Story Tools: PRINT | Text Size: S M L XL | REPORT TYPO | SEND YOUR FEEDBACK

Read my lips: Troop reductions may happen

Comments (27)
By Henry Champ

In November 1967, President Lyndon B. Johnson's aides told him the American public needed a confidence boost on Vietnam.

That year, you may recall, was the real beginning of public protests against the war. Mainstream America was beginning to join with the, until-then, largely hippie and campus-inspired opposition.

It was at that point that Johnson gave birth to the famous phrase, "Light at the end of the tunnel." The president was saying victory was possible and a corner was being turned.

At the same time in 1967, Johnson sent his top military commander, Gen. William Westmoreland to Congress to spread the word.

Westmoreland told lawmakers American forces were making progress and would prevail. The White House talked about their strategy of "Vietnamization," which was the term for South Vietnamese soldiers being trained to take the place of U.S. soldiers, who could then come home.

It never happened. There was no light. And no fight.

Flash forward to 2007. You must admire George W. Bush and the political strategy his administration has followed these past few days in Washington. The White House won the headlines it wanted.

Still surging

Without using the light-in-the-tunnel analogy, both the U.S. commander in Iraq, Gen. David Petraeus, and Washington's ambassador to that country, Ryan Crocker, told Congress that success in Iraq was possible but it needed time and patience.

But unlike 1967, this president and this general added the ultimate inducement: troops would be coming home and soon. You could hear the air going out of the withdrawal arguments used by war critics.

The Petraeus proposal is modest and perhaps misleading. It says a small contingent of the U.S. marines will leave Iraq soon. Another brigade, about 4,000 soldiers strong, might go home around Christmas and Petraeus may endorse the removal of four further brigades by next summer.

If accomplished, that would bring the American troop level in Iraq to around 130,000, or about what it was in the country before the "surge" strategy began in the spring.

Petraeus told the committee, he could not recommend longer-term reductions at this time, but might do it next year.

He then showed a draw-down chart with incremental troop withdrawals but the dates of those withdrawals were followed by question marks. A Petraeus spokesman said those draw downs would be "conditions based."

In short, the American involvement in Iraq could be for as long as it takes.

Bush gets his headlines

The ambassador had this to say: Iraq is "experiencing a revolution, not just a regime change. It is only by understanding this that we can appreciate what is happening in Iraq and what the Iraqis have achieved, as well as maintain a sense of realism about the challenges that remain."

According to Crocker, Congress should ignore the 18 security and political benchmarks that legislators earlier established and accept less. "Some of the more promising political developments at the national level are neither measured in benchmarks nor visible to those far from Baghdad," he told the lawmakers.

Those congressionally-inspired benchmarks were designed, among other things, to ensure that oil revenues reached all Iraqis, that government jobs were open to everyone, and that the police and army function for the entire country and not just on behalf of one sectarian group or another.

But it was the promise of troop withdrawals that won the day, just as the White House knew it would.

How successful was this?

Washington Post headline on Tuesday read: "Petraeus Backs Initial Pullout." The conservative Washington Times: "Petraeus Eyes Troop Reductions."

The White House spin machine was in high gear. Press secretary Tony Snow was saying, "We have seen considerable signs of progress," adding the Iraqis, "want a light at the end of the tunnel" — that phrase again — by which he meant "a stable democracy where they are able to handles the means of security and so on."

The upshot. The administration is offering modest withdrawals, no hard benchmarks and the pledge to soldier on to a success it says it sees but cannot describe.

The Democrats and other critics blustered and railed but offered no hard deadline in return.

There does not appear to be a Democratic solution to the conflict in Iraq. So if you are concerned about the direction of the war there, and you want a change, there may be only one hope left, the one that ended the war in Vietnam. Public outrage.


« Previous Post | Main | Next Post »

This discussion is now Open. Submit your Comment.

Comments (27)

lord anthony

"Are we turning the corner in Iraq?"

We?

Posted November 9, 2007 11:38 AM

Pete

Quit saying "The U.S. Invasion". This is George Bush's Invasion. ALL of this war lies at his feet. The last U.S. election was a complete turnover of power to the Democratic Party. But without some Republican support, nothing gets past a filibuster. And even if a law gets passed, there is nowhere near enough support to override a Bush veto.

