Story Tools: PRINT | Text Size: S M L XL | REPORT TYPO | SEND YOUR FEEDBACK

Gambling site places odds on global warming

by Paul Jay, CBC News Online

"God," Albert Einstein is often quoted as saying, "does not play dice with the universe."

Humans, on the other hand, seem to have no problem gambling on the forces of nature. Livescience is reporting an online gambling service called BetUS.com has started accepting bets on various calamities related to climate change.

As the article says:

One bet gives members 1-to-5 odds that scientists will prove global warming exists beyond any scientific doubt by the end of this year. Another gives 100-to-1 odds that polar bears will be extinct by 2010.

Gamblers can also bet on whether parts of the U.S. will be flooded, including Manhattan Island, which is 265 feet above sea level at its highest point. As the story says, these are not smart wagers.

Gavin Schmidt, a climate modeler at NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) in New York said, the bets are “designed to part fools from their money.”
It's not the first time the world of science and gambling have collided. Stephen Hawking famously bet physicist John Preskill that black holes destroyed all information about whatever entered them, and lost, later conceding the information was instead mangled beyond comprehension.

And London gambling site Ladbrokes posted odds in 2004 on a number of science questions, placing 6-to-1 odds that physicists would discover the Higgs boson by 2010, and 10,000-to-1 odds (the largest allowed) that intelligent life would be discovered on Saturn's moon Titan, also by 2010.

I'm not sure who took them up on that one, but let's hope for their sake they've already stowed aboard the Cassini space probe and are preparing their dramatic landing.

Then again, the bet did specify intelligent life.

« Previous Post | Main | Next Post »

This discussion is now Open. Submit your Comment.

« Previous Post | Main | Next Post »

Post a Comment

Disclaimer:

Note: By submitting your comments you acknowledge that CBC has the right to reproduce, broadcast and publicize those comments or any part thereof in any manner whatsoever. Please note that due to the volume of e-mails we receive, not all comments will be published, and those that are published will not be edited. But all will be carefully read, considered and appreciated.

Note: Due to volume there will be a delay before your comment is processed. Your comment will go through even if you leave this page immediately afterwards.

Privacy Policy | Submissions Policy

Story Tools: PRINT | Text Size: S M L XL | REPORT TYPO | SEND YOUR FEEDBACK

World »

Shimon Peres lying in state in Israel's Knesset for public memorial
Israel's Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has laid a wreath at the casket of Shimon Peres, who is lying in state in the plaza of the Knesset, Israel's parliament, as part of a public memorial on Thursday.
Evidence Russian missile shot down Flight MH17 unlikely to bring closure to victims' families video
Evidence released Wednesday showing Malaysian Air Flight MH17 was brought down by a Russian missile answers some questions for the Toronto-area family of a passenger on the flight, but they don’t expect it to bring any resolution.
Refugee standing in 'shooting stance' killed by California officer video
The fatal police shooting of a Ugandan refugee who drew something from his pocket and extended his hands in a "shooting stance" happened about a minute after officers in a San Diego suburb arrived at the scene where a mentally unstable man was reportedly walking in traffic.
more »

Canada »

Premiers send Trudeau letter demanding meeting on health care
Provincial and territorial premiers have written to Justin Trudeau to seek a firm commitment from the prime minister for a meeting on health-care funding before the first ministers' meet to discuss climate change this fall.
ROYAL VISIT Yukon First Nation to Will and Kate: Help us strengthen our relationship with the Crown
The Duke and Duchess of Cambridge continued their Yukon visit Wednesday afternoon in Carcross, where they experienced some Indigenous culture and absorbed some stunning scenery.
Indigenous children for sale: The money behind the Sixties Scoop video
Marlene Orgeron recalls the day her adoptive Louisiana parents told her they bought her for $30,000. Her brothers, they said, were "freebies."
more »

Politics »

Premiers send Trudeau letter demanding meeting on health care
Provincial and territorial premiers have written to Justin Trudeau to seek a firm commitment from the prime minister for a meeting on health-care funding before the first ministers' meet to discuss climate change this fall.
House of Commons to vote on Paris climate treaty next week
The Liberal government plans to bring the Paris agreement on greenhouse gas emissions to the House of Commons for debate and a vote by MPs next week, according to a government source.
Guy Giorno and Brad Trost debate over expenses falls through
A planned face-of between prime minister Stephen Harper’s former chief of staff and a conservative MP over moving and travel expenses won’t happen after the two sides could not agree on the terms of their debate.
more »

Health »

Sorry - we can't find that page
 
CBC.ca

Sorry, we can't find the page you requested.

