of killing 3 Muslims
North Carolina prosecutors will seek the death penalty against a man who police say kept detailed notes on parking at his condominium complex before gunning down three young Muslims in a neighbouring unit, according to documents released on Monday.
Analysis It is not who killed Russia's Boris Nemtsov, it is why video
Among the many theories for the calculated murder of Russian opposition leader Boris Nemtsov last week is his outspoken contempt for the Kremlin's involvement in Ukraine. It is a subject not much discussed inside Russia, Nahlah Ayed reports, but Nemtsov was determined to change that.
more »

Canada »

Exclusive Mike Duffy trial to hear from former PMO insiders, Conservative MPs video
Some of Prime Minister Stephen Harper's closest former advisers will appear as Crown witnesses in the trial of suspended senator Mike Duffy, a list that also includes several Conservative MPs, CBC News has learned.
John Nuttall and Amanda Korody allegedly built bombs before Canada Day
The jury in the B.C. terrorism case has been shown a video of John Nuttall and Amanda Korody allegedly making bombs.
B.C. Conservative MP James Lunney tweets against evolution
Conservative MP James Lunney has used his Twitter account to support an Ontario Progressive Conservative who declared last week, "I don't believe in evolution."
more »

Politics »

Exclusive Mike Duffy trial to hear from former PMO insiders, Conservative MPs video
Some of Prime Minister Stephen Harper's closest former advisers will appear as Crown witnesses in the trial of suspended senator Mike Duffy, a list that also includes several Conservative MPs, CBC News has learned.
B.C. Conservative MP James Lunney tweets against evolution
Conservative MP James Lunney has used his Twitter account to support an Ontario Progressive Conservative who declared last week, "I don't believe in evolution."
Sex crime prevention program cut by Ottawa video
The federal government is cutting funds for a program designed to prevent the most dangerous, high-risk sex offenders from repeating their crimes, just as its own five-year study has found the program dramatically improves public safety and saves money.
more »

Health »

Sorry - we can't find that page
 
CBC.ca

Sorry, we can't find the page you requested.

  1. Please check the URL in the address bar, or ...
  2. Use the navigation links at left to explore our site, or ...
  3. Enter a term in the Quick Search box at top, or ...
  4. Visit our site map page

In a few moments, you will be taken to our site map page, which will help you find what you looking for.

more »

Arts & Entertainment»

Kanye West haters make 'loser.com' redirect to rapper's Wikipedia page
For all of his many (very vocal) critics, Kanye West certainly has a lot of fans — something that anyone hate-Googling the rapper can plainly see by Googling "loser.com" today and looking at his Wikipedia page, where he’s listed as one of the best-selling artists in history.
Carly Rae Jepsen, Canadian Call Me Maybe singer, releases new single I Really Like You
Canadian singer-songwriter Carly Rae Jepsen launches new single, I Really Like You, hoping to match the success of her smash hit Call Me Maybe.
'Spocking' Laurier on $5 not illegal, says Bank of Canada
It turns out there's not a lot of logic after all in the belief that it's against the law to Vulcanize Wilfrid Laurier's likeness on the $5 bill.
more »

Technology & Science »

Heliconia plant only allows certain hummingbirds to pollinate it
When it comes to sex, most plants aren't picky. They take just about any pollen that lands in the right spot. But Canadian scientists have found a tropical flower that's surprisingly fickle, holding out for an encounter with just the right kind of hummingbird.
Google cellular service in the works
Google will soon be offering cellular network plans, says the company's vice president Sundar Pichai.
Themoneyismine.ca refunds electronics buyers after DRAM class actions
Canadian consumers who bought electronics between April 1,1999 and June 30, 2002 are eligible to get at least $20 back following several class action lawsuits against the manufacturers of dynamic random access memory (DRAM).
more »

Money »

CP's Hunter Harrison says terrorist attack a bigger concern than derailment
Hunter Harrison, the head of Canadian Pacific, says he's more worried about the threat of a terrorist attack on his railway than derailments.
Bell to appeal CRTC ruling that allows U.S. Super Bowl ads
Bell will appeal a CRTC ruling from earlier this year that would force Canadian television networks to stop switching out American ads during the Super Bowl in favour of Canadian ones.
Forbes billionaires list swells to 1,826 people video
The ranks of the world’s wealthiest defied falling oil prices and a global slowdown to expand to 1,826 people, including 290 new billionaires, according to Forbes.
more »

Consumer Life »

Sorry - we can't find that page
 
CBC.ca

Sorry, we can't find the page you requested.

  1. Please check the URL in the address bar, or ...
  2. Use the navigation links at left to explore our site, or ...
  3. Enter a term in the Quick Search box at top, or ...
  4. Visit our site map page

In a few moments, you will be taken to our site map page, which will help you find what you looking for.

more »

Sports »

[an error occurred while processing this directive]
NHL Trade Deadline: Big numbers didn't yield big names video
In the busiest National Hockey League trade deadline day in five years, 24 trades were consummated, involving 43 players and 21 draft picks. Yet while the final day of player movements had quantity, not many "name" players were involved in the transactions.
Hockey Homecoming Jordan Leopold's daughter gets her wish video
Jordan Leopold's daugher was granted her wish on trade deadline day when the defenceman was dealt by the Columbus Blue Jackets to the Minnesota Wild.
NHL Trade Deadline Tracker
Which teams bolstered their rosters for a Stanley Cup run? Which stood pat? Catch up on all the moves made on a busy final day for dealing.
more »

Diversions »

[an error occurred while processing this directive]
more »