Related
EKOS Polls
- EKOS Politics website
- May 27: Conservatives remain in lead: poll
- May 20: Canadians split on offshore drilling: poll
- May 20: Tories near 10-point lead over Liberals: poll
- May 13: Conservative support up slightly and holding: poll
- May 6: Tories' lead over Liberals widens: poll
- May 6: Men, women differ on electoral priorities: poll
- April 29: Tories' lead solid as Ignatieff slips: poll
- April 22: Conservatives keep lead in EKOS poll
- April 15: Tories, Liberals neck and neck: poll
- April 8: Don't extend Afghan mission, Canadians say: poll
- April 1: Conservatives maintain lead over Liberals: poll
- April 1: Layton wins beer poll
- March 25: Tories remain favourites in new poll
- March 18: Canadians split on pot, death penalty: poll
- March 18: Tories widen poll lead over Liberals
- March 11: Poll finds support for spending cuts
- March 11: Tories, Liberals hold steady in EKOS poll
- March 4: Tories hold lead over Liberals: EKOS
- Feb. 25: Half of Canadians unhappy with PM, Ignatieff: poll
- Feb. 25: Conservatives open slight lead over Liberals
- Feb. 18: Conservatives and Liberals remain tied: poll
- Feb. 11: Poll finds support for spending cuts
- Feb. 11: Conservatives, Liberals still neck-and-neck
- Feb. 4: Tories, Liberals remain deadlocked: poll
- JAN. 28: Liberals, Conservatives still in dead heat
- JAN. 21: Liberals, Conservatives in virtual tie
- JAN. 14: Canadians split in opinion of Olympic spending: EKOS
- JAN. 14: Prorogation tightens gap between Tories, Liberals
- JAN. 7: Little support for proroguing Parliament: poll
- JAN. 7: Conservative lead narrows: poll
- DEC. 17: Conservatives keep lead over Liberals in poll
- DEC. 17: Canadians support online voting: poll
- DEC. 10: Most Canadians believe Afghan detainees tortured: poll
- DEC. 3: Economy tops list of voters' concerns: poll
- NOV. 26: Conservatives hold steady lead over Liberals: poll
- NOV. 19: Canadians split over long-gun registry: poll
- NOV. 12: Canadians think H1N1 risks exaggerated: poll
- NOV. 5: Tories, Liberals match 2008 vote numbers: EKOS
- OCT. 29: Conservatives keep lead in poll
- OCT. 22: Conservatives maintain poll lead
- OCT. 15: Tories widen their lead: EKOS
- OCT. 8: Conservatives extend poll lead over Liberals
- OCT. 1: Conservatives maintaining lead: poll
- SEPT. 24 - Tories making inroads in Toronto: poll
- SEPT. 17 - Conservative lead widens in poll
- SEPT. 10 - Liberal support softening, poll suggests
- SEPT. 3 - Tories, Liberals in dead heat: poll
- AUG. 20 - Conservatives hold small lead in federal vote intention: poll
- AUG. 13 - Ignatieff lags Harper in approval rating: poll
- AUG. 6 - Most Canadians believe Canada still in recession: poll
- JULY 30 - Tories' actions on swine flu get Canadians' OK
- JULY 23 - Canadians want majority government: poll
- JULY 16 - 54% of Canadians oppose Afghan mission: EKOS poll
- JULY 9 - Conservatives, Liberals deadlocked: EKOS poll
- JULY 2 - 48% of Canadians to spend less on vacation
- JUNE 25 - Tories take narrow lead after Liberal election threat: poll
- JUNE 18 - Liberals' slim lead over Tories holds during election standoff: EKOS poll
- JUNE 11 - Federal Liberals continue to gain ground: poll
- JUNE 1 - Minority government possible for Liberals, poll suggests
The latest poll from EKOS shows voter support rising for the Liberals and falling for the Conservatives, narrowing the gap between the two parties. Support for the federal Conservatives has dipped slightly amid a fresh scandal in Ottawa while backing for the Liberals has edged up, closing the gap between the two parties among decided voters, a new poll suggests.
The Tories are the preferred party of 31.4 per cent of decided voters who responded to the survey, with the Liberals close behind at 29 per cent. The New Democratic Party took 16.4 per cent, the Green Party 11.1 per cent and the Bloc Québécois 8.8 per cent.
