Natural resources drive 20 per cent of economy, Oliver says
The Canadian Press
Posted: Sep 4, 2012 1:04 PM ET
Last Updated: Sep 4, 2012 4:14 PM ET
Prime Minister Stephen Harper and his wife Laureen visited Minto mine in Yukon last month and Harper touted the importance of natural resources to the Canadian economy during his trip in the North. (Adrian Wyld/Canadian Press)
Related
The federal Conservatives have re-calculated the national economic impact of energy and mining to help bolster their strong support of the natural-resource sector against environmentalists and others.
Natural Resources Minister Joe Oliver says his officials have figured out how much income the sector brings to the economy – instead of just counting barrels of oil and tonnes of metal.
In 2011, the figures show, energy, forestry, metals and minerals directly accounted for 15 per cent of the country's income. When indirect effects are taken into account, Oliver said, natural resources drive 20 per cent of the economy – and about 10 per cent of all the jobs in Canada.
"It's not all oilsands and it's not all Alberta," Oliver said in the text of a speech Tuesday to the business community in Toronto. "It is forestry in British Columbia, potash and uranium in Saskatchewan, mining in Ontario's Sudbury basin, hydro power in Quebec and all the related supply chains."
But critics say that while no one doubts the economic dominance of energy and mining, the Conservative math only shows a slice of the story.
NDP natural resource critic Peter Julian said the figures don't show how many jobs have been lost in softwood lumber and elsewhere because of the Ottawa focus on exporting raw materials instead of value-added products.
"We don't argue that natural resources are an important part of the Canadian economy," Julian said. "The issue is how the government is managing the resource economy."
Plus, the new calculations are blind to the environmental cost of different types of energy production, added Keith Stewart of Greenpeace Canada.
Production and investment in wind, solar and other renewables are far less costly for the environment than oil and gas, he said. "Not all resources are created equally."
Normally, anyone interested in the heft of the natural-resource sector has had to rely on less-than-optimal data. The real gross domestic product figures that come out every three months don't capture the huge impact of global prices on the economy. And nominal GDP figures by industry, which include the price effect, have only been available for up to 2008 –ancient history when it comes to calculating the impact of a major, evolving part of the economy.
Now, government officials have developed a way to update the nominal GDP numbers for the natural-resource sector so that they can see how much money is flowing into the economy from energy and mining on a more timely basis.
Oliver said the exercise shows that in both Alberta and Saskatchewan, energy and resources directly account for one third of nominal GDP. In Newfoundland and Labrador, it's 40 per cent.
However, officials did not immediately explain their methodology, nor did they make a full year-by-year and province-by-province analysis available. So calculations for the two largest provinces – Ontario and Quebec – were absent.
800,000 jobs in natural resources sector
Still, Oliver said the calculations can be used to determine that natural resources support 800,000 direct jobs and another 800,000 indirect jobs in other sectors. The impact will continue to grow, the minister added.
The department's most recent calculations project $650 billion in investment in about 600 major resource projects over the next 10 years. That's up from previous estimates of $500 billion.
"That $650-billion figure represents hundreds of thousands of high-quality, well-paying jobs for Canadian middle-class families in every sector of our economy, in every region of the country," Oliver said.
The Harper government has been at pains to make that point since it overhauled the country's environmental assessment process in its spring budget.
Federal ministers have argued repeatedly that streamlining environmental assessment is an efficiency exercise that will protect the environment but also make it easier for every region of the country to benefit from natural resources.
But their arguments have been drowned in an outcry from environmentalists and other critics who say Ottawa is sacrificing the environment to the interests of the oilpatch.
Regardless, the new numbers from Natural Resources are well worth having, said Avery Shenfeld, chief economist at CIBC World Markets Inc.
"I think it's important for Canadians to realize how big the resource sector has become," he said in an interview.
He agreed that looking at nominal GDP by industry would give a more precise picture of the impact of natural resources, mainly because the global marketplace values commodities far more than traditional calculations of GDP would suggest.
"If you just focus on how many barrels of oil and tonnes of nickel and aluminum that Canada produces, you would understate the rising importance of those raw materials," Shenfeld explained. "Because what's really been happening is that what we can exchange them for in trade with other countries has grown much more markedly than volume."
