Recent Arctic warming follows centuries of natural cooling
Last Updated: Thursday, September 3, 2009 | 2:02 PM ET
CBC News
Some of the study's temperature data was taken from lake core from Upper Greyling Lake in Alaska. (Northern Arizona University)The Arctic had been cooling for almost 2,000 years before a recent, sudden warming in the last 50 years, a new study on climate change suggests.
The five-year study by an international team of scientists from the U.S., Canada, Iceland, Norway and Finland provides more evidence that human activity and greenhouse gases are affecting the Earth's climate.
The researchers, led by Darrell Kaufman, a geologist and environmental scientist at Northern Arizona University, reconstructed 2,000 years of summer temperature data from Arctic lake sediments, tree rings and glacier ice.
Prior to this study, the record of temperature data with this level of detail went back only 400 years.
"Our reconstruction shows that the last half-century was the warmest of the last 2,000 years," said Kaufman in a release.
The warming in the last 50 years was preceded by a steady cooling trend that should have continued through the 20th century, the researchers said.
The cooling trend lasting at least 1,900 years was caused by a wobble in the Earth's rotational axis that slowly increased the distance between the Earth and the Sun during the summer in the Arctic, reducing the amount of summer sunlight there, the scientists said.
The wobble, or precession, in the Earth's rotation continued into the 20th century, so the cooling should have continued, too, but by the 1950s summer temperatures in the Arctic were about 0.7 degrees higher than expected.
As well, the 1990s were the warmest decade of the last two millennia, the researchers said, with summer temperatures in the Arctic averaging about 1.4 degrees higher than would have been expected if the cooling trend had continued.
The study also agreed with previous studies that found that warming in the Arctic is occurring at a higher rate than in the rest of the world because of changes in albedo, or how much light the ground reflects back into space.
"The Arctic amplifies climate change as reflective snow and ice are replaced by dark, heat-absorbing water and vegetated surfaces," said Kaufmann. As well, melting glacial ice contributes to sea-level rise and thawing permafrost releases methane gas, an important contributor to the greenhouse effect.
"Arctic warming will continue to exceed temperature increases in the rest of the Northern Hemisphere, resulting in accelerated loss of land ice and an increased rate of sea-level rise, with global consequences," said research team member Gifford Miller of the University of Colorado, Boulder.
The study, published this week in Science, was based on previously published data by Kaufman's team from studies of sediment cores taken from 14 lakes. It also included a computer simulation of climate change over the last 2,000 years, which agrees with the climate model proposed by the National Center for Atmospheric Research used to predict future climate change.
Share Tools
Top News Headlines
- Oda's travel expenses cause dissent in Tory caucus
- Conservative MP John Williamson, who was once head of the Canadian Taxpayers Federation, has raised the issue of International Co-operation Minister Bev Oda's spending habits behind closed doors with the Conservative caucus. more »
- Canada accused of 'complicity' in torture in UN report
- The United Nations Committee Against Torture has condemned what it calls Canadian "complicity" in torture and human rights violations of Muslim men caught up in the post-9/11 security net. Terry Milewski has exclusive details. more »
- Diamond Jubilee: Your photos of royal encounters
- The CBC Community team asked you to submit your best photos of the Queen's visits to Canada, or visits by any member of the Royal Family. The result was tremendous! more »
- Helicopter crash kills 3 near Terrace, B.C.
- All three people aboard a helicopter that went down west of Terrace, B.C., died in the crash, the aircraft's owners say. more »
Latest Technology & Science News Headlines
- Newly mapped tomato genome could yield tastier, hardier fruit
- You might think you know all you need to know about the humble tomato, but now, you can truly get a look at what this fleshy fruit is made of thanks to the work of about 300 scientists who have identified almost all of the genes that make up one common variety. more »
- Last chance to see Venus transit across sun
- If you happen to glance at the sun in the early evening next Tuesday and notice a black dot moving across it, fear not, that's not dust in your eye or an early sign of glaucoma — it's Venus. more »
- Call of Duty creators, Activision settle legal fight
- Activision has reached a settlement with the creators of the hit video game series Call of Duty following a bitter legal battle. more »
- Google flags censored search words to Chinese users
- Google has fired a new salvo in its censorship battle with Beijing by adding a feature that warns users in China each time they enter keywords into its search engine that might produce blocked results and suggests they try other terms. more »
- Social mapping software turns neighbourhoods into 'Livehoods'
- You might have no doubt about what neighbourhood you live in, but can you pinpoint your livehood? If you're in Montreal, you can now, thanks to a new mapping software that redraws traditional city boundaries using data gleaned from social media applications such as Twitter and Foursquare. more »
Bob McDonald's Blog
SpaceX got it right when things went wrong Jun. 1, 2012 2:55 PM It was back slaps and hugs all around this week as the Dragon space capsule, the first privately-built spacecraft to visit the International Space Station, returned safely to Earth. What's most impressive is how problems that arose during the mission were solved along the way.
Quirks & Quarks
- June 2: The Day the World Discovered the Sun Jun. 1, 2012 4:32 PM We'll look back at the Transit of Venus in 1769, which sparked a worldwide competition among aspiring global superpowers, each sending its own scientific expedition to far-flung destinations to track the transit, in order to measure the distance to the Sun.
Latest Features
- Body-parts victim a Chinese student in Montreal
- Edmonton teacher suspended for giving 0s
- Flooding closes Toronto subway hub Union station
- Owner defends 'gore' site connected to Luka Magnotta
- New duty-free limits will challenge Canadian retailers
- Copyright board to charge for music at weddings, parades
- Helicopter crash kills 3 near Terrace, B.C.
- Alberta teen hospitalized after fight involving dozens of students
- 2,000 jobs cut as GM to close Oshawa plant

