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Hockey Night in Canada analyst Craig Simpson writes about hockey from a western perspective.

Round One Begins

For 16 teams the quest for Lord Stanley’s Cup finally begins. For the next two months teams will fight a battle of attrition in order to be the last ones standing to take home the Stanley Cup.

This season had closer races than most in recent memory, as it took Game 81 in the Western Conference for the last team to clinch a playoff berth, and in the East, the improbable comeback run of the Washington Capitals took them to their 82nd and final game of the season to not only make the playoffs, but win the Southeast Division.

The one great thing about playoff hockey is that for both teams and individuals it is the great equalizer of a season. It doesn’t matter how well or how poorly you performed during the regular season, for the teams and players who make it, the post-season is where you are judged, and where great seasons can come to a crashing end, or poor seasons are resurrected over the course of four grueling rounds of play.

I’m not a big fan of prognosticating winners or losers, and very seldom are you right when trying to pick who will be left once the Finals roll along. The first round is usually some of the best hockey you will see, as all 16 teams are hungry, at their healthiest and full of energy and hope.

There are usually a few surprises and disappointments, but one thing you can always count on is a huge jump in intensity. As the playoffs go deeper in rounds, it is almost impossible for the players to maintain the intensity that exists in Round One. The constant grind and wear and tear of having to win three rounds (12 wins) just for the right to represent your Conference and play for the Stanley Cup takes its toll on the participants, and pushes the players’ bodies and will to the edge.

The first round, with its eight series of action and multiple games on most nights, is some of the most exciting hockey for fans to watch. So as much as I am not a big fan of making predictions, for the sake of this article, here I go.

Montreal (1) vs. Boston (8): The Canadiens have been a great story this year, and have continued to improve and grow with confidence. Carey Price was handed the reigns to the Habs hopes, and looks like he is more than capable to handle the pressure. The Bruins don’t have the offence to match Montreal, and despite being a very good defensive team, I don’t think they will be able to contain Montreal’s offence and explosive power play.
Montreal in 5

Pittsburgh (2) vs. Ottawa (7): The Senators went from being the class of the East in October/November, to firing John Paddock, to struggling to find their game, to just barely hanging on for their playoff lives. All around it has been a bad year for the Sens, and I’m sure they couldn’t wait for the season to be over, and the playoffs to begin. The Penguins have developed quickly as a team and are really playing like contenders. With the development of Evgeni Malkin into a superstar, the organization took a real gamble this year mortgaging some of the future to bring in Marian Hossa to try to win now. The pressure on the Pens to win will be intense, and the Sens should be a loose bunch that still has the experience of getting to the Final last year to draw on. That could make things difficult on Crosby and company. Ottawa will score goals, but their inability to defend and their goaltending will ultimately cost them.
Pittsburgh in 6

Washington (3) vs. Philadelphia (6): There has been no better story in the NHL this season than Bruce Boudreau, Alexander Ovechkin and the Washington Capitals. For them to be in the post-season at all is remarkable given their start. With that being said, the improvement of their opponent this season is quite an achievement as well. Philadelphia might not have the explosiveness of Ovechkin, but they have great depth offensively. The Flyers ability to get offence from three lines will cancel out the Caps superstar.
Philadelphia in 6

New Jersey (4) vs. New York Rangers (5): Despite dropping home ice advantage after losing game 82 to the Devils in a shootout, the Rangers have owned their archrival this season. New York has struggled at times this year getting everyone going at once, but look to have figured things out during the stretch run. The Devils, of course, have Brodeur in goal, whom is always tough to bet against, but Henrik Lundqvist with his 10 shutouts this season will be equal to the task.
Rangers in 6

Detroit (1) vs. Nashville (8): Everyone seems to think that this series just might be ripe for an upset. Detroit won the Presidents’ Trophy for the sixth time in 13 years, but everyone still has the Wings’ similar 1 vs. 8 loss to the Oilers in 2006 on their minds. I still question how good the tandem of Hasek and Osgood will be in goal, but I think the Wings have learned their lessons and will be hungry and well prepared. Barry Trotz should be commended for the job he did getting the Predators into the playoffs, but that is as far as they will go.
Detroit in 5

