CBC Newfoundland & Labrador

CHANGES.... again.

Hey Folks,

Based on the flip flopping the models have been doing with this storm all week... I shouldn't be surprised... but I am... that the models have trended BACK EAST AGAIN!!!
My hair has turned completely grey trying to forecast this thing... hahaha.

So what this more Easterly track means is... most of the heavy snow is now forecast to fall offshore. I know, I know, I can hear you snowmobile and ski lovers growning from here.

I just got into the office here... I'm going to take a look at the afternoon runs later on and I'll have an UPDATED snowfall map for you later this afternoon and of course full details and timeline on Here & Now tonight. But unless the afternoon runs are much different then the morning run expect MUCH less than my map yesterday.

Ryan

Your Comments

12Z NAM is back west showing 40cm for St. John's, even the 06Z which was the weakest I've seen showed a good 20cm. The GFS has shown trace to 5cm for the last 3 days and the GEM has consistently been showing what looks to me like 10cm. It seems the deciding factor will be how much moisture this system pick up, as all of the models show a track which normally would create 15cm+, just the gem and GFS show a rather amemic precipitation shield. personally I think the NAM is a bit overdone but the GFS is consistently underdone. Which model is historically more reliable?? I know the NAM has better resolution but...

Posted by: Maxwell on January 8, 2010 11:40 AM

Ryan,

You have a tough job, I imagine you make some people mad, and some people happy. You should open a bar, either way you will make money.

Joe C.

Posted by: Joe on January 8, 2010 05:20 PM

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