Hey Folks,

 

You're likely going to be hearing the name 'Isaac' mentioned a lot in the coming days, with the latest Tropical Storm now rolling West into the Caribbean.

The general forecast model consensus, is that the system will move through the Caribbean before an brush, or even a direct hit on Florida late this weekend or into Monday. Confidence seems to be growing that this Storm won't track into the Gulf of Mexico, but will instead be a Florida, or Southeastern U.S problem. Here's a look at the latest forecast model ideas for Isaac's track.

 

 

So, with weakening expected in the ridge of High pressure to the North of Isaac, which is currently keeping the storm on an East-West track, it's looking very likely that Isaac will start to turn Northward this weekend. When that happens, there will then be a couple of ways Isaac could affect us here in Atlantic Canada.

 

-The first being, the storm stays just East of Florida & U.S. Southeast and then tracks Northward up the Eastern Seaboard and into our region as a Tropical Depression/Storm or Hurricane.

 

-The second, the storm makes landfall in Florida or the Southeast U.S. and then some of the left over juice from the system gets funneled up the Coast and brings us a good soaking mid/late next week. As of now, this is looking a little more likely than option one, but it's still early.

 

-Or of course, the Storm could make landfall in the Southern U.S. completely rain itself out and we see nothing. It's just too early to say for sure right now. 

Either way, Isaac is certainly worth watching. So stay tuned!

 

 

Another cluster of storms bubbling up in the Tropical Atlantic has been given a 100% chance of becoming a Tropical Cyclone within the next 48 hours. Joyce is the next name on this list. However as of now, it looks like this storm won't be as intense and will be one for the fish.

 

Just a heads up. I'm going to be taking some time off, for some R&R. The lovely Nadia Stewart will be keeping you posted here in the Weather Centre on Friday and next week. I'll see and talk to you again after the Labour Day Weekend. 

Again, stay tuned to the Live Blog for the latest #nlwx updates from Nadia & Meteorologist Rodney Barney from the Gander Weather Office.  

Ryan