Ironic that the U.S. brags about Democracy when a single 'man' can override the will of 73% of the people. Nothing can be done until January 20, 2009 when the Bush regime is over. Big party at my house!!!

Posted September 26, 2007 01:20 AM

Zsolt Sary

After almost 5 years of slaughter:

"the most astounding polling figure of recent weeks. A New York Times poll asked, "Who do you trust the most with successfully resolving the war in Iraq?" In response, only 5% of those polled gave the nod to the Bush administration, just 21% to Congress, but fully 68% -- more than two out of three -- plunked for "the military."

There is no hope for the USA.

And there is no hope for the world to live in peace.

Posted September 21, 2007 06:24 PM

John Q American

USA

Dear Canadians,

Please invade us and bring it all to an end, we apparently cannot.

Thanks,

America

Posted September 20, 2007 09:59 AM

Carol Short-Bush

Toronto

Yes the world is safer but France is now warning of war against Iran if they get a Nuclear Bomb.
Iran has a handful of unelected senators or Khomanies that control all of ther resources they are billionaires and so are there relatives. They will subject their country to war to retain the resource money instead of spreading the wealth around, how many Iranian will die to protect a dozen greedy men.

Posted September 17, 2007 04:23 PM

john

surrey

Sure they'll remove troops and replace them with Pro's not from the Army, Navy, AirForce, or Marines but the fifth arm of USA's arsenal, the secret mercenary company Blackwater whose highly trained guns for hire number in the 25,000 range. Iraq's new money market is in the security business. That's why Paul Bremer is there he can make a bad situation profitable

Posted September 14, 2007 06:42 PM

Joe

Halifax

Morality generally, (a la evil dictators and such), freedom, democracy and so on have never had anything at all to do with the American invasion and occupation of Iraq. Neither did the supposed "imminent threat" shouted about by politicians and diplomats, the mystery WMDs that never appeared, or the complete fabrication that Al Qaeda was hiding out there bear any weight in the pre-war calculations of the Washington hawks. It is also quite ridiculous to assume that an administration willing to start a war which has claimed the lives of over 3,000 American soldiers so far cares at all about the health of the Iraqi population.

The Iraq war is a product of a grab at economic and political power by the United States with an eye to their possible slide in the global pecking order and nothing more. Anyone who believes otherwise has been effectively duped. While troop reductions are inevitable at some point, it is extremely unlikely that America would be willing to truly pull out its forces until the gains of the invasion outweigh the costs measured back in the war rooms of DC. The only thing that could possible change this fact would be a situation where continued costs mounted into an equation where no positive balance was deemed to be achievable.

Barring this sort of event occurring American troops will remain a significant presence in Iraq for many years at the very least in order to prop up a “friendly” regime, support economic investments and to retain a strategic piece of geography in relation to other governments in the region. No country on Earth is willing to drop hundreds of thousands of soldiers along with billions of dollars into a war unless there are prizes to be had and we will not see a willing pull out until said prizes are in the bag.

Posted September 14, 2007 11:35 AM

dave

They may talk about reductions but in the final analysis until the oil is entirely transfered legally by the Iraq govt. to the American companies American troops will remain
there whether they have to kill 2 million more Iraqis to do it.
Iraq will never again sell oil in anything but USA

Posted September 13, 2007 02:06 PM

Charlene Smith

Woodstock,Ontario

You nailed it.The losers in this war were everyone.There are no winners.A country in ruins, an economy decimated, 1000s dead and unstable region in the world.And we call this progress! When is the US going to realize that they are not the moral authority of the world?They may be militarily powerful but they have lost respect everywhere in the world with their outrageous conduct.If you don't buy in to their rhetoric then you are against them and their enemy.Maybe the U.S. should be taking a hard look at itself.They might just realize that they are their own worst enemy.

Posted September 13, 2007 08:13 AM

Bill McIntosh

Being what feels like ancient and remembering the hoopla in the aftermath of Nuremberg I wonder if history would want to try Bush and cronies as war criminals, for if not invading Iraq, for causing massive chaos in that country afterwords, should be an object lesson for the next twit that say's Oh we'll just go in there and shape them up.
Bill.