The EKOS poll, released exclusively to the CBC, was conducted from April 7 until Tuesday, a period that straddles last Friday’s stunning announcement by Prime Minister Stephen Harper that he had called in the RCMP to investigate MP Helena Guergis and that he was booting her from her cabinet post as junior minister for the status of women.
Tory support was down 2.2 percentage points from last week, when the party drew 33.6 per cent support, while the Liberals were up 1.7 points from 27.3. The NDP’s numbers rose slightly from last week’s 15.9 per cent, while the Greens and Bloc each fell about half a point.
May be closing gap
The Liberals, who had the lead in polls as recently as early February, fell to a consistent five-point-plus deficit behind the Tories in past weeks, but they may be closing the gap as more details emerge about the Guergis case. Guergis has been suspended from the Conservative caucus, but speculation continues to run wild about whether her husband, former MP Rahim Jaffer, had access to her parliamentary office and use of her chauffeured ministerial vehicle.
Consistent with prior weeks, support for the Conservatives was strongest in the Prairies and among men and people aged 45 and older, according to the poll. The latest figures suggest, however, that the government is losing ground among voters aged 65-plus and those with post-secondary education.
Backing for the Liberals tends to be stronger in Atlantic Canada and Ontario, and among university-educated voters. The NDP saw its greatest strength in British Columbia and among people aged 25 to 44.
Disfavour strongest in Quebec
Respondents were also asked whether they thought the federal government was “moving in the right direction.” Slightly fewer than last week, 43.1 per cent, said they thought so, while 47.6 per cent said they disapproved of the government’s course, up from 46.5 per cent last week.
The most ardent disfavour came from Quebec, where nearly 70 per cent of respondents sided against the government’s direction.
EKOS surveyed 1,555 people by phone between April 7 and Tuesday. The voting-intention results are accurate to within 2.5 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.Share Tools
- Power & Politics' Ballot Box question by Evan Solomon May. 31, 2012 4:51 PM Do the oilsands help or hurt the Canadian economy?
Top News Headlines
- Body parts suspect focus of global manhunt
- Police say intense international media attention on Luka Rocco Magnotta, the suspect in Montreal's grisly suitcase slaying, will make it difficult for him to stay on the lam. more »
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- The owner of a website that showcases grisly videos says that his site should be praised for helping identify Luka Rocco Magnotta, who is alleged to be in a video believed to be depicting the stabbing and dismemberment of a man. more »
- Ontario calls joint inquest in aboriginal student deaths
- Ontario's chief coroner will hold a joint inquest into the deaths of seven First Nations teenagers from remote reserves who were living in Thunder Bay to attend high school. more »
- CP trains could be running by Friday
- Striking Canadian Pacific Railway workers could be back at their jobs by Friday afternoon, after legislation to force them back passed the Senate and received royal assent. more »
Latest Politics News Headlines
- Oda says only appropriate travel costs covered
- International Co-operation Minister Bev Oda said Thursday that only appropriate costs for her travel have been paid for by the government but she didn't explain why some claims have been amended from their original amounts. more »
- Budget cuts threaten access to information, watchdog says
- Information Commissioner Suzanne Legault said in a new report released today that the federal government's handling of access to information requests is improving but she still has many concerns, especially in light of budget cutbacks. more »
- NDP MP calls Liberal a 'dishonourable crybaby'
- A closed-door discussion over whether to end the study into Canada's F-35 purchase has led to a verbal battle between the committee's NDP chairman and the sole Liberal member over the rules. more »
- Biden thanks Harper for Afghan funding
- U.S. Vice President Joe Biden called Prime Minister Stephen Harper on Thursday to thank him for Canada's recent commitment to contribute funds to Afghan security forces, the vice-president's office said. more »
The National
The House
- Qc students open the door to compromise May. 30, 2012 4:18 PM This week on The House, Evan Solomon explores the ongoing student protests in Quebec. The conflict that began as a disagreement between certain student associations and the provincial government over tuition hikes seems to have morphed into something larger. Evan talks to Leo Bureau-Blouin, the president of Quebec's College Student Federation, about the ongoing dispute. Then, Quebec's Finance Minister Raymond Bachand talks about what it will take to resolve the conflict, and if an election is the only solution.
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