As Quebec voters prepare to elect a new government on Monday, the Quebec Liberal Party is still in the lead, the Parti Québécois continues its slide and the Coalition Avenir Québec is making a late comeback, according to a new poll by Léger Marketing, which could be the last of the campaign.
The CAQ are up from 19 per cent support from respondents to two other polls at the end of March and beginning of April.
"What the numbers show the [CAQ] trending up... They're within reach of keeping more of their seats than we thought maybe a week or two ago. In these conditions, obtaining a majority for the Liberals becomes very complicated," said Christian Bourque, executive vice president of Léger Marketing.
'In these conditions, obtaining a majority for the Liberals becomes very complicated.' - Christian Bourque, executive vice president of Léger Marketing
This online poll, published today in the Journal de Montréal, gives the Liberals 38 per cent support of voter intentions, versus 29 per cent for the PQ, 23 per cent to the CAQ (its best score of the campaign) and nine per cent for Québec solidaire.
Today CAQ leader François Legault explains the trend by saying he believes fewer voters feel "stuck" between the Liberals and the PQ.
"What I want is for the trend to continue. What we see is that fewer Quebecers feel stuck. What I hope is that those who are still feel a little stuck will be able to make a decision," said Legault.
PQ down since March polls
The PQ's numbers are up by one per cent from IPSOS and FORUM polls that were conducted April 1.
However, it is still lower than the previous Léger Marketing poll that was conducted March 21 to 23, which showed 33 per cent of respondents supported the PQ.
Among francophones, the PQ remains in first with 35 per cent support, followed by the Liberals with 29 per cent, CAQ with 27 per cent and Québec solidaire with nine per cent.
"It will come down to local races, and regional gains and losses for each party," said Bourque from Léger. "These numbers are right down that middle road between a majority and minority scenario. It'll be a tight one on Monday."
Asked who would make the best premier, 27 per cent said Philippe Couillard, 24 per cent François Legault and 23 per cent Pauline Marois. QS co-spokesperson Françoise David got six per cent support.
The online survey of 1,220 respondents was taken April 2 and 3.
Today Legault said he believes the situation is even better for the CAQ now than at the time the survey was conducted.