REALITY CHECK
Don Pittis
The 21st century belongs to Canada
Last Updated: Wednesday, February 3, 2010 | 4:38 PM ET
By Don Pittis, CBC News
More columns by Don Pittis
- Potash and the unsung government corporation (Aug. 19, 2010)
- Worrying about wheat: Why monitoring supply and prices matters (Aug. 12, 2010)
- Have you driven a gas-electric hybrid Ford Lincoln lately? (July 22, 2010)
- Mark Carney and the rock and roll economy (July 19, 2010)
- Drilling for Arctic oil: When markets conquer ethics (July 9, 2010)
- Two routes to recession: The real story behind the G20 (com)promises (June 30, 2010)
- G20 anthem: Don't Fence Me In (June 21, 2010)
- Time to take the U.S. dollar down a peg or two (June 10, 2010)
- Not stimulating: the scary prospect of a drug-free economic recovery (May 12, 2010)
- Talk's cheap in a free market (May 8, 2010)
- Prevent WW III: Pay your taxes (April 27, 2010)
- When you're hot, you're hot (April 10, 2010)
- Selling our oil dear: the advantages of a cheap Chinese yuan (April 1, 2010)
- Budget? Fudge it. The dirty little secret of government (March 26, 2010)
- The Cylon Budget: They have a plan (March 5, 2010)
- The Russell Peters budget: Is somebody gonna get a-hurt real bad? (Feb. 25, 2010)
- Little Brother is watching you, too (Feb. 12, 2010)
- The 21st century belongs to Canada (Feb. 3, 2010)
- Why a persistent whiff of doom hangs over economy (Jan. 21, 2010)
- A pariah history, some promising starts and now this (Jan. 14, 2010)
- The economic advantages of life in a cold country (Jan. 7, 2010)
- Spend Copenhagen cash on high-tech green engine (Dec. 17)
- Climate change and market forces (Dec. 11, 2009)
- Is gold a 'real' investment? (Dec. 1, 2009)
- Flaherty's 'tiny time pills' could bring economic relief (Nov. 19, 2009)
- The race for world's crummiest currency (Nov. 2009)
- Economically speaking, it's time to invade Eritrea (Oct. 2009)
- Did you hear the joke about business and global warming? (Oct. 29)
- The gamblers who benefit us all (Oct. 19)
- Sleeping with a sick elephant (Sept. 30, 2009)
- Beyond GDP: The pursuit of economic happiness (Sept. 18, 2009)
- Investigating Sesame Street's role in the financial collapse (Sept. 14, 2009)
- Learning economics from Afghanistan (Sept. 8, 2009)
- God's economics: What the Pope knows about business (July 9, 2009)
- Cash for clunkers: Seeking an exit strategy (June 26, 2009)
- Price shocks and oil stocks - why we will never run out (June 22, 2009)
- Surviving uncertainty: a business tool for life's unexpected moments (June 8, 2009)
- Attack ads and the benefits of living elsewhere (May 25, 2009)
- Car company failures? Blame the media (May 15, 2009)
- Chrysler and GM: Amerika's new Lada factories (May 1, 2009)
- Deficit spending: Who's paying? (April 26, 2009)
- Democratic economics: learning to use a powerful tool (April 4, 2009)
- The markets love mergers, but are they a good thing? (March 24, 2009)
- Economic slowdown or social earthquake? (March 11, 2009)
- Looking for alternatives to a broken capitalism (March 5, 2009)
- Stimulus debates leave human factor out of equation (Feb. 18, 2009)
- Popping the executive compensation bubble (Feb. 5, 2009)
- Bailouts and protectionism - the slippery slope to Depression (Jan. 29, 2008)
- Learning from Nortel (Jan. 16, 2008)
- Plea to government: Boost economy by investing in future (Jan. 8, 2009)
- Bank of Canada: the voice of doom? (Dec. 12, 2008)
- Unemployment hurts, but it's not a crisis yet (Dec. 5, 2008)
- A plague of falling prices: deflation and how to stop it (Nov. 21, 2008)
- The G20: Catching a falling piano (Nov. 14, 2008)
- The trouble with bailouts (Nov. 7, 2008)
Don Pittis has reported on business for Radio Hong Kong, the BBC and the CBC. Is it impolite to claim a second century?
Of course, only Canadians know that our seventh prime minister, Wilfrid Laurier, said "The 20th century belongs to Canada." So perhaps we can sneak another century without anyone noticing.
The fact that Laurier didn't actually say his famous quote might also be a mitigating factor. Here is what he did say in 1904: "The 19th century was the century of the United States. I think we can claim that it is Canada that shall fill the 20th century."
One lesson appropriate to the modern economic situation may be that it is not always a good idea to count out Uncle Sam.
On the other hand, the U.S. has had a good run. At some point our southern neighbour may encounter the fatal sequence that The Economist magazine recently ascribed to Toyota: hubris, undisciplined greed, denial of risk and eventually capitulation.
They've been great customers, but the Americans have been buying on credit. U.S. President Barack Obama tells us he is borrowing $1.6 trillion US this year alone, and adding it to the national debt.
No intelligent Canadian wants to see U.S. capitulation, if just for reasons of self-interest. They buy most of our stuff. But as long as it lasts, borrowed money is also good. That should be no barrier to Canada claiming ownership of the 21st century. But can we really pull it off?
Being big isn't everything
These days China gets the odds on "most likely to own the century." But, hey, big isn't everything. Big populations can cause big problems. Besides, China already owned lots of centuries. Sort of everything up to the end of the Ming.
Small countries have done quite well too, thank you very much. It is easy to forget that Portuguese navigation technology conquered much of the world, for a while at least. The Dutch did very well, too. Japan had its day in the sun. England had an excellent run for a small, damp half-island with bad plumbing.
