Quebec pollster, Jean-Marc Léger, wrote a guide in today’s Journal de Montréal on how to survive one of the “most boring campaigns in history.” He lists 10 points to understand Quebec voting trends:

The Conservatives have been gaining points across the country and is close to a majority. He needs to win a dozen seats in Ontario and Quebec, as well as a handful in the Atlantic provinces to get there.
The Conservatives currently have 11 seats in Quebec. According to polls right now they can expect to score more than 20 seats, especially in the regions.
The latest polls show the Conservatives are making gains on the island of Montreal. That means it is now a race between three parties (Bloc, Conservative, and Liberal).
The Bloc vote is the most solid of the three. At the start of the campaign they were polling at 30 per cent. They are now up to 32 per cent. Only the Bloc, Léger says, can stop the Conservatives in the regions of Quebec.
For the first time since Léger has been polling, the Liberals are no longer the first choice of non-francophones (34 per cent Tories, 30 per cent Liberals and 15 per cent Bloc). The Conservatives are leading among non-francophones and the Liberals are leading among cultural communities.
Nearly 50 per cent of voters say they could change their minds. This is very high and shows the leaders’ debates could play a major role this campaign. That’s if voters have the courage to actually watch it!
Interest in the campaign is very low so turnout will likely also be low. That normally favours the party in power.
Culture is the Conservatives' Achilles heel. The more people talk about it, the more it will favour the Bloc. The more attention turns to the economy, the more it will favour the Tories.
In the cacophony of polls that are coming out, don’t rely on polls from Toronto! Last election they were on average 10 points off in Quebec. Small samples, interviewers who are not very proficient in French, and badly translated questions are recurring problems.
The number of undecided voters is climbing faster than support for any party. If there was a party of undecided voters — they would win in Quebec!

Léger concludes the trends do favour the Conservatives but the electorate is still volatile. If the Americans have a date with history, the Canadian election looks more like a date with the dentist!

— Emmanuel Marchand