Posted September 13, 2007 06:30 AM

Wa'el Darwish

Montreal

This Administration, as usual, had twisted the reality of the defeat in the war in front of its citizens. The American media was helping to do so! But, how long this administration can afford to finance this war? Does the American economy in this very bad shape could do so? I don’t think.
No body talks now about victory! This G. W. Bush is trying to forward the declaration of the defeat to the next elected president!
When this administration built the biggest embassy in Baghdad without taking permission from any Iraqi authority; they were expecting to control the whole Middle East. They did not expect the diminishing of their power in the region!

Posted September 12, 2007 10:15 PM

Campbell Atkinson

There always has been an inner USA policy on Iraq. They are now finishing what will be their largest Embassey anywhere, and its published design indicates an intent to have a huge staff for a very long time. They have already been having USA firms sign deals for the southern oil fields, the Kurds in the north are doing so independently. This already treats it as a dismembered state with a long term USA controlling presense. Permanent USA military control.

Posted September 12, 2007 07:03 PM

Harold Hotham

And the press was where? Do they have coffee and donut shops in Washington?

Look, Congress may not raise objections but there is no reason for the press to not challenge anything this administration says, and to do so with vigor and vigilence.

So the leading Washington papers again went to sleep, along with the rest of the media. They accepted rhetoric, forgot to do the math and patted everyone on the back for a job well done?

The Fourth Estate in the US is now about three and a half. Until they wake up and start acting responsibly there will be no change.

This administration has successfully set the tenor for the next one. It is up to the media to change that.

Posted September 12, 2007 06:54 PM

Jerry

seattle

The tepid response to this column by a few resigned readers I think reflects the problem Democrats and other antiwar groups have confronting this president on this issue. They cannot be seen as defeatists and if elected they do not want to preside over defeat. So it will not be a replay of the Viet Nam war. There will be no riots because except for Move-on.org types there is, even in a liberal town like Seattle, no public outrage. PS Those who never tire of saying Iraq never should have been invaded in the first place, remember you cannot unring a bell.

Posted September 12, 2007 06:11 PM

W.

You may want to check your fly Henry.. your bias is showing.

Posted September 12, 2007 06:06 PM

Rob

Success was never an option in Iraq. The instant the US invaded, they started the process that will ultimately hand Iraq over to Iran, utterly destroying the one and only check that America had on Iran's ambitions. Bush, in his arrogance, upset a very delicate balancing job over a pit of fire, and future generations will be paying for it for a very long time. Nothing else he could have done could have made it more dangerous for the existence of Israel in the Middle East.
Bush got what he wanted; he'll go down in history, in infamy. He doesn't care about anything else but his own ego.

Posted September 12, 2007 05:36 PM

Don

Public outrage you say? I wonder.

In the 1960s we had militant feminism, the civil rights movement, experimantal drugs, a burgeoning music scene and the counter culture to feed the anti war / anti establishment cause. Conditions were ripe for violent protest and the attempt to reshape society: socialism was still seen as a vibrant and creditable alternative to capitalism, revolution was in the air practically everywhere one looked and the atmosphere was more than conducive to protest. Universities lead the way of course, the intellectual liberalism of the university campus was a natural fit for the anti establishment crowd.

Such conditions aren't at work today, there isn't enough support for the anti war movement to broaden its appeal to the bourgeoisie and one has to wonder where the university students are in all of this. Without their weight and credibilty thrown behind it the anti war movement will only ever limp along as a fringe element of society. Of course, without the draft much of the immediacy of the war and self interest of the student body has been defused. There's nothing like having to evade the draft and face possible jail time to focus the imagination! We can now afford the luxury of not having to save our own skins when the poor (and there are lots of THEM) can fight the war on our behalf -see Michael Moore's Fahrenheit 9/11 for more on that.

We still see anti-globalization and APEC protests to be sure but they're usually small incidents and easily dismissed as largely irrelevant. Until that changes there will be no cohesive opposition to the war in Iraq.

