It's the economy, stupid! And the cost of the war
Comments (17)
Thursday, April 10, 2008 | 05:34 PM ET
By Henry Champ
After two days of hearings on Iraq, where the U.S. general in charge of the war, Gen. David Petraeus, and the U.S. ambassador to that benighted country, Ryan Crocker, skirmished with decidedly critical senators and congressional representatives, it was the
commander-in-chief's turn for a 14-minute presidential address.
The opposition Democrats could not have been more delighted. They felt they had just been handed the keys to the White House.
Finally, after five years, the American people are going to have their say on the Iraq war and it will be irrevocable.
Petraeus and Crocker employed a blizzard of charts, maps and tables to tell Congress that the Iraqi economy is on a sounder footing and that there are fewer people being killed there today — save for enemy combatants — than 12 or 15 or any number of months ago.
The Surge Has Worked is the message they carried to Washington. It is one to put right up there with George W. Bush's Mission Accomplished back in May 2003.
'Fragile and reversible'
Cautiously, the pair did describe the gains in Iraq as "fragile and reversible." There was plenty of agreement from their questioners on that point.
When it came his turn, on day three of the dog and pony show, the president told the American people he would ease the strain on soldiers by reducing the term of deployment in Iraq to 12 from 15 months.
But he also ordered an indefinite halt to all U.S. troop withdrawals after July, giving Petraeus what he asked for — "all the time he needs" to gauge if the gains are real.
The upshot: This president will not start troop withdrawals in his remaining months in office. It will be left to the next one to take on that task. Bush, who spent the Vietnam war nestled down with the Arkansas National Guard, is not going to be a president who lost a war.
But shed no tears for the Democrats at this turn of events. Their two presidential contenders both have plans to start withdrawals from Iraq. The majority of U.S. voters support such a withdrawal and want this war to end.
And there is more than just the ongoing unrest and sectarian bloodshed on voters' minds. There is also a little matter of cost.
The Democrat pitch
"There is a connection between the state of our economy and Iraq and what we are spending over there." Baron P Hill, a Democratic congressman from Illinois told the Washington Post. "We need to spend more money on infrastructure, on roads and bridges, that would have a stimulative effect on the economy. We are not doing those things because of all the money we are spending in Iraq."
Hill is probably on to something here. Even bigger than the majority of voters who support the withdrawal of troops are those who are worried about the economy. What's more, there seems to be an ever growing number of Americans who believe the costs of the Iraq War is playing a big role in weakening the U.S. economy.
Democrats are giddy thinking about taking on the Republican nominee John McCain, who wants to stay the course in Iraq. Batter him with ads about the state of play in Iraq, which is not pretty, and then bang away with claims the war is costing trillions of dollars. That's right, trillions of dollars.
There are political ads being tested now that point out that while the U.S. budget is in deficit, Iraq's is, believe it or not, in surplus. With oil touching $112 dollars a barrel the other day, it is no wonder.
The argument is so potent that some Republicans have begun to stray from the party line. Republican Senator Susan Collins, from Maine, is a co-sponsor of a bill that would require all future spending on reconstruction in Iraq to take the form of a loan to be repaid. It would also have all fuel costs for the American military be paid by the Iraqis, as well as all costs incurred for the training of the Iraq military and police.
Collins is up for re-election this year.
Then there is South Carolina Senator Lindsey Graham, one of the biggest McCain supporters, who says: "The best thing we can do for the people of Iraq is to make them a stakeholder in their future."
President Bush acknowledged this growing concern about the costs of the war and its impact on the U.S. by promising that " our share of Iraq's security costs will drop as Iraqis pay for the vast majority of their own army and police.
"And that's the way it should be. Ultimately, we expect Iraq to shoulder the full burden of these costs. In the period ahead, Iraq's economy will increasingly move away from American assistance, rely on private investment and stand on its own."
As you listen to the Democratic arguments, keep in mind they are raising money at a record clip to fund both the Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton campaigns.
Some argue that the competitive race between Obama and Clinton is hurting the Democratic party. But it is also true that they are road-testing these arguments in upcoming primaries, while McCain suffers for a lack of audience.
Today concluded three days of non-stop administration rhetoric on the war.
The Democrats loved every minute of it.
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About the Author
Henry Champ is CBC Newsworld's correspondent in Washington, D.C., delivering Canadian viewers the latest developments in the U.S. political arena. Recently, he has been a leading Canadian voice on coverage of the war on terrorism, the war in Iraq and the growing concerns over the Canada-U.S. relationship.
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Comments (17)
Juan
Oklahoma
Boy, the US plan to have Iraq pay for the cost of the War on itself sounds an awful lot like the reparations Germany was ordered to pay after WW1... and we all know how that one turned out.
It won't be long before a charismatic Iraqi leader steps up and wins the hearts and minds of the Iraqi people with a refusal to pay. Oh this all sounds too familiar.
