Experts predict 18-month housing slump in GTA
Last Updated: Tuesday, October 28, 2008 | 8:35 AM ET
CBC News
A panel of real estate experts is predicting that home sales in Toronto will slow over the next 18 months, but the market will not suffer the kind of slide seen in the U.S.
Home sales in the GTA in the first half of October are off 18 per cent from a year ago and the average price is down 11 per cent.
Zsuszanna Porter, an agent with Royal Lepage, says she's already felt the sharp end of the drop in sales.
"I've had three people who are postponing their purchases until next year because they think they're going to get a half-price house. And I told them, 'It's not gonna happen.' They'll have to wait and see if my crystal ball is more accurate than the doom and gloom that was predicted."
Howard Drukarsh, vice-president of Right at Home Realty, told the annual meeting of the Toronto Real Estate Board he believes the downturn will last until 2010.
"I think in terms of seeing the market turn up again ... it's not going be in three months or six months or 12 months. My guess'll be 18 months because 18 months is realistic," he said.
The president of Century 21 Canada, Don Lawby, say it is unlikely the housing market in the GTA will crash.
"You have to have rising interest rates and unemployment, lots of people that can't make their mortgage payments, to be forced to sell, that's what brings prices down dramatically, but I don't see that happening, especially not in Ontario," said Lawby.
The average price of homes sold in the GTA peaked in May at just under $400,000.
Prices have dropped nearly eight per cent since then.
Share Tools
Latest Toronto News Headlines
- Toronto throws open its doors this weekend
- More than 130 buildings are open to the public this weekend as part of Doors Open, Toronto's annual celebration of accessible architecture. more »
- TTC shuts section of Yonge subway this weekend
- The TTC is going to shut down a large section of the Yonge-University-Spadina subway all weekend for track construction. more »
- Toronto vet tranquilizes wayward deer
- CBC cameras capture a Toronto vet's dramatic takedown of deer wandering near a busy highway on Friday. more »
- Toronto Marlies down Barons to advance to AHL final
- Simon Gysbers scored the game-winning goal to propel the Toronto Marlies into the American Hockey League's Calder Cup final after defeating the Oklahoma City Barons 3-1 on Friday. more »
Top News Headlines
- Aylmer triple stabbing leads to first-degree murder charges

- The estranged partner of a young mother who was stabbed to death along with her parents at their home in Aylmer, Que., has been charged with first-degree murder Friday. more »
- More than 90 killed in central Syria, activists say
- Activists have raised the number of those reportedly killed by regime forces in a district of central Syria to more than 90. more »
- The risks and responsibilities of taking on Mt. Everest

- The deaths of five climbers last weekend on Mt. Everest, with more summits underway this weekend, fuels the debate about the risks and responsibilities of high altitude climbing. more »
- B.C. premier unhappy with disgraced Mountie's transfer
- B.C. Premier Christy Clark says she is not happy with the RCMP decision to transfer a disgraced Alberta Mountie to the West Coast. more »
- Everest victim's husband says family not seeking government help
- Serial carjacker gets life term for fatal crash
- 'Save me' last words of Mount Everest climber
- Toronto throws open its doors this weekend
- 'Gay-straight alliances' get green light under Ontario bill
- TTC shuts section of Yonge subway this weekend
- Ottawa promises $140M for Rouge Natural Urban Park
- Toronto vet tranquilizes wayward deer
- Legoland coming to Toronto area next spring