Posted September 12, 2007 05:03 PM

Gary Parkinson

Does anyone seriously think these war-mongering goons are ever going to leave Iraq? Or any of the 130 countries in which they maintain a military presence? War is what they live for; get used to it.
They will be in the ME as long as Blackwater can supply the necessary cannon fodder; nobody keeps score on the number of mercenaries being used. There will be some regular force drawdowns, instantly replaced by more USAF airpower. The "insurgents" don't have any anti-aircraft weapons, except when some brain dead media hack tells us that RPGs are being used as such. Kind of like using spitballs against invaders from outer space. This will keep the body count acceptable to Mr. and Mrs. America, who think Iraq is somewhere near Venezuela.
I was 21 when the Marines hit the beach at Da Nang. This bullshit is old news.

Posted September 12, 2007 04:21 PM

Jacob Kasperowicz

Kirkland,QC

When it comes to smoke and mirrors,this administration beats any illusionist. Those of us who follow the news, regularly, recall the statements in June of this year stipulating that 20-30,000 troops would be re-deployed in the spring of 2008. In short, troop levels would drop to pre-"surge" levels.Most will applaud the president for listening to "the people" and the Democrats and anti-war activists will pat themselves on the back.In fact,the president is getting it his way.again.

Posted September 12, 2007 03:40 PM

Chris

The war in Iraq was never a good idea in the first place, but success was possible. However, that hope was quickly dashed when the Bush administration started making political mistake, after political mistake in running Iraq. Combined, the refusal to allow Iraqi soldiers to help the American army, and the initial deBaathification program were probably the beginning of what has turned out to be a very, very long end.

Everything since then has been "smoke-and-mirrors", attempting to prove to the American public that the US is winning the war it has already lost.

Posted September 12, 2007 12:33 PM

Deborah Burton

This is all typical of the Bush administration. If the rhetoric isn't working, change the rhetoric. Don't change the situation, merely the way the situation is spoke of.

You would think that by now the American public would have clued-in to the maniputation of this administration. The shift in the vote at the mid-term elections was positive, but then the Democrats turned out to be full of just as much baloney as the goverment.

Unfortunately, Henry is right. Until the public openly and loudly shows it's discontent with the situation in Iraq, nothing will change except the wording.

The only problem is that Bush has created such a mess in Iraq that it might now be impossible for anybody, even the Iraqis themselves, to clean it up.

It's a lose-lose situation.

Posted September 12, 2007 10:58 AM

Gordon K-B

I agree wholeheartedly with bo fodchuk's comment. As to Neil McDonald's reference to the Bush administration's increasing preference for the term "global struggle against extremism", wouldn't that mean the USA is now promoting a "jihad" of its own?

Posted September 12, 2007 08:14 AM

CJ McAuley

The thing of it is that while both Petraeus and Crocker were credible, the previous statements by the Bush administration served to cast a pall on the whole Iraq adventure. Many of us out here remember Rumsfeld and "dead-enders" and Iraqi oil paying for the whole thing. Unfortunately it has taken 4 years for reality rather than ideology to guide strategy and attempts at diplomacy. I see an American military presence in Iraq that lasts at least as long as they had large bases in Germany. Even if the Democrats win the presidency, there will be no precipitous withdrawal, and they made a huge mistake to promise one. It used to be called realpolitik and I just wish politicians would quit spinning and try being honest for a change.

Posted September 12, 2007 08:11 AM

Les

Toronto

Thanks Henry, the Bush administration cannot be held to account on any measures. If things go wrong they just change the measures. If Congress was hoping with the Petraeus report to see light at the end of the tunnel Bush just added more tunnel.

Posted September 12, 2007 08:00 AM

Paul Bergsagel

Winnipeg

Dust off the protest signs from forty years ago. Here we come.

Bush and his general Petraeus are all smoke and mirrors, Make the public believe they are withdrawing troops, but later claim it cannot be done. The Democrats don't have the guts to stand up to the Republicans and demand a withdrawal of troops with the election so close at hand. If the Democrats did pass a bill requiring troop withdrawal Bush would simply veto it anyway.

Maybe it is time the US legislators look at redefining the use of the veto power by the president so that if a rouge president is elected Congress and the Senate might have some "real" power to reign him/her in and apply some brakes on an "out of control" president.

