Summer pump prices likely to stay below $1: analyst
Last Updated: Monday, May 11, 2009 | 2:00 PM ET
CBC News
The dark recessionary clouds overhanging the Canadian economy may have a silver lining, as drivers can expect cheaper gas prices during the busy summer driving season, a leading analyst suggests.
Drivers fill up at a gas station in Vancouver where gas prices have been hovering around the $1 mark. (CBC) "In the short term, I have a real problem with [gas prices] breaking the $1 per litre level," Roger McKnight, senior petroleum analyst with En-Pro International told Andy Barrie of CBC Radio's Metro Morning on Monday. "The demand is just not there."
McKnight foresees prices in the 98-cent range for the rest of May. "And from June, July and August I see it retreating from the low 90s to high 80-cent range," he said.
The reason? The widespread and ongoing global recession that is driving down demand and prices for most petroleum products.
Recession curbs demand
"A year ago crude was at $123 [US a barrel] and today it's trading at $58," McKnight said. "A 52 per cent drop is quite astounding."
Crude and gasoline prices spiked last week as traders reacted to employment data from the United States and Canada that proved not quite as bleak as expected.
"[Traders] were looking at any glimmer of hope, but I think they're grasping at straws," McKnight said.
Depressed pump prices are a welcome respite for cash-strapped consumers, and cheaper gasoline is going to remain the status quo until the economy shows serious, sustained signs of a rebound, McKnight said.
"When that happens, crude will start moving up very rapidly indeed, but I don't see this recession ending any time before the late 4th quarter [of 2009]," he said.
Gas prices in Canada currently hover between an average price of 87.7 cents a litre in Prince Edward Island, to $1.02 in British Columbia, according to Gasbuddy.com, a website that tracks the industry.
Share Tools
Top News Headlines
- Tories move to curb 'bogus' refugees
- The Conservative government is poised to change the refugee system yet again in an attempt to deter what it considers "bogus" claimants, CBC News has learned. more »
- Children of immigrants challenged at school, home
- By 2016, foreign-born youth and Canadian-born youth from immigrant families will make up a quarter of the country's population, according to predictions by the Canadian Council on Social Development. As their numbers grow, more attention is being paid to their successes and failures. more »
- 2 NDP MPs back final Commons vote to kill gun registry
- Two NDP MPs broke party ranks to vote with the government in the final House of Commons vote on scrapping the long-gun registry. more »
- B.C. house party trial hears from tearful teens
- Two teenagers cried as they testified at the trial of a B.C. woman who was charged after a teen died while her son was hosting a party at her house in 2008. more »
Latest Canada News Headlines
- Drummond report on Ontario calls for cutbacks
- The Ontario government must curtail its spending with the kind of cuts not seen since the Mike Harris years, according to a report by former TD Bank chief economist Don Drummond. more »
- B.C. house party trial hears from tearful teens
- Two teenagers cried as they testified at the trial of a B.C. woman who was charged after a teen died while her son was hosting a party at her house in 2008. more »
- 2 NDP MPs back final Commons vote to kill gun registry
- Two NDP MPs broke party ranks to vote with the government in the final House of Commons vote on scrapping the long-gun registry. more »
- Children of immigrants challenged at school, home
- By 2016, foreign-born youth and Canadian-born youth from immigrant families will make up a quarter of the country's population, according to predictions by the Canadian Council on Social Development. As their numbers grow, more attention is being paid to their successes and failures. more »
The National
The Current
- Abortion and Conservative Caucus Feb. 15, 2012 3:21 PM The return of a debate that may have lost some of its explosive power, but may still be ready to detonate in Prime Minister Harper's back benches.
- Drummond report on Ontario calls for cutbacks
- Barefoot girl's icy trek not blamed on babysitter
- 2 NDP MPs back final Commons vote to kill gun registry
- Immigrants the proudest Canadians, poll suggests
- Honduras prison fire kills hundreds
- Bodyguard hired for bully victim in Fredericton
- Canadian housing market cools in January
- Legalize pot, say former B.C. attorneys general
- Russians' abusive plane tirade to cost them $19K