Posted April 26, 2008 11:57 PM
Luc
Buckingham
I agree with Paul Madryga,
What Collins said is pure non-sense, anyone in her position who proposes such a bill should be removed from office for blatant stupidity and arrogance...
" It would also have all fuel costs for the American military be paid by the Iraqis, "
This one tops them all.... are you insane Collins ?
I cant even believe such a person would even have a crowd willing to listen into her idiotic bills and non-sense.
I truly hope you meet a quick demise Miss Collins, you deserve nothing....
The most stupid of it all, is that she/they would actually expect the Iraqis to pay back such gigantic amounts....
Posted April 22, 2008 06:26 PM
Anthony
Quebec
I would agree that the most logical next step is to roll any further economic commitment by the U.S. into a loan to be repaid by the Iraqi people when the war is over. There is of course the issue of the U.S. having started the war, disrupted the Iraqi economy, and sunbathed in incompetence as they let control of the situation spiral wildly out of their grasp, resulting in over 100,000 deceased Iraqis who, it could be argued, have a case against the United States for a civil lawsuit due to the bereavement caused to them by the US military action. I'm not saying anyone would succeed or even want to start such a lawsuit, but before the U.S. takes on the role of the victim, they should take a look at the victims on the other end of the gun sights and realize that compounding their suffering will only increase resentment of this bumbling 'super'power.
Posted April 14, 2008 10:37 PM
Dave
I can't wrap my head around this, so help me if you can. The U.S. invaded Iraq against the wishes of the international community and against the wishes of the Iraqi people themselves. They destroyed the country, terrorized and murdered civilians, committed atrocities in prisons for Iraqi insurgents, and opened the door for Iraq's enemies in Iran, Syria and elsewhere to infiltrate the country, and they want the Iraqi people to pay for all of this. Seems more than a tad odd. Whatever happened to the saying that if "you break it, you bought it?"
Posted April 14, 2008 05:33 PM
Len
Toronto
I can't help but think to myself when I read comments that show somehow that the Americans have forethought in what they are doing in Iraq. I think that's giving G.W. way too much credit. Papa was insulted. Saddam is dead. Oil prices have skyrocketed (good for GW and his cronies) so it's a win-win situation...the rest makes for good TV.
Posted April 14, 2008 11:52 AM
Rupert
Toronto
This war was and always has been about oil! But not in the simplistic sense that some observers make that the Americans are there to steal it from Iraq. Quite the contrary, buying it from them would have been a lot cheaper than this war.
The real reason Iraq was occupied was to keep the Chinese out! China is a rising power and it's energy needs will far exceed America's, in a time when the finitness of resources are becoming apparent. The urgency to invade Iraq was pronounced after the first Gulf War in which Saddam made it clear he no longer was willing to play ball in line with American policies anymore.
Call me a cynic, but this so-called military blundering in Iraq is no accident. The situation in Iraq has been deliberately allowed to remain on the edges of all out chaos as a pretext to allow US forces to remain in Iraq for decades, forcing China to look elsewhere, like Sudan for it's energy needs...at least for the time being.
The competition for oil amongst nations is only beginning.
Posted April 14, 2008 10:37 AM
Tom Macfarlane
I think it's clear George W's megalomania with socking it to the Iraqi's has almost bankrupted one of the world's greatest powers. It is interesting that the US was warned not to go into Iraq and did so anyway. I for one am glad that Canada did not. I think that Bush's presidency has definitely pushed the US's economy to the brink of a financial catastrophe. If the US had gotten out of Iraq after Saddam's capture, they would have been better off both in terms of reputation and the economy. Unfortunately we have to watch this terrible waste of people and money as it inevitably draws to a final end.
Posted April 13, 2008 12:29 PM
Jason D.
Saskatchewan
I, too shake my head in disbelief and dread at what the US is getting itself into in the future by squandering trillions in the present.
Notwithstanding what those resources could do to seed programs for people to help themselves in other countries, like in Africa (think better economies and markets for the US in future), what could those resources do to drive innovation and the economy in the US?
Let's not pretend that China, like the US, will not act selfishly in the future when it has the power to do so (I don't mean militarily). Anyone who knows anything about China's statistics can deduce that the potential of its future economic might is vast, and it will dwarf the US the way the US dwarfs Canada.
Do we see China squandering billions, let alone trillions, in unnecessary foreign quagmires? No, China is investing in infrastructure and other enablers of its economy. And, China is investing in Africa.
Without plans and strategies for the future, companies get scooped by others that do plan ahead and can use their intellectual capacity to become resilient and grow. Countries work the same way. And the US is being run by a cheesehead.
The US has only existed as a superpower for a short blip in the history of nations, and its remaining time as a dominant power will be short, too.
Posted April 13, 2008 02:28 AM
Lauren Parker
How can people still be surprised by the entire issue with Iraq? Do people not know anything about history anymore? This has happened numerous times in American history. Vietnam, Korea, Gulf War? The world is still recovering from the ripples of those events.