Posted September 11, 2007 10:51 PM

Jerry

seattle

Public outrage? Henry are you advocating "Peace Riots"?

Posted September 11, 2007 10:34 PM

bo fodchuk

This report and Neil McDonald's are bang on.

Posted September 11, 2007 09:17 PM

« Previous Post | Main | Next Post »

Post a Comment

Disclaimer:

Note: By submitting your comments you acknowledge that CBC has the right to reproduce, broadcast and publicize those comments or any part thereof in any manner whatsoever. Please note that due to the volume of e-mails we receive, not all comments will be published, and those that are published will not be edited. But all will be carefully read, considered and appreciated.

Privacy Policy | Submissions Policy

Washington File »

About the Author

Henry ChampHenry Champ is CBC Newsworld's correspondent in Washington, D.C., delivering Canadian viewers the latest developments in the U.S. political arena. Recently, he has been a leading Canadian voice on coverage of the war on terrorism, the war in Iraq and the growing concerns over the Canada-U.S. relationship.

Previous Columns

Recent Posts

Vapour ads create successful campaign smokescreens
Henry Champ
Thursday, September 11, 2008
The parties are over
Henry Champ
Friday, September 5, 2008
The attack dog fights back
Henry Champ
Thursday, September 4, 2008
The plan for Sarah Palin
Henry Champ
Wednesday, September 3, 2008
Paying a high price for Palin
Henry Champ
Tuesday, September 2, 2008
Subscribe to this blog

Recent Comments

"Are we turning the corner in Iraq?" We?...
Read my lips: Troop reductions may happen
Quit saying "The U.S. Invasion". This is George Bush's I...
Read my lips: Troop reductions may happen
After almost 5 years of slaughter: "the most ast...
Read my lips: Troop reductions may happen
Dear Canadians, Please invade us and bring it all...
Read my lips: Troop reductions may happen
Yes the world is safer but France is now warning of war a...
Read my lips: Troop reductions may happen

Archives

September 2008
(6 postings)
August 2008
(6 postings)
June 2008
(3 postings)
May 2008
(6 postings)
April 2008
(3 postings)
March 2008
(4 postings)
February 2008
(5 postings)
January 2008
(7 postings)
November 2007
(2 postings)
October 2007
(7 postings)
September 2007
(1 postings)
July 2007
(6 postings)
June 2007
(5 postings)
May 2007
(6 postings)
April 2007
(6 postings)
March 2007
(5 postings)
February 2007
(7 postings)
January 2007
(8 postings)
December 2006
(7 postings)
November 2006
(8 postings)
October 2006
(10 postings)
September 2006
(9 postings)
August 2006
(9 postings)
[an error occurred while processing this directive]
Story Tools: PRINT | Text Size: S M L XL | REPORT TYPO | SEND YOUR FEEDBACK

World »

new Syrian killings continue as Annan flies to Damascus video
International outrage against Syria intensified Monday, with China and Russia speaking out against the massacre of 108 people, including 49 children, in the town of Houla.
updated Vatican corruption scandal widens
One of the Vatican's biggest scandals in decades appears to be widening with reports that an Italian cardinal may be part of a power struggle involving leaked documents, corruption and intrigue.
new Egypt presidential candidates allege vote fraud
Three top candidates in Egypt's presidential race have filed appeals to the election commission, alleging violations in the first round vote that they say could change the outcome.
more »

Canada »

new Quebec and university students to resume talks
Quebec's university students federation has confirmed that negotiations between student leaders and the provincial government will resume this afternoon.
new Baby boomer data will highlight upcoming policy challenges
New census data is expected to show how old Canadian society is becoming, effecting massive changes to the country's health-care and retirement systems.
Bullyproof: Video booth captures raw tales of teen bullying
More than 150 students share their stories about bullying and being bullied.
more »

Politics »

updated Canadian Pacific strikers face back-to-work legislation video
Labour Minister Lisa Raitt is poised to introduce legislation today to put an end to the Canadian Pacific Railway strike, after both CP and the union rejected a proposal for voluntary arbitration by the government-appointed negotiator on Sunday. Raitt will provide an update to the media this afternoon.
Western premiers to talk environment, energy and Tom Mulcair video
The environment, energy and federal NDP Leader Tom Mulcair are on the agenda Tuesday when leaders of the western provinces and territories get together.
N.L. premier 'at odds' with Peter MacKay audio
Kathy Dunderdale, the premier of Newfoundland and Labrador, tells CBC Radio's Evan Solomon she's growing increasingly frustrated with the Defence minister's handling of coastal search and rescue.
more »

