U.S. rate hikes unlikely until late 2014
Federal Reserve extends low-rate period by up to 18 months
CBC News
Posted: Jan 25, 2012 11:35 AM ET
Last Updated: Jan 25, 2012 3:36 PM ET
U.S. Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke said at a news conference Wednesday the Fed will likely keep interest rates low until late 2014, longer than previously expected.
Related
Related Links
The U.S. Federal Reserve said Wednesday it likely won't raise interest rates from their current record low levels until late 2014.
Previously, the Fed had said it would keep rates low until mid-2013. This latest announcement by the Fed extends that time frame for low rates by up to 18 months.
The U.S. central bank said its decision to keep rates low for an extended period was intended to boost a struggling but modestly growing American economy.
"Economic conditions ... are likely to warrant exceptionally low levels for the federal funds rate at least through late 2014," the Fed said in a statement.
"Unless there is a substantial strengthening of the economy in the near term, it's a pretty good guess we will be keeping rates low for some time," Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke said later at a news conference.
Inflation 'subdued'
As expected, the Fed left its federal funds rate unchanged at a rock-bottom zero to 0.25 per cent — the same level it's been for the last three years.
The decision to stand pat on rates was widely expected by the market. But the Fed's forecast of an extended period of exceptionally low interest rates gave a boost to U.S. stock markets. The Dow Jones industrial average, which had been down 60 points before the announcement, turned positive afterward.
The Fed seems "less concerned about inflation, dropping a sentence that previously stated they were monitoring it closely," noted CIBC World Markets economist Avery Shenfeld.
For the first time, the Fed also established a target for inflation — two per cent.
The Fed also downgraded its forecast for U.S. economic growth. It now projects growth of 2.2 to 2.7 per cent for 2012. As recently as November, it saw economic growth this year as being in a range of 2.5 to 2.9 per cent.
The Fed also sees the U.S.unemployment rate edging down from the current 8.5 per cent to as low as 8.2 per cent later this year. But it doesn't see the U.S. jobless rate dropping below seven per cent until 2014.
The Fed's updated quarterly forecast also revealed that some members of its powerful rate-setting committee wanted the period of low rates to extend even beyond 2014.
The Fed's new transparency is meant to provide business and consumers with some assurance that rates are likely to remain low for some time to come.
Rebound tentative
The U.S. economy is still shaky, the Fed said, but it is finally beginning to show some signs that it might be rebounding.
Companies have begun to hire again and the stock market has been rising. Home prices are only now beginning to rise after three years of steep declines.
But Bernanke warned that Europe's slowdown had the potential to derail the "moderate" expansion the U.S. in now experiencing. "Strains in global financial markets continue to pose significant downide risk to that outlook," he said.
In the recent past, the Fed has embarked on a couple of rounds of aggressive bond buying. This strategy, known as quantitative easing, is designed to lower long-term rates.
On Wednesday, the Fed did not announce any new bond-buying program. But it said it was prepared to adjust its "holdings as appropriate to promote a stronger economic recovery in the context of price stability."
With files from The Associated PressShare Tools
Top News Headlines
- Canadian Pacific strikers face back-to-work legislation
- Labour Minister Lisa Raitt is prepared to end the Canadian Pacific Railway strike if necessary, after both CP and the union rejected a proposal for voluntary arbitration by the government-appointed negotiator on Sunday. Raitt says she is "extremely disappointed." more »
- Syrian regime denies role in Houla massacre
- The UN Security Council condemned the Syrian regime at an emergency meeting Sunday, holding president Bashar al-Assad's military responsible for the massacre of more than 100 people, dozens of whom were children younger than 10 years old. more »
- Ryder Hesjedal wins prestigious Giro d'Italia
- Victoria, B.C., native Ryder Hesjedal has become the first Canadian to win one of the cycling world's three Grand Tour events, wrapping up the 2012 Giro d'Italia with an excellent performance in the final stage in Milan. more »
- Neighbour may have helped find missing kids in Mexico
- Two Winnipeg children who had been missing for nearly four years were found in Mexico after a man raised concerns about his neighbour, according to a private investigator. more »
Latest Business Headlines
- Bankia asks Spain for €19B
- The board of directors of Spain's troubled bank, Bankia, has asked the Spanish government for €19 billion ($24.5 billion Cdn) in financial support. more »
- EI reforms aim to boost employment, Flaherty says
- Finance Minister Jim Flaherty defended his government's proposals to change employment insurance, saying the aim is to remove "disincentives to employment." more »
- Employment Insurance review boards to be scrapped
- The federal government is scrapping two review boards used by people appealing decisions made about their employment insurance. more »
- Ottawa moves to limit foreign investment reviews
- The federal government is raising to $1 billion the amount of foreign money that can go into a Canadian company before the investment is reviewed. The review has been used in the past to block foreign takeovers of MDA and Potash Corp. more »
Lang & O'Leary Exchange
Markets
| Index | Last Trade | Change |
|---|---|---|
| TSX COMPOSITE | 11576.47 | 10.4 |
| DOW | 12454.83 | -74.92 |
| NASDAQ | 2837.53 | -1.85 |
| SP 500 | 1317.82 | -2.86 |
| NYSE COMPOSITE | 7534.32 | -18.01 |
| AMEX | 2227.37 | 1.45 |
| TSX-VENTURE | 1309.27 | 26.8 |
The data on this site is informational only and may be delayed; it is not intended as trading or investment advice and you should not rely on it as such.
Business Features
- Accused in blast that killed Alberta mom handled her funds
- Remains found in bag on Cape Breton river ID'd
- Neighbour may have helped find missing kids in Mexico
- Quebec students, government to resume talks
- Syrian regime denies role in Houla massacre
- Lip-dub marriage proposal an internet hit
- Canadian Pacific strikers face back-to-work legislation
- B.C. NDP calls for unity in fighting coast guard closure
- Calgary Marathon winner breaks 21-year-old record

