Conservatives extend poll lead over Liberals
Last Updated: Thursday, October 8, 2009 | 9:50 PM ET
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- Terry Milewski reports: Conservatives extend poll lead over Liberals (Runs: 2:45)
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- Suhana Meharchand interviews Paul Adams, executive director of strategic communications and media relations for EKOS Research Associates (Runs: 6:19)
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EKOS Polls
- EKOS Politics website
- May 27: Conservatives remain in lead: poll
- May 20: Canadians split on offshore drilling: poll
- May 20: Tories near 10-point lead over Liberals: poll
- May 13: Conservative support up slightly and holding: poll
- May 6: Tories' lead over Liberals widens: poll
- May 6: Men, women differ on electoral priorities: poll
- April 29: Tories' lead solid as Ignatieff slips: poll
- April 22: Conservatives keep lead in EKOS poll
- April 15: Tories, Liberals neck and neck: poll
- April 8: Don't extend Afghan mission, Canadians say: poll
- April 1: Conservatives maintain lead over Liberals: poll
- April 1: Layton wins beer poll
- March 25: Tories remain favourites in new poll
- March 18: Canadians split on pot, death penalty: poll
- March 18: Tories widen poll lead over Liberals
- March 11: Poll finds support for spending cuts
- March 11: Tories, Liberals hold steady in EKOS poll
- March 4: Tories hold lead over Liberals: EKOS
- Feb. 25: Half of Canadians unhappy with PM, Ignatieff: poll
- Feb. 25: Conservatives open slight lead over Liberals
- Feb. 18: Conservatives and Liberals remain tied: poll
- Feb. 11: Poll finds support for spending cuts
- Feb. 11: Conservatives, Liberals still neck-and-neck
- Feb. 4: Tories, Liberals remain deadlocked: poll
- JAN. 28: Liberals, Conservatives still in dead heat
- JAN. 21: Liberals, Conservatives in virtual tie
- JAN. 14: Canadians split in opinion of Olympic spending: EKOS
- JAN. 14: Prorogation tightens gap between Tories, Liberals
- JAN. 7: Little support for proroguing Parliament: poll
- JAN. 7: Conservative lead narrows: poll
- DEC. 17: Conservatives keep lead over Liberals in poll
- DEC. 17: Canadians support online voting: poll
- DEC. 10: Most Canadians believe Afghan detainees tortured: poll
- DEC. 3: Economy tops list of voters' concerns: poll
- NOV. 26: Conservatives hold steady lead over Liberals: poll
- NOV. 19: Canadians split over long-gun registry: poll
- NOV. 12: Canadians think H1N1 risks exaggerated: poll
- NOV. 5: Tories, Liberals match 2008 vote numbers: EKOS
- OCT. 29: Conservatives keep lead in poll
- OCT. 22: Conservatives maintain poll lead
- OCT. 15: Tories widen their lead: EKOS
- OCT. 8: Conservatives extend poll lead over Liberals
- OCT. 1: Conservatives maintaining lead: poll
- SEPT. 24 - Tories making inroads in Toronto: poll
- SEPT. 17 - Conservative lead widens in poll
- SEPT. 10 - Liberal support softening, poll suggests
- SEPT. 3 - Tories, Liberals in dead heat: poll
- AUG. 20 - Conservatives hold small lead in federal vote intention: poll
- AUG. 13 - Ignatieff lags Harper in approval rating: poll
- AUG. 6 - Most Canadians believe Canada still in recession: poll
- JULY 30 - Tories' actions on swine flu get Canadians' OK
- JULY 23 - Canadians want majority government: poll
- JULY 16 - 54% of Canadians oppose Afghan mission: EKOS poll
- JULY 9 - Conservatives, Liberals deadlocked: EKOS poll
- JULY 2 - 48% of Canadians to spend less on vacation
- JUNE 25 - Tories take narrow lead after Liberal election threat: poll
- JUNE 18 - Liberals' slim lead over Tories holds during election standoff: EKOS poll
- JUNE 11 - Federal Liberals continue to gain ground: poll
- JUNE 1 - Minority government possible for Liberals, poll suggests
Your vote:
(CBC) The federal Conservatives have widened their lead over the Liberals when it comes to voting intentions, a new poll suggests.
As the Tories' support shows signs of growing, disapproval ratings for Liberal Leader Michael Ignatieff are also going up.
The EKOS poll, released Thursday exclusively to the CBC, found that 39.7 per cent of respondents supported the Conservatives, while the Liberals had 25.7 per cent backing. The New Democratic Party had the support of 15.2 per cent of respondents, with the Green Party and the Bloc Québécois both at 9.7 per cent.
Conservative support was up 3.7 percentage points from a poll released last week, while Liberal support was off by four points. The NDP's support was up by 1.3 points, the Green Party was off by 0.8 points and the Bloc slipped by 0.1.
Since early September, when the Conservatives and the Liberals were in a virtual dead heat in the polls, the Tories have pulled ahead.
The latest poll was conducted between Sept. 30 and Oct. 6. The polling period included the Oct. 1 vote on the Liberals' motion of no-confidence in the minority Tory government — a motion the Conservatives defeated as the NDP decided to abstain. The NDP has vowed to keep the government in power to ensure passage of legislation extending employment insurance benefits.
Liberals lose ground with voter base
EKOS president Frank Graves said the Liberals have lost ground with voters in traditional strongholds, including in Toronto and among women, university graduates, visible minorities and recent immigrants.
"Even visible minorities and recent immigrants who were like almost an automatic vote for the Liberals, have shifted," said Graves.
"They're running about equally now with the Conservatives. All these other groups are lining up more on the conservative side of the equation."
As his party has slipped in the polls, Ignatieff's disapproval ratings have grown.
The percentage of respondents who disapproved of the way Ignatieff is handling his job was 51 per cent, up from 38 per cent in August.
Ignatieff's approval rating was 19 per cent, down from 29 per cent two months ago.
Ignatieff addresses poll numbers
Graves said it is difficult to pinpoint why Ignatieff's popularity has plummeted in such a short time.
"Perhaps some of the framing that was put in place by the Conservatives and some of the so-called negative ads have stuck with Mr. Ignatieff," he said. "Because it's hard to line up anything he's said or done specifically."
Ignatieff, speaking Thursday morning in London, Ont., after addressing the local chamber of commerce, said there is "no question" the Conservatives have characterized or "framed" him in a certain way.
"I've got to lift that big frame off and let Canadians see who I really am, and we will be doing that," he said.
"If there are things I need to do better, I am certainly going to be ready to try, because I want to listen to Canadians and improve my performance any way I can," he said.
Harper approval rating rises
As for Prime Minister Stephen Harper, his disapproval rating was 42 per cent, compared with 47 per cent in August. The percentage of respondents who approved of how Harper was doing his job was 39 per cent, for a gain of three percentage points.
NDP Leader Jack Layton had a disapproval rating of 31 per cent, an improvement from 33 per cent in August. Layton's approval numbers held steady at 34 per cent.
The poll randomly sampled 3,333 Canadians aged 18 and over. The margin of error associated with a sample of that size is plus or minus 1.7 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
(CBC)
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