Health »

Chronic fatigue may be reversed with exercise
Taking it easy is not the best treatment for chronic fatigue syndrome, rather exercise and behaviour therapy are, a large study finds.
AT&T buys T-Mobile USA for $39B US
AT&T Inc. said Sunday it will buy T-Mobile USA from Deutsche Telekom AG in a cash-and-stock deal valued at $39 billion US, becoming the largest cellphone company in the U.S.
Milky Way home to 50 billion planets: NASA
Scientists have compiled the first cosmic census of planets in our galaxy: at least 50 billion planets are estimated to call the Milky Way home.
more »

Arts & Entertainment»

Love film a 2nd win for Cannes director
Michael Haneke won the Cannes Film Festival's top trophy for a second time with his film about love and death, Amour.
video Stratford prepares for new director as season opens video
As the Stratford Shakespeare Festival opens its 60th season, high profile artistic director Des McAnuff is preparing to hand to reins to his successor Antoni Cimolino. Deana Sumanac reports.
Quebec actress captures Cannes prize
Canadian Suzanne Clement has been awarded the Best Actress prize in the Cannes Film Festival's sidebar competition, Un Certain Regard.
more »

Technology & Science »

Astronauts enter world's 1st private supply ship video
Astronauts have entered the Dragon, the world's first commercial supply ship, which is docked at the International Space Station.
Chemicals in tsunami debris could pose coastal threat video
The spill and spread of industrial chemicals across the coastline of British Columbia is a possibility as slower-moving tsunami debris from Japan approaches the west coast, according to experts observing its movements.
South Africa, Australia to share world's largest telescope
South Africa and Australia will jointly host the Square Kilometre Array, which promises to be the world's largest telescope, the international consortium in charge of the project said Friday.
more »

Money »

new Canadians planning fewer home reno projects
Fewer Canadian homeowners are planning renovations this year, possibly reflecting increased concern over household debt, according to the Bank of Montreal's annual home renovation report.
analysis What a Greek euro exit could mean for Canada
A tumultuous Greek exit from the eurozone would have a harder impact on Canada's economy than the credit crisis recession of 2008 and 2009, a report from a major Canadian bank warns.
Bankia asks Spain for €19B video
The board of directors of Spain's troubled bank, Bankia, has asked the Spanish government for €19 billion ($24.5 billion Cdn) in financial support.
more »

Consumer Life »

Honda recalls Fit subcompacts
Honda Canada says it will recall 14,640 of its 2009 and 2010 Fit subcompact cars to replace lost motion springs.
U.S. travel fee proposal criticized by Harper
Prime Minister Stephen Harper says he doesn't think much of a new border tax that's being proposed by the United States, calling it a cash grab designed to help a budget crisis.
Bell class action suit approved by Que. court
A Quebec Superior Court judge has authorized a class action lawsuit to go ahead against Bell Mobility.
more »

Sports »

Scores: NHL NBA

5 stories, including Ryder Hesjedal's historic ride video
Canadian cyclist Ryder Hesjedal captured the 95th Giro d'Italia, the hosts won the Memorial Cup and it was Canadian vs. Canadian at the French Open. All this, plus more, in your top five stories from Sunday.
Shawinigan takes Memorial Cup in OT win over London
Anton Zlobin scored his second goal of the game 17:51 into overtime to lift the Shawinigan Cataractes to their first MasterCard Memorial Cup title with a 2-1 victory over the London Knights on Sunday night.
Spurs take Game 1 of West finals, win 19th straight
Manu Ginobili scored 26 points and the San Antonio Spurs won their 19th in a row to tie the NBA record for longest winning streak kept alive in the playoffs, beating the Oklahoma City Thunder 101-98 to open the Western Conference finals on Sunday night.
more »

Diversions »

[an error occurred while processing this directive]
more »