  1. Please check the URL in the address bar, or ...
  2. Use the navigation links at left to explore our site, or ...
  3. Enter a term in the Quick Search box at top, or ...
  4. Visit our site map page

In a few moments, you will be taken to our site map page, which will help you find what you looking for.

more »

Arts & Entertainment»

Court bans publication of Pippa Middleton's hacked iCloud photos
A British judge on Wednesday banned the publication of stolen photographs of Pippa Middleton after allegations that 3,000 personal images were taken in a hacking attack on her iCloud account
Muslim journalist Noor Tagouri poses in a hijab for Playboy
Muslim journalist Noor Tagouri posed in a hijab for the October issue of Playboy, becoming the first woman to do so in the history of the magazine.
Garth Drabinsky sets 'Madame Sousatzka' musical for his Broadway comeback
Garth Drabinsky, the storied Canadian producer once imprisoned for fraud, is planning his Broadway comeback, with a new production of 'Madame Sousatzka' which will premiere in Toronto in February 2017.
more »

Technology & Science »

As a species, humans inherit murderous tendencies, says study
Evolution and genetics seem to have baked a certain amount of murder into humans as a species, but civilization has tamed some of the savage beast in us, according to a new study.
Photos Want to go to Mars? Here's what it looks like there
After SpaceX CEO Elon Musk updated the world on his ambitious plans to get humans to Mars within the next 10 years, here's a look at our best pictures to date of the Martian surface.
Turkey's bid to make Twitter block reporter part of growing digital censorship trend, advocates say
Turkey's attempt to have Twitter block journalist Mahir Zeynalov is the latest example in a disturbing trend of governments getting social media companies to censor their critics, digital rights groups say.
more »

Money »

TSX and loonie higher as oil climbs on OPEC deal
An agreement by OPEC to cut oil production helped push oil prices, along with the loonie and the S&P/TSX Composite Index, higher on Wednesday.
BlackBerry to outsource smartphone manufacturing from now on
BlackBerry says it plans to end all internal hardware development — signalling a strategic shift for a company that built its reputation on innovative smartphone technology created at its base in Waterloo, Ont.
Oil surges 6% on OPEC agreement, but analysts skeptical of sustained rally video
Oil prices jumped as much as six per cent on Wednesday after OPEC sources told Reuters the group has reached a deal to limit crude output.
more »

Consumer Life »

Sorry - we can't find that page
 
CBC.ca

Sorry, we can't find the page you requested.

  1. Please check the URL in the address bar, or ...
  2. Use the navigation links at left to explore our site, or ...
  3. Enter a term in the Quick Search box at top, or ...
  4. Visit our site map page

In a few moments, you will be taken to our site map page, which will help you find what you looking for.

more »

Sports »

[an error occurred while processing this directive]
Recap Blue Jays blow late lead as Orioles tighten AL playoff race video
Pinch-hitter Hyun Soo Kim hit a two-run homer off Roberto Osuna in the ninth inning as the Baltimore Orioles came back for a 3-2 victory over the Blue Jays on Wednesday at Rogers Centre.
Sidney Crosby cementing place as 'best player of his generation'
Canada's captain Sidney Crosby has been the strongest player at the World Cup of Hockey, proving his elite status in the best-on-best tournament.
Analysis Europe keeps it close in Game 1 loss to Canada video
Canada earned a 3-1 win over Team Europe in the opener of the World Cup of Hockey final on Tuesday night, but the underdogs controlled play for long stretches in an admirable performance.
more »

Diversions »

[an error occurred while processing this directive]
more »