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Can the Super Bowl help predict the stock market?

Indicator ties result of big game to direction of Dow Jones

Last Updated: Feb. 2, 2012

The Super Bowl stock theory goes something like this: Teams from the rival National and American conferences (NFC and AFC) meet each year for the NFL championship.

If a team from the NFC or the original NFL (before its 1970 merger with the AFL) wins, the Dow Jones average will end the year higher than it began. An AFC victory warns of a down year for stocks.

The graph below looks back the indicator's performance over the past 25 years. Click the dots to learn more about each Super Bowl and follow the line to see how stocks reacted. | Photos: Super Bowl predictions



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