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THE TROPICS ARE HEATING UP
August 22, 2012 10:15 AM
You're likely going to be hearing the name 'Isaac' mentioned a lot in the
coming days, with the latest Tropical Storm now rolling West into the Caribbean.
The general forecast model consensus, is that the system will move through
the Caribbean before an brush, or even a direct hit on Florida late this weekend or
into Monday. Confidence seems to be growing that this Storm won't track into the
Gulf of Mexico, but will instead be a Florida, or Southeastern U.S problem.
Here's a look at the latest forecast model ideas for Isaac's track.
In terms of intensity, there are still a few different ideas, however most
of the go to forecast models are putting Issac in the Category One range on
Thursday or into Friday.
So, with weakening expected in the ridge of High pressure to the North of Isaac, which is currently keeping the storm on an East-West track, it's looking very likely
that Isaac will start to turn Northward this weekend. When that happens, there will then be a couple of ways Isaac could affect us here in
-The first being, the storm stays just East of Florida & U.S. Southeast and then tracks
Northward up the Eastern Seaboard and into our region as a Tropical Depression/Storm or Hurricane.
-The second, the storm makes landfall in Florida or the Southeast
U.S. and then some of the left over juice from the system gets funneled up the
Coast and brings us a good soaking mid/late next week. As of now, this is looking a little more likely than option one, but it's still early.
-Or of course, the Storm could make landfall in the Southern U.S. completely rain itself out and we see nothing. It's just too early to say for sure right
Either way, Isaac is certainly worth watching. So stay tuned!
JOYCE UP NEXT?
Another cluster of storms bubbling up in the Tropical Atlantic has been
given a 100% chance of becoming a Tropical Cyclone within the next 48 hours. Joyce is the next name on this list. However as of now, it looks
like this storm won't be as intense and will be one for the fish.
Just a heads up. I'm going to be taking some time off, for some R&R.
The lovely Nadia Stewart will be keeping you posted here in the Weather Centre
on Friday and next week. I'll see and talk to you again after the Labour Day
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