San Jose (2) vs. Calgary (7): The Sharks are the hottest team in the NHL going 18-2-2 down the stretch. They have a soon to be crowned Vezina winner in goal in Evgeni Nabokov and plenty of offence up front with Thornton, Marleau, Michalek and Cheechoo. Brian Campell has fit in perfectly on the blue-line and on top of that they are hungry for a Cup. Calgary may have suffered through an inconsistent regular season, but after making the playoffs despite losing Game 81 of the season, they have a huge monkey off their back. The Flames are equal to the Sharks in goal with Kiprusoff, and with Iginla and Phaneuf they can go head to head with the Sharks at the key positions. This has the makings of a great, physical series and could be ripe for an upset. Whichever team gets more secondary scoring in their lineup will pull through.
San Jose in 7

Minnesota (3) vs. Colorado (6): The Wild won their first Northwest Division crown and have high expectations of playoff success. Jacques Lemaire has somehow been able to keep winning games with three tough guys (Fedoruk, Simon, Boogaard) in his line-up, but playing all three may be a challenge in the post-season. The Avs have plenty of experience and some depth offensively. To me the key to this series will be in goal, with Backstrom outplaying Theodore in goal.
Minnesota in 6

Anaheim (4) vs. Dallas (5): The Ducks look to become the first team to win back to back since the Red Wings did it in 1997 and 98. Anaheim boasts the deepest back end in the NHL, and with a rested Chris Pronger (suspension) and Scott Niedermayer (only playing half a season), they will be a tough team to beat. They may not be quite as good up front, but their defence makes up for it. Dallas finished the season trying to figure out what happened to their game. They made a big splash trading for Brad Richards, but have had a hard time fitting him into their system, and getting their team to win. Marty Turco shook off the label of playoff disappointment last year with a great effort against Vancouver last year, but much like the end result then, I don’t think it will be enough to save the Stars.
Anaheim in 6

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Comments

mike

I believe the Pens have a chance to go all the way.......and not only because of the return of a healthy Crosby, but because of the return of a healthy Gary Roberts. His intensity and experience will carry them a lot further than last year. His dedication this year will mean more because of the rest of the team having last years experience to fall back on as welll.
GO PENS.

Posted April 9, 2008 11:23 PM

DetroitRW

Hockeytown

Anaheim is a beast. I'm scared of them. I hope dallas takes them out so the Red Wings dont face them in round 2. Go Stars!

I'm also scared of SJ, so Go Calgary!

Then it'll be a cakewalk to Lord Stanley's Cup.

Posted April 9, 2008 08:28 PM

jimmyk

I agree with the Western choices, but Washington and New Jersey should get through with some difficulty. I liks San José's chances to go through to the final and beat Pittsburgh in seven. As for next year, the Leafs will make the playoffs. Go Leafs Go!!

Posted April 9, 2008 08:18 PM

STANLEY

Toronto

I suppose you did not watch many Capital Games this year to think that they are a one man show... sure Ovie had 112 points but he has a by far better supporting cast than what Philly has for their superstar. Philly has no one to lead the way...or to lean on when they need that desperate goal sure they have Richards and Carter who are amazing players but do not have that clutch preformance yet that would help their team.

Posted April 9, 2008 08:05 PM

Justin

USA

Nobody is calling any sweeps? What's the deal? I'm going to call it now...
Habs over Bruins in 4 (Good luck Bruins, with your 0 wins against the Habs in the regular season)
Pens over Sens in 4 (Payback time for Crosby and the Pens, Malkin will be huge in this one)
Caps over Flyers in 5 (Ovechkin will just keep adding to that point total)
Devils over Rangers in 7 + some OT (This series will be all about the guys in the cage, If Jagr can step up, the Rangers have a chance)

Wings over Preds in 5 (Wings get kicked out in the second round due to the lack of competition they face in the division all year)
Sharks over the Flames in 6 (Flames will put up a good fight, It wont be enough)
Avs over Wild in 6
Ducks over the Stars in 7 (WTF Dallas? They were like the Caps of the West there for a little while until they flamed out towards the end of the season, If they would have finished strong... I would put them in the cup finals)

Finals... Pens over the Sharks It will take 7 Games + some OT to put either one of these teams down for good in the finals.

