PODCAST

The Pollcast: What to watch in Monday's federal byelections

Four parties are in the running to win the byelection in Lac-Saint-Jean. Who has the best shot? Pollcast host Éric Grenier is joined by the CBC's Nick Gamache and Radio-Canada's Louis Blouin to discuss.

Host Éric Grenier is joined by Radio-Canada's Louis Blouin and CBC's Nick Gamache

NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh, second from left, with NDP candidate Gisèle Dallaire, left, in the Quebec riding of Lac-Saint-Jean. (Jacques Boissinot/The Canadian Press)

The CBC Pollcast, hosted by CBC poll analyst Éric Grenier, explores the world of electoral politics, political polls and the trends they reveal.


Voters head to the polls in two byelections on Monday. One of them is in a safe Conservative seat in Alberta, but the other, in the Quebec riding of Lac-Saint-Jean, is being hotly contested by four parties in a province that could play a decisive role in the 2019 federal election.

So, who has the best shot of winning it?

The byelections in Sturgeon River–Parkland and Lac-Saint-Jean are being held to fill the seats vacated by former Conservative MPs Rona Ambrose and Denis Lebel.

Ambrose won her Alberta seat in a landslide in 2015. But Lebel squeaked by in Lac-Saint-Jean, defeating the New Democrats by just five points. The Liberal and Bloc candidates were not much further behind.

It is setting up to be a closely fought four-way contest — the kind of battle that could be seen throughout Quebec in 2019.

In addition to gauging all four parties' support in this key province, the byelections will also serve as the first electoral tests of Conservative Leader Andrew Scheer and NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh since they took over their respective parties.

To discuss each party's chances of winning in Lac-Saint-Jean and what's at stake, Pollcast host Éric Grenier is joined by the CBC's Nick Gamache and Radio-Canada's Louis Blouin.

Four parties are in the running to win the byelection in Lac-Saint-Jean. Who has the best shot? Pollcast host Éric Grenier is joined by the CBC's Nick Gamache and Radio-Canada's Louis Blouin to discuss. 17:03

Listen to the full discussion above — or subscribe to the CBC Pollcast and listen to past episodes.

Follow Éric Grenier, Louis Blouin and Nick Gamache on Twitter.

Comments

To encourage thoughtful and respectful conversations, first and last names will appear with each submission to CBC/Radio-Canada's online communities (except in children and youth-oriented communities). Pseudonyms will no longer be permitted.

By submitting a comment, you accept that CBC has the right to reproduce and publish that comment in whole or in part, in any manner CBC chooses. Please note that CBC does not endorse the opinions expressed in comments. Comments on this story are moderated according to our Submission Guidelines. Comments are welcome while open. We reserve the right to close comments at any time.