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COOL QUIET WEEKEND, WARM UP NEXT WEEK?

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A beautiful winter day in Twillingate! Picture Courtesy: Bill Perks

Hey Folks,
 
Well after a very active few weeks, Eastern Newfoundland is finally catching a break from the Snow Storms. Earlier this week, it appeared St. John's & the Avalon was set to see another 20-30 cm Snow Storm for Saturday night into Sunday. However over the past 48 hours, as the system developed over the Rockies and moved across the Prairies, forecast models have been tracking the system South of the Island. As a result, we're going to dodge that bullet!
 
THE WEEKEND
The cold temperatures which have gripped the Province all week long aren't going anywhere, anytime fast. Below seasonal temperature will continue right through the Weekend and into next week. Although the snow squalls have eased on the West and South coasts, the onshore flurries remain and will also continue through the Weekend. As winds become more Northwesterly on Sunday, the Northeast Coast will get into some onshore flurries action as well. Have a look at the Next 36 hours. (GEM Regional Model)

 
LONG RANGE
A cool Northwesterly flow will continue into early next week, keeping temperatures chilly across the Province. High pressure will settle into Atlantic Canada on Monday and into Tuesday, bringing some clearing skies and some Sunshine for many. Here's the long range GFS model outlook.

 
WARM UP COMING?
Now this is the long-long range, however as you can see from the GFS model above, forecast models are flirting with a big warm up for the Eastern part of Canada mid-late next week. A Colorado Low will develop early next week and move across North America bringing all kinds of warm air from Southern U.S. along with it. There are still some disagreements on both the track & timing of the system, which makes this far from a guarantee. Still, consider this a heads up for all of you snow lovers out there, get out and enjoy the powdery snow that's on the ground now! The snap below is from the GFS model for next Thursday evening. Notice how far West the Low is (over Central Quebec) allowing all the warm air to pump up ahead of the system. This idea, one of a few, has the warm air and rain even pushing into Southeastern Labrador! As always, stay tuned.

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MASSIVE ATLANTIC STORM
Just a quick note on a developing MONSTER of a storm in the North Atlantic. A Low which passed South of Newfoundland over the past 24 hours is developing into a huge Storm. Forecast models have been 'bombing' the Storm out with a barometric pressure as low as 928 to 919 mb by Saturday morning! That would make it one of the most intense Storms ever recorded in the North Atlantic. To give you a sample,  Hurricane Sandy dropped to a low of 940 mb and the 'average' Category 4 Hurricane, has a central pressure of 920-944 mb. A very strong storm indeed!
 

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The good news is, this Storm is moving AWAY from Newfoundland and it will weaken somewhat as it rolls towards Iceland and the UK this weekend.
 
Ryan

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