Cold may not be a disadvantage. Remember Gustavus Adolphus and Genghis Kahn?
And tables turn. Who nowadays would think of Mongolia ruling most of the known world (you were better off if the Khans didn't know about you during the period when their empire was at its peak). Greece may be having a little trouble just now, but for the centuries after Alexander the Great, Greek was spoken from Persia to Egypt. Or else.
All hail Canada, eh?
Now I am not suggesting Canadians should march beyond our borders and start forcing people to eat maple syrup and poutine at the point of a sword. That is not the kind of century ownership we are talking about. Our possession of the next 90 years would be much more enlightened.
But look at the facts. In a world swamped in national debt, our debt is tiny. For that reason international investment fund manager Bill Gross says Canada would be the safest place to invest for the foreseeable future. Except for Germany.
Germany may be safe, but it doesn't have our kind of cultural contacts. Other countries may have clever linguists and good trade relations. But what other country has at least one person with relatives in every country in the world? Germany may have Germans, but so do we. And Brazilians and Russians and Indians and Chinese. That means we'll have relations with the upstart economic power of the BRIC nations sewed up.
Some people have suggested Canada could become the world's top financial centre, as banks come north to escape tough new U.S. rules and taxes. Canada would benefit just like we did from the influx of Vietnam draft dodgers. Same principal, except they'll bring their own money.
That's good, because owning an entire century can be expensive. Have you looked at tuition at American universities lately, for example? With individual states running out of money even public colleges are getting expensive. In California, tuitions are up 30 per cent this year alone.
Affordable education in Canada also means smart young children of immigrants get a chance to become the world's best brains. Surely some of them will stay. And even if our education is not as affordable as some places, so what? Canadians can always borrow against our houses to pay tuition. Unlike our southern neighbour, our houses are still worth as much as we paid for them. So far at least.
Areas to work on
Unfortunately, when it comes to turning all that brain power into innovation, the Conference Board says we are at the bottom of the global pack. But that's not our fault. It's just that all the parent companies of our branch plant companies currently prefer to do their research at home. Who wouldn't?
And resources. We've got oil and nickel and potash. The fact that they are increasingly owned by foreign multinationals shouldn't make much difference. Except maybe when it comes to innovation. And the location of head offices. And labour relations.
But these niggling problems can be overcome. Heck, we did it with our weather. For years people have complained about our cold weather. But now all that's changed. With global warming on the way, being colder than other countries has suddenly become a big advantage. If everything from California to Florida is a windswept desert, we can sell them lettuce.
And speaking of deserts, there's our trump card: We have lots of cool, fresh, water. No one else owns that (yet). It's the cleanest, freshest water in the world, which someone should mention to the people who import all that water in bottles from Italy.
With all those advantages, surely we deserve another century. We deserve it even more than we did in Wilfrid Laurier's day.
But there is one special trick that old Wilfrid knew when he made his grab for the 20th century. To succeed, Canadians should take a lesson from our wise and conciliatory seventh PM. When you're going for a century, and especially after you get your mitts on the darned thing, don't wave it around cheering. That is so un-Canadian.
It's OK for us to smile smugly at one another and know the 21st century also belongs to Canada. Just don't blab it about.
Share Tools
Top News Headlines
- Drummond report on Ontario calls for cutbacks
- The Ontario government must curtail its spending with the kind of cuts not seen since the Mike Harris years, according to a report by former TD Bank chief economist Don Drummond. more »
- Children of immigrants challenged at school, home
- By 2016, foreign-born youth and Canadian-born youth from immigrant families will make up a quarter of the country's population, according to predictions by the Canadian Council on Social Development. As their numbers grow, more attention is being paid to their successes and failures. more »
- Whitney Houston funeral to be livestreamed
- Whitney Houston's funeral will be livestreamed, to satisfy the desire of fans to grieve alongside family members at the Saturday memorial. more »
- B.C. house party trial hears from tearful teens
- Two teenagers cried as they testified at the trial of a B.C. woman who was charged after a teen died while her son was hosting a party at her house in 2008. more »
Latest Business Headlines
- Nortel collapse linked to hacking attack
- A former systems security adviser to Nortel Networks says he has no doubt that extensive cyber attacks on the technology company contributed to its downfall. more »
- Competition Bureau investigating global banks
- Canada's Competition Bureau is investigating allegations that certain global banks or financial brokerage firms conspired to manipulate interest rate derivatives for more than three years. more »
- Canadian housing market cools in January
- The housing resale market retreated in January following a strong December finish to 2011, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. more »
- U.S. Fed divided on new bond buying
- The U.S. Federal Reserve isn't about to launch another bond-buying program to boost the economy — at least not anytime soon. more »
Lang & O'Leary Exchange
Markets
| Index | Last Trade | Change |
|---|---|---|
| TSX COMPOSITE | 12362.03 | 7.56 |
| DOW | 12780.95 | -97.33 |
| NASDAQ | 2915.83 | -16 |
| SP 500 | 1343.23 | -7.27 |
| NYSE COMPOSITE | 7998.65 | -30.96 |
| AMEX | 2419.99 | -9.07 |
| TSX-VENTURE | 1633.58 | 3.55 |
The data on this site is informational only and may be delayed; it is not intended as trading or investment advice and you should not rely on it as such.
Business Features
- Drummond report on Ontario calls for cutbacks
- Barefoot girl's icy trek not blamed on babysitter
- Immigrants the proudest Canadians, poll suggests
- Honduras prison fire kills hundreds
- NDP MPs urged to scrap gun registry in final vote
- Canadian housing market cools in January
- Legalize pot, say former B.C. attorneys general
- Russians' abusive plane tirade to cost them $19K
- Bodyguard hired for bully victim in Fredericton