The Bank of Canada has also developed a work-around so that it can better assess the impact of natural resources in the Canadian economy. Its research shows that crude oil has been surging in importance since the late 1990s, compared with other natural resources, while forestry and agriculture have declined.
Share Tools
Tories to invoke closure on 'superclosure' motion to curb debate, extend sitting hours by Kady O'Malley May. 22, 2013 9:18 AM Move to cut off debate could spark opposition to mount procedure-based protest against proposal to keep the House fires burning until midnight until June
Top News Headlines
- Standing room only for Tim Bosma memorial
- It's standing room only at the memorial for Timothy Bosma in Hamilton today. 1,000 chairs were filled an hour before the memorial was set to start. Bosma is the Hamilton man killed after taking two strangers on a test drive in a truck he had listed for sale online. CBCNews.ca will livestream the event starting at 11 a.m. ET from Carmen's Banquet Hall where Bosma was married just three years ago.
more »
- Video forensics: How easy would it be to fake a Rob Ford video?
- Two media outlets reported last week that they had seen a cellphone video of Mayor Rob Ford allegedly smoking crack, a claim that has gone global. If a video does surface, how easy would it be to determine its authenticity? CBC News asked video forensic analyst David McKay. more »
- Oklahoma residents begin to return home after deadly tornado
- Rescue workers raced to complete the search for survivors and the dead in the Oklahoma City suburb where a mammoth tornado destroyed countless homes, cleared lots down to bare red earth and claimed 24 lives, including those of nine children. more »
- Jimmy Kimmel, Jon Stewart crack jokes about Rob Ford
- Toronto Mayor Rob Ford's woes over crack cocaine allegations are providing plenty of late-night TV fodder for Jimmy Kimmel, Jon Stewart and other comedians south of the border. more »
- Man being questioned in Boston bombing probe shot dead by FBI
- The FBI says a man being questioned by authorities in the Boston bombing probe was fatally shot after he initiated a violent confrontation during an interview with officers in Orlando, Fla. more »
Must Watch
Latest Politics News Headlines
- Senate sends Duffy expense audit for 2nd internal review
- The Senate decided to send Senator Mike Duffy's audit report back to its internal committee for a second review, despite objections from the Liberal Senate leader, who argued the RCMP should be tasked with the job. New travel rules for senators will be announced today.
more »
- Harper in Peru for trade talks amid Senate expense scandal
- Prime Minister Stephen Harper will meet with business leaders and Peruvian politicians this morning as part of a four-day trip to South America that will focus on trade and bilateral relations, but is expected to be asked about the growing Senate expense scandal. more »
- Stockwell Day: Abolish the Senate? Build it up instead
- Not only is abolishing the Senate next to impossible, it's also a bad idea. An Upper Chamber filled with provincially-elected representatives would be far better and address a major flaw in Canada's parliamentary system. more »
- Tom Mulcair contacted by police about suspected bribe by ex-Laval mayor
- Federal NDP Leader Tom Mulcair says he was contacted by the provincial police anti-corruption squad in Quebec to discuss a suspected 17-year-old bribe offered to him. more »
- 'Very upset' Harper wants fast Senate spending reform
- Prime Minister Stephen Harper told the Conservative caucus this morning that he's "very upset" about the recent conduct of some senators and his own office, and he wants Senate spending rules tightened quickly. more »
The National
The House
- Questions mount for Harper and chief of staff Nigel Wright in Senate scandal May. 18, 2013 1:15 PM This week on The House, with Senators Wallin and Duffy now out of the Conservative caucus, we get reaction from NDP Ethics critic Charlie Angus. We also hear directly from Senator Patrick Brazeau who says the Conservatives have thrown him under the bus. Plus we speak with B.C. Premier Christy Clark after her stunning victory.
- Video forensics: How easy would it be to fake a Rob Ford video?
- Jodi Arias asks for 'second chance' during jail interview
- Tim Bosma memorial today in hall that hosted his wedding reception
- Oklahoma residents begin to return home after deadly tornado
- Children's mouths allegedly taped shut at N.S. school
- Microsoft unveils Xbox One
- Only 1 set of human remains found at Millard farm, police say
- Judge scolds 'flabby, sad generation' for skipping jury duty
- Yukon couple hold record for longest marriage in country


