Aviation
Safety
How safe is flying?
Last Updated: Friday, July 3, 2009 | 5:21 PM ET
By Amber Hildebrandt, CBC News
Related
External Links
(Note: CBC does not endorse and is not responsible for the content of external sites - links will open in new window)
A rescue worker looks through an airplane window in search of a plane that crashed near Los Roques islands in the Caribbean Sea, north of Caracas, on Jan. 6, 2008. (Howard Yanes/Associated Press) A plane nosediving into the depths of the ocean, another plunging into a house killing those aboard and one on the ground, a flock of geese disabling a massive airliner's engines.
The startling stories of survival and horrific deaths caused by airplane crashes stick in people's minds thanks to the sheer scale.
But even as crash stories dominate headlines, statistics remind us that airliners are one of the safer modes of transportation.
In fact, passengers boarding a plane have a 99.99 per cent chance of surviving the flight.
The International Civil Aviation Organization, or ICAO, found that in 2007 there were only 0.014 deaths for every 100 million passenger kilometres, and that's despite a rise in air traffic compared to the previous year.
"So in reality, that's the best, sort of the safest that you get in all sectors of transportation but that doesn't always comfort people because I think people naturally have a fear of flying," said Suzanne Kearns, an aviation safety professor at the University of Western Ontario in London, Ont.
Transport Canada says on its website that aircraft safety has continuously improved since the Second World War and accidents now stand at an all-time low thanks largely to technology improvements like reliable engines and navigation systems.
It notes there are few technological solutions for many of today's accidents, many of which are caused by human error rather than more easy to solve issues like mechanical failures and sabotage.
From 75 to 98 per cent of plane accidents can be attributed to human error, depending on the aviation sector, says Kearns. Smaller, non-commercial aircraft see the higher end of the spectrum.
"It's a lot easier when an accident happens as a result of a mechanical problem to identify that and then fix all the airplanes but when you identify that it's a human problem it's much more challenging to fix all the pilots," said Kearns.
"You can't just tighten a screw and then everybody's better."
Heading off plane crashes
Airlines around the world are currently in the process of undergoing a key change in the way they deal with accidents.
Instead of the reactive approach taken in the past where the airlines fix problems after an accident, the industry is now trying to anticipate them.
At the heart of that change is the use of so-called safety management systems, or SMS — basically, a systematic approach to evaluating risk factors within a company before it causes an accident.
"It views accidents as being the result of the organization.... So it's not necessarily just the pilot's fault or just the airplane's fault but it goes all the way up to management practices," says Kearns.
Canada, she notes, was one of the first countries to develop SMS, which will become an international requirement in 2010.
Though Canada is home to the second largest aircraft fleet in the world due to many smaller aircraft, it lacks the encumbering bureaucracy of larger countries, allowing it to quickly pass regulations such as SMS, says Kearns.
On the horizon
Canada is also at the forefront of another change expected to sweep the aviation horizon.
Almost since the Wright brothers first flew their plane in 1903, pilot training has remained virtually motionless, with education ruled by the idea of completing a regulated number of training and flight hours.
"We train them: Can you do this certain manoeuvre? And have you completed X number of hours of ground training in a classroom? Well, then, great, you're done," said Kearns.
But that's about to change. Schools are now starting to focus on testing a level of performance, rather than hours spent training.
"You can sit in a classroom but if you're not paying attention you're not getting anything out of it," Kearns points out.
Blacklisting countries, airlines
Safety concerns about certain airlines not meeting international safety standards prompted the European Union to create its own blacklist of airlines not allowed in the region's air space back in 2006. Dominating the list are many African and Asian airliners.
When a Yemenia Airways jet crashed near the Comoros Islands in June 2009, killing all but one of the 153 passengers aboard, the EU pushed for the world to adopt a global blacklist of banned airlines. Yemenia Airways was criticized for swapping more modern planes for older ones for the final leg of its flights.
No such public list for airlines is in place in North American, though the U.S. Federal Aviation Administration does list countries that don't comply with international standards.
The FAA looked into ranking airlines, but concluded it was impossible to do so with such wide differences in carrier safety records at any given time, mostly because of the random catastrophes that befall them.
"There is no evidence that such distinctions persist nor that they are predictive of future safety performance," the FAA said.
For Kearns, one of the troubling issues that arise when deadly plane crashes make news is the "vicious cycle" it causes, where the airline industry — known for its slim margin lines — loses revenue as people avoid air travel, thus resulting in fewer dollars to spend on airline safety.
"Any time people start to get a little nervous then the industry tends to lose a lot of money and the reality is when they have less money, they have less money to invest in safety programs," said Kearns.
Though Kearns has been flying since the age of 15, she admits to having a bit of fear when airborne since she began teaching airplane safety courses. But she cautions that the chance of a plane crash are small.
"People shouldn't be afraid of flying. The aviation industry is always continually looking for new ways to be safe. And they're really on the forefront of safety research."
Share Tools
Top News Headlines
- Legalize pot, say former B.C. attorneys general
- Four former B.C. attorneys general are joining a coalition of health and justice experts calling for the legalization of marijuana. more »
- Whitney Houston's funeral to be held Saturday
- Pop star Whitney Houston's funeral service will be held Saturday in the New Jersey church where she first showcased her singing talents as a child. more »
- Online surveillance bill targets child porn: Toews
- A bill that would give police and intelligence agencies new powers to access Canadians' electronic communications is needed to protect against child pornography, says Public Safety Minister Vic Toews. more »
- Air Canada pilots give strike mandate to union
- The union representing Air Canada pilots has been given an overwhelming mandate to call a strike, though the pilots have said they won't use that option while mediated talks are ongoing. more »
Latest Canada News Headlines
- Legalize pot, say former B.C. attorneys general
- Four former B.C. attorneys general are joining a coalition of health and justice experts calling for the legalization of marijuana. more »
- Online surveillance bill targets child porn: Toews
- A bill that would give police and intelligence agencies new powers to access Canadians' electronic communications is needed to protect against child pornography, says Public Safety Minister Vic Toews. more »
- Trudeau says sovereignty less of a bogeyman now
- Justin Trudeau says sovereignty is less of a bogeyman than it once was as he defends himself against accusations he's sympathetic to the desire to leave Canada. more »
- 12 Flag Day stories of patriotism
- Ahead of tomorrow's Flag Day celebrations, our readers shared some of their proudest Canadian moments. Here are some of the best. more »
On Tonight's National
Top stories
Shafia Jury Deliberations
- Dan Halton
- The jury in the Shafia murder trial begun deliberations today. Mohammad Shafia, his wife and his son are accused of killing four of their family members. They are charged with four counts of first-degree murder and have all pleaded not guilty to the charge.
Watch the Best of the Show
- Get Connected
- Syria cracks down on protesters, one day before an Arab League delegation arrives.
Stay Connected
- Carolyn Dunn
- An English soccer captain is facing racial abuse charges after an on-field exchange with another player.
The Current
- An Exploration of Dating Online Feb. 14, 2012 4:13 PM Internet dating is a popular way to meet people, but some researchers question whether compatibility is something that can be determined online.
- Online surveillance critics accused of supporting child porn
- Whitney Houston's funeral to be held Saturday
- HMCS Corner Brook collision damage extensive
- Online surveillance bill targets child porn: Toews
- Mooning Queen proves costly for Australian man
- Legalize pot, say former B.C. attorneys general
- MacKay says submarine fleet has 'spotty' history
- Stanley Cup rioter seen in brick attack on cop
- Man kidnapped at Greyhound station escapes captors

