U.S. rate hikes unlikely until late 2014
Federal Reserve extends low-rate period by up to 18 months
CBC News
Posted: Jan 25, 2012 11:35 AM ET
Last Updated: Jan 25, 2012 3:36 PM ET
U.S. Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke said at a news conference Wednesday the Fed will likely keep interest rates low until late 2014, longer than previously expected.
Related
Related Links
The U.S. Federal Reserve said Wednesday it likely won't raise interest rates from their current record low levels until late 2014.
Previously, the Fed had said it would keep rates low until mid-2013. This latest announcement by the Fed extends that time frame for low rates by up to 18 months.
The U.S. central bank said its decision to keep rates low for an extended period was intended to boost a struggling but modestly growing American economy.
"Economic conditions ... are likely to warrant exceptionally low levels for the federal funds rate at least through late 2014," the Fed said in a statement.
"Unless there is a substantial strengthening of the economy in the near term, it's a pretty good guess we will be keeping rates low for some time," Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke said later at a news conference.
Inflation 'subdued'
As expected, the Fed left its federal funds rate unchanged at a rock-bottom zero to 0.25 per cent — the same level it's been for the last three years.
The decision to stand pat on rates was widely expected by the market. But the Fed's forecast of an extended period of exceptionally low interest rates gave a boost to U.S. stock markets. The Dow Jones industrial average, which had been down 60 points before the announcement, turned positive afterward.
The Fed seems "less concerned about inflation, dropping a sentence that previously stated they were monitoring it closely," noted CIBC World Markets economist Avery Shenfeld.
For the first time, the Fed also established a target for inflation — two per cent.
The Fed also downgraded its forecast for U.S. economic growth. It now projects growth of 2.2 to 2.7 per cent for 2012. As recently as November, it saw economic growth this year as being in a range of 2.5 to 2.9 per cent.
The Fed also sees the U.S.unemployment rate edging down from the current 8.5 per cent to as low as 8.2 per cent later this year. But it doesn't see the U.S. jobless rate dropping below seven per cent until 2014.
The Fed's updated quarterly forecast also revealed that some members of its powerful rate-setting committee wanted the period of low rates to extend even beyond 2014.
The Fed's new transparency is meant to provide business and consumers with some assurance that rates are likely to remain low for some time to come.
Rebound tentative
The U.S. economy is still shaky, the Fed said, but it is finally beginning to show some signs that it might be rebounding.
Companies have begun to hire again and the stock market has been rising. Home prices are only now beginning to rise after three years of steep declines.
But Bernanke warned that Europe's slowdown had the potential to derail the "moderate" expansion the U.S. in now experiencing. "Strains in global financial markets continue to pose significant downide risk to that outlook," he said.
In the recent past, the Fed has embarked on a couple of rounds of aggressive bond buying. This strategy, known as quantitative easing, is designed to lower long-term rates.
On Wednesday, the Fed did not announce any new bond-buying program. But it said it was prepared to adjust its "holdings as appropriate to promote a stronger economic recovery in the context of price stability."
With files from The Associated PressShare Tools
Top News Headlines
- B.C. police shooting video sparks calls for new probe
- Amateur video of the shooting of a mentally ill Vancouver man five years ago has prompted calls for B.C.'s police complaint commissioner and Crown prosecutors to take another look at the case. more »
- 'Engine shutdown' forced Air Canada jet to land
- A Japan-bound Air Canada Boeing 777 jet had to make an emergency landing at Toronto's Pearson airport on Monday, after one of its engines failed. more »
- CP Rail union, Tories battle over collective bargaining
- The federal Conservatives defended their plan to force striking Canadian Pacific Railway employees back to work as a way to keep the economy on track, while the union representing 4,800 workers said their collective bargaining rights are under attack. more »
- Quebec resumes student talks as protests ebb
- A new round of negotiations between student leaders and Quebec's Liberal government over the province's tuition-fee crisis end at night, as hundreds of people take to the streets in protest. more »
Latest World News Headlines
- Annan calls Syrian massacre 'an appalling crime'
- UN mediator Kofi Annan arrived in Damascus today, saying he was 'shocked and horrified' by the massacre of 108 people, including 49 children, in the town of Houla. more »
- Vatican denies cardinal suspected in leaks scandal
- One of the Vatican's biggest scandals in decades appeared to be widening with reports that an Italian cardinal may be part of a power struggle involving leaked documents, corruption and intrigue — a suggestion the Vatican quickly denied. more »
- Obama calls treatment of Vietnam vets a 'national shame'
- U.S. President Barack Obama praised Vietnam veterans as war heroes who were often not given the welcome they deserved on their return home. more »
- Hesjedal knew Giro win was no sure thing

- Victoria cyclist Ryder Hesjedal says his Giro d'Italia victory was never a sure thing, despite being the favourite going into the final stage of the three-week race. more »
Dispatches »
- Foreign slaves serving the U.S. military machine May. 24, 2012 3:33 PM How does a hairdresser recruited for work in Dubai, wind up slaving for the U.S. military in a war zone in Iraq? There are tens of thousands serving in what's come to be known as America's "Invisible Army."
Connect Newsroom Blog
Series launches tonight May. 28, 2012 6:33 PM Tonight we're launching our week-long series #bullyPROOF and we're starting things off by heading back to class for a closer look at bullying in our schools.
- 'Engine shutdown' forced Air Canada jet to land
- Missing Winnipeg kids found in Mexico are back with mom
- Thunder Bay flooding causes state of emergency
- Canadian Everest climber's body recovered
- Vatican denies cardinal suspected in leaks scandal
- Evolution skeptics will soon be silenced by science: Richard Leakey
- Man, woman shot dead in Burnaby restaurant
- CP Rail union, Tories battle over collective bargaining
- Wacky weather mix across Canada

