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Did Sheila Arrive Early?

Hey folks,

I posed this question last night on Here & Now... Do you think this past weekend storm was Sheila's Brush? I know, I know, it's only March 9th... but here are a few facts for you.

1) Sheila's Brush is of course the big Winter Storm that hits Eastern Newfoundland every year around St. Patrick's Day. The Storm is usually considered that last big one of the Winter.

2) St. Patrick's Day is next just around the corner... next Wednesday the 17th.

3) This has been a CRAZY winter with a lack of Snow and Warm temperatures.

PAST 5 YEARS

Here's a look at the Past 5 Years and when Sheila's Brush moved in.

2009- March 21st. 28 cm in St. John's and Gander had 24 cm.

2008- March 17-19th. St. John's had 58 cm of Snow! Gander had 57 cm of Snow. Gander also got hit just days before 64 cm of Snow on the 13th and 14th... so it was a double whammy.

2007- March 29th-30th. Gander gets 20 cm while St. John's only gets less than 5. However St. John's had 14 cm just a few days earlier. You have to go all the way back to Feb 23-24th to find a Big Snowfall for St. John's in the weird year of 07.

2006- March 27-29th. St. John's sees 32 cm of Snow. Gander lands 27 cm.

2005- March 30-31st. St. John's gets 18 cm of Snow and 60 mm of Rain. Gander gets 63 cm!!!

So there's no doubt the numbers show, this past weekend storm was WAY too early to be Sheila. But again you never know. This winter has been one of the warmest we've seen in decades... it will be really interesting to see how it all plays out. Especially considering we do appear to have something brewing for early next week.

NEXT WEEK SYSTEM

A quick update on our potential (Sheila) system for early next week.

-The Canadian model is still bringing the system in on late Sunday and into Monday. It's taking the centre of the system waaayyy to the West and wrapping nothing but warm air and rain into Newfoundland and even Southeastern Labrador.
-The American model continues to do the cha cha cha. It was showing a miss early yesterday, then it brought it back West... now it's somewhere in between. Still with the Tuesday idea.
-The European is thinking Tuesday as well and has an interesting track... just East of the Island.

Again, I'll keep you updated.

Ryan

Your Comments

I believe the last time we had a similar (significant El Nino) winter, Sheila's Brush clobbered us in April with 80+ cm of snow (1999). The late winter/spring had been so beautiful, I had already started laying a new lawn and remember the back hoe sitting on my front lawn for a week waiting for the snow to melt. I believe that winter saw more rain every month than snow...except April. :)
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REPLY: GREAT MEMORY LA. APRIL 5TH AND 6TH ST. JOHN'S WAS HAMMERED WITH 82 CM OF SNOW!!! FORGET A BRUSH... THAT'S A FULL OUT BEATING!!!

ANOTHER INTERESTING NOTE. APRIL 5TH 1999 STILL HOLDS THE RECORD FOR THE MOST SNOWFALL IN ONE DAY IN RECORDED HISTORY IN ST. JOHN'S WITH 68.4 CM.

Posted by: LA on March 9, 2010 02:13 PM

Sheila's Brush.........My grand father lived to be 99 and he died in 1963 so I'm talking upwards of 150 years of 'history'.
The story he told is of Sheila and Patty, an Irish couple given to heated debates over anything. But Sheila always insisted on the last word.
What does this have to do with the weather? Well, here's how my grand father explained it to me! It, the first "snow" storm after St. "Patty's Day", belongs to Patty of course. But as I said Sheila is want to have the last word and so you should not be too surprised that there are TWO storms after St. Patty's Day.
My memory says that except for last year there are always two snow storms after St. Patrick's Day. And when an Irish woman is moody you should know which snow storm is the meanest!

Check your weather history and see how many times we've had two major storms after St. Patrick's Day.

Posted by: Robert Kirby on March 14, 2010 06:23 PM

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