Posted April 9, 2008 08:01 PM

Justin

Halifax

Habs Vs Bruins
Prediction: Habs in 6 games
Habs are hot...too hot for Boston.
Pens Vs. Sens
Prediction: Pens in 5 games
Sens are emotionally weak, Pens COULD captiolize on them.
Caps Vs Philly
Prediction: Philly in 6 games
Philly has expirence, caps have none... Shut down Ovechkin, and the series is all over.
NJD Vs NYR
Prediction: NJD in 5 games
Marty is showing no sign of slowing down. This could be the only factor in the series
Wings Vs Preds
Prediction: Preds in 7 games
Detroit has power, Vets and expirence, but lack in youth...Could cost them more then they think
Sharks Vs Flames
Prediction: Sharks 4 games
No question; Sharks are more dominant. Size is a factor.
Wild Vs Avs
Prediction: Wild 6 games
Tight game. Either team could win, but Wild are showing that they deserve a shot.
Stars Vs Ducks
Prediction: Ducks 6 games
Another even game. Ducks were last year champs and don't plan giving up this time around.
6/8 Victors Matched. lol I still think Nashville has a chance though. Miracles can happen. Plus Detroit was never too promising in the first round of any playoffs that I can remember. But this years play offs seem to be very unpredicatble. Good luck to all teams!

Posted April 9, 2008 05:53 PM

George

Philadelphia

I agree with most of the predictions, except I don't think Montreal will coast past Boston. Yes, the Habs won all 8 games during the regular season, but can a team really lose 12 times to another in one year?

The return of Chara, Savard, and now Bergeron to the Bruins line-up, three bonafide stars, certainly tilts the competitive balance to at least a more even level. Claude Julien has his team playing old school Devils hockey, a style that can stifle the Habs offense. Savard and Bergeron will increase the Bruins' offensive punch.

The first 2 games in MTL will decide the series. With a gimpy Koivu and Komisarek, there is a great opportunity for the Bruins to steal one, if not both games. As such, I am going out on a limb and calling for the upset: Bruins in 7.

Posted April 9, 2008 04:50 PM

Brandon

Minneapolis

I am just hoping that two traditional hockey markets are left standing in the final. The last three cup finals have been somewhat disappointing with Tampa Bay, Carolina, and Anaheim. Those Sun Belt teams just suck the life out of the playoffs.

Posted April 9, 2008 04:25 PM

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Simpson on Hockey »



About the Author

Former NHL player, coach and broadcaster Craig Simpson brings over 18 years of expertise to his analyst role on CBC’s Hockey Night in Canada. Craig played 10 years in the NHL with Pittsburgh, Buffalo and Edmonton, capturing two Stanley Cups with the Oilers in 1988 and 1990. He continues to hold the distinction of being the last Oiler to score 50 goals in one season (56 goals in 1987-88).

Injuries cut his playing career short in 1995, but the native of London, Ont., didn’t stray far from the game. Simpson worked for eight seasons as a hockey commentator with TSN, FoxSportsNet and Rogers Sportsnet and was an assistant coach with the Oilers organization for the past four years (2003-07) before joining CBC.

Simpson lives in Edmonton with his wife and three children. Viewers can catch Craig on Saturday nights providing analysis and commentary during the second game on HNIC. His blog appears every Tuesday on CBCSports.ca.

Recent Posts

The NHL’s best two teams face off
Wednesday, May 21, 2008
It's down to the final four
Tuesday, May 6, 2008
On To Round Two
Friday, April 25, 2008
Round One Begins
Wednesday, April 9, 2008
Was Playfair really the problem?
Tuesday, April 1, 2008
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May 2008 (2)
April 2008 (3)
March 2008 (4)
February 2008 (5)
January 2008 (4)
December 2007 (4)
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