Euro jumps on rate hike hint
CBC News
Posted: Mar 3, 2011 2:04 PM ET
Last Updated: Mar 3, 2011 4:24 PM ET
Related
European Central Bank president Jean-Claude Trichet hinted Thursday that a rate hike could come as early as April.(Michael Prbst/Associated Press) The euro jumped to a four-month high Thursday after the head of the European Central Bank surprised markets by saying interest rates could be raised as soon as the next policy meeting in April, far earlier than expected.
The euro was up .92 a cent to $1.3958 US in the late afternoon, after trading as high as $1.3974, matching its November levels.
Speaking after the bank left its main interest rate unchanged at the record low of one per cent, president Jean-Claude Trichet said "strong vigilance" was warranted and that an interest rate increase next month was "possible" though "not certain."
"It is paramount that the rise in inflation does not lead to second-round effects and thereby give rise to broad-based inflationary pressures over the medium term," said Trichet.
By second-round effects, Trichet was referring to wage increases, which threaten to embed high inflation in an economy.
Most analysts weren't expecting a rate increase until later this year, partly because a number of countries in the euro zone, such as Greece, Ireland and Portugal, are trying to contain a government debt crisis that involves slashing spending and raising taxes.
"The market had expected Trichet to use some finesse in his hawkish remarks today — he used a sledgehammer," said Michael Woolfolk, senior currency strategist at Bank of New York Mellon. "Today's comments are truly remarkable."
Trichet dismissed the notion of a big rate increase — one of more than a quarter point — as "not appropriate."
'He used a sledgehammer.'—Michael Woolfolk, Bank of New York Mellon currency strategist
He also sought to downplay any suggestions that an April interest rate rise would necessarily lead to more rises over the months ahead. "It is certainly not the sense of the start of a series of rate hike increases," he said.
Marie Diron, a senior economic adviser to accounting firm Ernst & Young, said a premature ECB rate rise as a response to an energy-fueled price spike would be a "policy mistake."
The ECB's only mandate is to control inflation — unlike the U.S. Federal Reserve, which also has to keep a close watch on the wider U.S. economy, in particular the labour market.
In the last 12 months, higher food and energy costs have pushed consumer price inflation in the euro zone up to 2.4 per cent — above the ECB's target of "close to but below" two per cent.
The ECB also released forecasts that show inflationary pressures have swelled since the last estimates in December and are now expected to be between 2.0 per cent and 2.6 per cent in 2011 and between 1.0 per cent and 2.4 per cent in 2012.
Trichet cautioned that the forecasts were made before the latest spike in crude prices due to the tensions in Libya.
With files from The Associated PressShare Tools
Top News Headlines
- CP Rail negotiations stalled, union says
- Negotiations between Canadian Pacific Railway Lt. and the union representing 4,800 striking locomotive engineers and conductors have come to a "stall" after the government-appointed mediator walked out at 2 p.m. ET, a union spokesman says. more »
- UN Security Council blames Syrian regime for massacre
- The UN Security Council condemned the Syrian regime at an emergency meeting Sunday, holding president Bashar al-Assad's military responsible for the massacre of more than 100 people, dozens of whom were children younger than 10 years old. more »
- Ryder Hesjedal wins prestigious Giro d'Italia
- Victoria, B.C., native Ryder Hesjedal has become the first Canadian to win one of the cycling world's three Grand Tour events, wrapping up the 2012 Giro d'Italia with an excellent performance in the final stage in Milan. more »
- Neighbour may have helped find missing kids in Mexico
- Two Winnipeg children who had been missing for nearly four years were found in Mexico after a man raised concerns about his neighbour, according to a private investigator. more »
Latest Business Headlines
- Bankia asks Spain for €19B
- The board of directors of Spain's troubled bank, Bankia, has asked the Spanish government for €19 billion ($24.5 billion Cdn) in financial support. more »
- EI reforms aim to boost employment, Flaherty says
- Finance Minister Jim Flaherty defended his government's proposals to change employment insurance, saying the aim is to remove "disincentives to employment." more »
- Employment Insurance review boards to be scrapped
- The federal government is scrapping two review boards used by people appealing decisions made about their employment insurance. more »
- Ottawa moves to limit foreign investment reviews
- The federal government is raising to $1 billion the amount of foreign money that can go into a Canadian company before the investment is reviewed. The review has been used in the past to block foreign takeovers of MDA and Potash Corp. more »
Lang & O'Leary Exchange
Markets
| Index | Last Trade | Change |
|---|---|---|
| TSX COMPOSITE | 11576.47 | 10.4 |
| DOW | 12454.83 | -74.92 |
| NASDAQ | 2837.53 | -1.85 |
| SP 500 | 1317.82 | -2.86 |
| NYSE COMPOSITE | 7534.32 | -18.01 |
| AMEX | 2227.37 | 1.45 |
| TSX-VENTURE | 1309.27 | 26.8 |
The data on this site is informational only and may be delayed; it is not intended as trading or investment advice and you should not rely on it as such.
Business Features
- Teen struck by lightning in Ottawa dies
- Missing Winnipeg children found in Mexico
- Quebec tornadoes cause millions in damage
- Montreal protesters march in peaceful defiance
- UN Security Council blames Syrian regime for massacre
- Woman's remains found in hockey bag on Cape Breton river
- Everest team unable to bring down Toronto woman's body
- WWE apologizes to Brazil over Canadian's flag stomp
- Lady Gaga nixes Indonesia show after threats

