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Hunger for change fed Tory vote: poll

Last Updated: Tuesday, January 24, 2006 | 5:00 PM ET

More than half the people who voted Conservative in Monday's election did so mainly because they thought it was time for a change, according to an Environics poll conducted for the CBC the weekend before the vote.

Only 41 per cent of them said they were voting for Stephen Harper's party because they wanted a Conservative government, compared to 54 per cent who said they were casting their ballots for the sake of change.

The remaining five per cent didn't know why they were voting Conservative or did not answer the question.

Conservative voters:
Are you voting Conservative mainly because you think it's time for a change or mainly because you want a Conservative government with different policies and directions?
 Total
mainly because time for a change 54
mainly because want a Conservative government 41
DK/NA 5
"They have to be careful about taking a very different direction for the country," Donna Dasko, the senior vice-president of Environics Research Group, said of Harper's incoming minority government.

"The support they gained is not support for radical change."

The telephone survey of 2,034 Canadians was conducted for CBC and Radio-Canada from Jan. 20 to 22. It is considered accurate to within plus or minus 2.2 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.

"There are a couple of things the Conservatives have promised that are really important to Canadians," Dasko noted.

Those items of consensus include:

  • Getting tougher on sentences for crime, especially crime committed with handguns, which won 88 per cent support.
  • Reforming the Senate by holding elections for vacancies rather than having the prime minister appoint people, which was supported by 71 per cent of those polled.
However, Dasko said Canadians seem to be split almost down the middle on a handful of issues that the Conservatives promised to address:
  • Lowering the GST, if it means removing income tax cuts previously announced by the Liberals.
  • Getting rid of the gun registry, which enjoys heavy support in Quebec as well as urban regions of the country.
  • Taking away the Liberal-promised national day-care system, even if the Conservatives replace it with a plan to give parents $100 a month for every child under six.
Dasko said those splits don't mean the Conservatives can't carry out their promises on those issues. "They're just going to have to sell them better, or find support among the other parties to push them through."

On another contentious issue, the poll found that 66 per cent of respondents did not want Harper's party to bring the same-sex marriage issue back to Parliament for a free vote, as he has promised. A total of 30 per cent of people polled did want to see that vote happen, and five per cent had no opinion or did not answer the question.

The poll also suggested what Canadians might like to see Harper tackle first once he becomes prime minister. Asked what single issue was the most important in influencing their votes:

  • 22 per cent of respondents named health care.
  • 10 per cent spoke of honesty, ethics or accountability in government.
  • Six per cent said the economy was of primary importance.
  • Five per cent named taxes or tax cuts.
A variety of other issues brought the total to 100 per cent.

Thinking about all the issues in the current federal election, which one is the most important in influencing your vote?
 Total
Health care/health care system 22
Honest/ethics/accountability 10
Economy 6
Taxes/tax cuts 5
Environment/pollution 4
Education 4
Sponsorship scandal/Gomery Commission 3
Social issues/social safety net/social programs 3
Crime/law and order 3
Same sex marriage 2
Child care 2
National unity/Quebec 2
Liberals in power too long/need change in government 2
A total of 44 per cent of respondents thought a Conservative government would be good for the country, compared to 47 per cent who told the Environics surveyors it wouldn?t be good and nine per cent who did not answer the question.

On another note, the survey found Canadians in a cynical mood, with 67 per cent not expecting politicians to keep their campaign promises. However, 71 per cent agreed with the statement that it makes a big difference what political party is in power in Ottawa.

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