Loonie hits 1-year high
CBC News
Posted: Sep 10, 2012 12:15 PM ET
Last Updated: Sep 10, 2012 4:14 PM ET
Currency analysts say the loonie is now the choice of international investors. (Jonathan Hayward/Canadian Press)
The Canadian dollar continued its steady recent climb against the U.S. dollar Monday, hitting its highest level in a year.
The loonie traded as high as $1.0251 US in morning trading, up almost 3/10ths of a cent from Friday's close. Bank of Canada data say this was the currency's highest level vis-a-vis the American dollar since Sept. 1, 2011.
Later in the day, the loonie slipped back and closed at $1.0230 US, up 7/100ths of a cent.
Currency analysts say the likelihood of further stimulus measures from the U.S. Federal Reserve, combined with the likelihood that the Bank of Canada will start raising its key interest rate much earlier than the U.S., is giving the Canadian dollar much of its relative strength.
Bloomberg reported that the Canadian dollar rose against 13 of the 16 most-traded currencies it tracks after the Bank of Canada reiterated last week that an increase in interest rates "may become appropriate."
"To be sure, Canada’s solid economic underpinnings, elevated commodity prices, and growing expectations that the [Bank of Canada] policy rate will be boosted in 2013 were behind the rise in the Canadian dollar beyond parity with its U.S. counterpart," said a research note Monday from RBC Economics.
RBC and many other currency watchers now don't expect a similar increase in the U.S. overnight rate until 2015.
Loonie seen heading to $1.03 US
Camilla Sutton, chief currency strategist with Scotia Capital, cites the "still hawkish Bank of Canada and a dovish Fed" as the dominant themes behind the loonie's strength.
"In the near-term I would not be surprised to see CAD touch $1.03," she wrote in emailed comments. "However, I would suggest the strength stalls out from there."
Sutton say there are limits to how high the loonie can go "while there is the overall looming threat of a global economic slowdown."
Scotia Capital's currency analysts see the Canadian dollar ending this year at $1.01 US, rising to $1.03 US by the end of 2013.
In the short term, the high-flying loonie is expected to provide even more incentive for Canadians to head to border U.S. cities to do their shopping.
Recent figures from Statistics Canada show that one-day car trips to the U.S. are at all-time highs, although some of that increase may be due to the boost in duty-free exemption levels that kicked in on June 1.
Share Tools
Latest Toronto News Headlines
- Wearing a mask at a riot is now a crime
- The bill that bans the wearing of masks or disguises during a riot or unlawful assembly became one of Canada's newest laws today. more »
- Bob Rae quits as MP in 'very emotional' decision
- Bob Rae, who has represented the Toronto Centre riding for the Liberals since 2008, is stepping down as a Member of Parliament to devote more time to his work as a negotiator for First Nations in Northern Ontario. more »
- TDSB considers selling properties to fund future repairs

- Toronto District School Board trustees will discuss the selling off of almost a dozen properties to raise the money for its capital budget during a private meeting tonight. more »
- Blue Jays pitch for 2nd straight series sweep
- The Toronto Blue Jays will try Wednesday to sweep their series with the Colorado Rockies and extend their longest winning streak in nearly five years to eight games and counting. more »
Must Watch
Top News Headlines
- Obesity now recognized as a disease
- The American Medical Association has voted to recognize obesity as a disease, while doctors in Canada say they also treat it as such. more »
- Neil Macdonald: Washington's obsession with leakers
- Julian Assange and Edward Snowden are just the most prominent targets in an all-out legal and propaganda campaign that America's security apparatus is mounting against leakers everywhere, Neil Macdonald writes. more »
- Caregiving dads stigmatized at work suggests UofT study
- Fathers who participate in child rearing and housework are likely to be labeled slackers and "failed men" at work, according to a study spearheaded by researchers at the University of Toronto and Long Island University. Are active dads the norm at your workplace? more »
- Dozens of children seized from Manitoba Mennonite community
- Child welfare authorities have removed all but one child from a small Mennonite community in rural Manitoba. more »
- Joni Mitchell plays rare performance at Luminato tribute
- Indiegogo defends Rob Ford crack video campaign
- Couple baffled over burger franchise lockout
- New Parkdale bylaw would restrict bars, nightclubs
- Police release video of suspect vehicle in Toronto homicide
- Toronto Mayor Rob Ford needs security, brother says
- Bob Rae quits as MP in 'very emotional' decision
- Mayor Ford sees 'final nail in the coffin' of bag ban
- Experimental drug shows promise in treating breast, ovarian cancer


Toronto traffic with Joan Chang