Well what an end to October! This month that has been, as expected, well warmer
than normal across much of the Island. However over the past few days, it's been more like Fogtober for St.
John's, Gander and much of the Northeast Coast of Newfoundland.
Through Tuesday... St. John's, Gander & Deer Lake's average temperatures are all 2.5° to 2.6° warmer than normal this month. Daily highs this month, have been 2.2° to 2.3° warmer than normal!
However thanks to the past few days, we're now up to over 100 hours of Fog, with visibility at 1 km or less at
YYT this month. As Brian Walsh pointed out, that now puts this
month as the 2nd Foggiest October on record.
The good news is, we are slowly 'coming out of the fog', so to speak, along
the Northeast Coast of Newfoundland. An area of High pressure to the Northeast
is sinking to the South and that's going to ease the relentless Northeasterly
flow. Winds will slowly become South Southeasterly through Wednesday which will
certainly help improve the fog forecast.
Overall, Wednesday will be a half decent day across the Province.
South/Southeasterly Winds will be dominate, keeping temperatures mild. The
clouds will be building in from the West as the remnants of Sandy work into NL.
For the kiddies heading out to Trick or Treat: Between 5 pm & 8pm, the best chance of seeing rain will be from Labrador
City/Wabush to Churchill Falls to the North Coast of Labrador as a front
works in. Along the North Labrador Coast, that rain will begin mixing with wet
snow before midnight. With an onshore flow, there is also a chance of drizzle
along the South Coast of the Island including the Burin Peninsula. There is a slight chance 30-40% for some drizzle along the Southern Shore and into St.
John's Metro. Some fog patches will also be developing, which will add to the spookiness, but also the danger. If you're driving, take your time and have a look for the kids.
Temperatures will be in the 7° to 9° range for much of the NL in that 5pm to 8pm
time frame. Just 1° to 3° along the North Coast of Labrador.
I'll have another update tonight on Here & Now.. around 6:35 to 6:40,
with your official Halloween Forecast!
As mentioned above, the rain moving into Labrador on Wednesday/Wednesday
night and into Newfoundland through the day on Thursday will be the remnants of
Sandy. Sandy as you all know, was a truly a Super Storm. It made landfall as a
powerful Post Tropical Storm in NJ last evening with a central pressure of 940
mb! That's the lowest pressured storm ever to make landfall North of the
Cape Hatteras. Between the Storm itself and the destruction it's leaving behind,
Sandy will certainly go down in history as one of the biggest storms ever to hit
the Northeast US.
For us, Sandy (or what's left of it) will be nothing significant. By the
time the system rolls in here, it will be a regular old Fall system. We are
looking at some rain and some breezy winds, but nothing we haven't seen before...
especially this time of year.
Here's a look at the GFS Long Range Forecast model which runs through until
As you can see, we're looking at a damp and breezy end to the week and into the
Weekend, all thanks to Sandy and it's remnants.
What happens beyond the weekend and into next week, is still a little in
question. Forecast models are all hinting at a strong push of Cold air
into NL, as Sandy departs to the Northeast. As that cold air sinks in, forecast
models are also suggesting at a stormy pattern, with 1 or 2 more systems
approaching from the Southwest. Really complicating things will be the
continued Blocking High over Greenland. Currently, the models really can't
figure out how strong it will be... and that will be huge factor in how things
I think either way, it should be an 'interesting' week... but it always is