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18 YEARS OF NL WINTER WARMTH

Hey Folks,


Another Winter has come and gone. Meteorological Winter is December, January and February. Statistically, these are the three months when we experience the coldest temps & snowiest weather across most of NL. However once again this Winter, temperatures were warmer than normal right across the Province, an ongoing trend that perhaps could be called, the new normal. 

You'll often hear Nan and Pop say... "Winters certainly aren't what they used to be". And it seems our elders are right, especially when it comes to the past 2 decades. For some places, like Gander and Deer Lake, this past Dec-Jan-Feb was your 18th straight with normal and mostly warmer than normal Winter temps! An almost unbelievable run. In Stephenville, Labrador City, and St. John's the only 'colder' than normal Winters have only been cooler by less than half a degree. Newfoundland and Labrador really hasn't experienced a widespread colder than average Winter, since the 1994/1995 season.

I've gone all the way back and crunched the numbers for the past 20 Winters across the Province. I need to mention right off the top here, that this is an unscientific number crunch. I looked at 8 locations across NL and used the average temperature from December, January and February from each of the past 20 years. I then compared that average temperature, to the '30 year normal' for those months. 

Note: The '30 year normal' temperatures I refer to are the 1971-2000 Environment Canada averages. It's expected that later this year those numbers will change to 1981-2010 averages. I will update you on those changes when they happen, because there is no doubt, those new numbers will look different.

Here's how things break down region by region.

YYT.pngSt. John's
-This past Winter was the 10th straight, with warmer than normal temperatures.
-16 of the past 18 Winters have averaged warmer than normal. The other 2 Winters were within half a degree of normal. Yes the famous 2000-2001 Winter included!  
-The past 20 Winters have averaged 1.1° degrees warmer than the 30 year normal.
-The past 10 Winters have averaged 1.7° degrees warmer than the 30 year normal.


YQX.png
Gander
-This past Winter was the 18th straight, with near normal or warmer than normal temperatures!
-The past 20 Winters have averaged 1.5° warmer than the 30 year normal.
-The past 10 Winters have averaged 2.1° warmer than the 30 year normal.



YDF.pngDeer Lake
-This past Winter was the 18th straight, with near normal, or warmer than normal temperatures.
-The past 20 Winters have averaged 1.8° warmer than the 30 year normal.
-The past 10 Winters have averaged 2.5° warmer than the 30 year normal.


YJT.pngStephenville
-This past Winter was the 10th straight, with warmer than normal temperatures.
-17 of the past 18 Winters have averaged near or warmer than normal. 02/03 was just -0.1° 'cooler' than normal. 
-The past 20 Winters have averaged 1.7° warmer than the 30 year normal.
-The past 10 Winters have averaged 2.4° warmer than the 30 year normal.


Cartwright.pngCartwright
-Cartwright comes in at 2nd, in terms of Winter warming over the past 10 & 20 years. 
-This past Winter was the 5th straight, with warmer than normal temperatures.
-17 of the past 18 Winters have averaged near or warmer than normal.
-Interesting that Cartwright is one of only two locations to have experienced a Winter, cooler than 1° below normal in 18 years.   
-The past 20 Winters have averaged  warmer than the 30 year normal.
-The past 10 Winters have averaged 2.9° warmer than the 30 year normal.


Nain.png
Nain
-Out of our 8 locations, no region has witnessed a larger rise in Winter temps than Nain.
-This past Winter was the 5th straight with warmer than normal temperatures. 
-Nain is the only other of the 8 locations to experience a Winter, colder than 1° below normal over the past 18 years. 
-The past 20 Winters have averaged 2.1° warmer than the 30 year normal.
-The past 10 Winters have averaged  warmer than the 30 year normal.


HVGB.png
Happy Valley-Goose Bay
-This past Winter was the 5th straight, with warmer than normal temperatures.
-17 of the past 18 Winters have averaged near or warmer than normal.  
-The past 20 Winters have averaged 1.9° warmer than the 30 year normal.
-The past 10 Winters have averaged 2.7° warmer than the 30 year normal.


LabCity.png
Labrador City
-This past Winter was the 8th straight, with warmer than normal temperatures.
-17 of the past 18 Winters have averaged near or warmer than normal. 04/05 was just 0.2 'cooler' than normal.
-The past 20 Winters have averaged 1.8° warmer than the 30 year normal.
-The past 10 Winters have averaged 2.6° warmer than the 30 year normal.

*All statistics are from Environment Canada Weather Stations.

-Ryan

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