Monday August 03, 2015
Long campaign trail ahead means all eyes on the economy
Conservative Party Leader Stephen Harper kicked off an eleven-week federal election campaign yesterday — the longest one in more than a hundred years.
As much of the country enjoys an August holiday today, the 19th of October may seem far, far away. But now that it's official, election day is beginning to come into focus.
The common wisdom going into this election is that its unprecedented length gives the Conservatives an economic advantage. With the largest war chest, they'll have more time to outspend their opponents.
But when it comes to their messaging, the extra time may be less advantageous.
Canadian economic growth has stumbled in recent months. And according to work by political scientist Randy Stevenson, the longer a campaign goes on, the more likely it is to ultimately turn on the economy.
Stevenson is a professor of political science and director of the Center for the Study of Demographic Representation at Rice University. He joined us from Houston, Texas.
For a snapshot of the state of the Canadian economy at the outset of this election, we were joined by two additional guests:
- Armine Yalnizyan, an economist with the Canadian Centre for Policy Alternatives
- Catherine Swift, spokesperson for Working Canadians and the former President of the Canadian Federation of Independent Business
This segment was produced by The Current's Sonya Buyting and Max Paris.
Does Campaign Length Matter? Testing for Cross-National Effects - Randolph Stevenson, Rice University
Economic uncertainty could play to Harper's strengths - The Globe and Mail