The United States has had this "manifest destiny"/Captain America, hero of the world kind of persona going on with its self-imagine since the first world war. And no one can really deny what America meant to the Allies during WWI and WWII, and so America has always had this view of themselves in the back of their mind, that they are "heroes", that they have to carry the duty of "protecting" the world. And so, they are willing to spend as much of their own taxpayers' money as they want to perpetuate this American identity of their nation as the "home of the brave".
And so, Iraq happened. No big surprise after 9/11. And something like it will happen again; America will interfere in someone else's business, meddle where they often really shouldn't. Because, in the end, it is a lot easier to solve other people's problems and to divert attention from one's own.
Posted April 12, 2008 11:10 PM
keith
bc
"The Surge Has Worked is the message they carried to Washington. It is one to put right up there with George W. Bush's Mission Accomplished back in May 2003." (It's so good a line I have to repeat it.)
A dumb and dumber democracy at work.
Posted April 12, 2008 02:21 PM
John Bouchard
How can anyone in the U.S. be supportive of a needless occupation of a country where thousands of U.S. soldiers have been killed and countless thousands more have been harmed both physically and mentally for life. Add to this the cost of this operation and the reality that a win situation is not probable, one has to wonder. China and Russia are sitting back and enjoying the results for sure. This occupation has done nothing more than damage the U.S. reputation throughout the world, help bring their economy down and has put the U.S. population in a position to swallow some pride and do what is right. They have many other wars to fight, all on their own soil. We in Canada have the same decision to make with Afghanistan.
Posted April 12, 2008 10:21 AM
V.Certik
I get it: "Mission accomplished" simply meant, that Great Decider and his masters finally got their fingers on Iraq's oil. Let's pump.
Posted April 11, 2008 05:29 PM
Paul Madryga
"Republican Senator Susan Collins, from Maine, is a co-sponsor of a bill that would require all future spending on reconstruction in Iraq to take the form of a loan to be repaid. It would also have all fuel costs for the American military be paid by the Iraqis, as well as all costs incurred for the training of the Iraq military and police."
OK, so let me get this straight: US Gov't pays big money to US arms dealers in order to bomb Iraq back into the Stone Age; US Gov't then wants Iraqi Gov't to pay the US firms who are contracted to rebuild it. To top it off, the Iraqi people are also expected to pay other US corporate interests for the privilege of having their own country occupied by an invading foreign power...?
That's quite the racket, I must say. Sounds like one hell of a Make-work Project... If the Iraqi people are a tad upset by this, who could blame them?
Posted April 11, 2008 04:37 PM
Jim M
Winnipeg
The Iraq war will pay for itself after the Americans steal all the oil from Iraq.
Posted April 11, 2008 03:42 PM
David Kelln
There is a lot to be said for the argument that since the Republicans in the US and our Conservatives in Canada don't really believe in "Big" Government, their main mechanism for preventing this is a combination of big spending and tax cuts. If you don't have any money you can't be forced to spend it on medical services or education. We in Canada will hear more and more that government spending will put us in deficit; and it will after the billions in tax cuts.
The Republican approach is even better because they can give all the money to corporate friends to buy their continued support.
Posted April 11, 2008 12:02 PM
Les H
Toronto
Thanks, Mr. Champ. It seems that stalemate, fatigue and unbearable costs are going to end another war for America. What a change. We remember Paul Wolfowitz saying the Iraq war would pay for itself. We also remember the administration warning countries that did not participate in the invasion that they were not going to get any of the lucrative rebuilding contracts.
Iraqis have gone the way of the 18th century American experience of insurgency.
Make the cost of maintaining the colony unbearably expensive in blood and treasure. Use harassment then scatter fighting tactics. Go to an enemy nation for assistance. Make sure loyalists are not particularly helpful in stopping the rebellion. Wait for the inevitable drain on patience and public opinion half a world away to finally see the troops back on ships and sailing away.
Posted April 11, 2008 11:07 AM
Jacob Kasperowicz
Kirkland,QC.
Regardless of who becomes President, there is no end in sight for American presence in Iraq.The stage has been carefully set by the neo-cons through plans in the works since 1991.The Americans will be stuck on a closed circuit race track to nowhere in Iraq and will continue to suffer the financial consequences at home.
The Vietnam War syphoned over 200 billion(1.1 trillion in 2008 dollars) from government coffers which made the U.S. vulnerable as the oil embargo of the 70's sparked the first of two recessions within 10yrs. President Reagan's military spending helped a small sector of the economy in the early 80's but the financial void created by the Vietnam & Reagan's expenditures, coupled with tax cuts for the wealthy, was never filled, rendering their federal government impotent financially. Ironically,the Americans find themselves in this deja vu situation today but the epidemic outsourcing of jobs over the past 15yrs will make any economic policies mere wads of gum in a crumbling dam.
Posted April 11, 2008 10:31 AM