U.S. economy grew at 5.7% rate in Q4
Strongest evidence to date that recession ended last year
Last Updated: Friday, January 29, 2010 | 11:06 AM ET
CBC News
The U.S. economy grew at a stronger-than-expected 5.7 per cent annual rate for a second straight quarter from October through December, the Commerce Department reported Friday.
That was its fastest pace since the third quarter of 2003 and the strongest evidence to date that the worst recession since the 1930s ended last year, though an academic panel that assesses recessions has yet to officially declare an end to it.
A customer looks at men's shirts on display at a Costco store in Mountain View, Calif. The rate of increase in domestic demand weakened a bit in the last quarter of 2009, to 1.7 per cent. (Paul Sakuma/Associated Press) Exports soared 18.1 per cent, outpacing the strong gain in the previous quarter, as global demand grew and the U.S. dollar weakened against many currencies. Domestic demand weakened a bit to 1.7 per cent.
"However, the underlying rate of consumer spending, though still soft, looks to have picked up," BMO Capital Markets economist Sal Guatieri said in a commentary.
While the most recent quarter's growth rate "isn't sustainable" as consumers try to bring down their debt, said Guatieri, "the advance in exports, personal consumption and business capital spending points to some positive momentum in the economy."
"First-quarter GDP growth should top 3%," he predicted, "further distancing the economy from the Great Recession, and encouraging firms to resume hiring."
The two straight quarters of growth last year followed a record four quarters of economic decline. Still, the growth at the end of last year was primarily fuelled by companies refilling depleted stockpiles, a trend that will soon fade.
No effect on interest rates expected
Still, the strong growth report won't be enough convince the U.S. Federal Reserve to accelerate its timing of interest rate increases, predicted Ian Pollick, economics strategist with TD Securities.
"The realization that the pace of growth was outsized due to one-off factors [such as the swing in inventories] should not substantially alter the timing of rate hikes, which we continue to expect will begin in [the first three months of 2011]."
Pollick also pointed out that last quarter's GDP number could end up being revised to a lower number. That happened when the third quarter rate was knocked down to 2.2 per cent from its original 3.5, as the Commerce Department received more definitive data.
"While we don't expect Q4 to be revised substantially lower, it is not inconceivable," said Pollick.
The report also provides an upbeat end to an otherwise dismal year: The nation's economy declined 2.4 per cent in 2009, the largest drop since 1946.
With files from The Associated PressShare Tools
Top News Headlines
- Raitt closer to ending CP Rail strike
- Labour Minister Lisa Raitt is prepared to end the Canadian Pacific Rail strike if necessary, after both CP Rail and the union rejected a proposal for voluntary arbitration by the government-appointed negotiator on Sunday. Raitt tells CBC News she is "extremely disappointed." more »
- Syrian regime denies role in Houla massacre
- The UN Security Council condemned the Syrian regime at an emergency meeting Sunday, holding president Bashar al-Assad's military responsible for the massacre of more than 100 people, dozens of whom were children younger than 10 years old. more »
- Ryder Hesjedal wins prestigious Giro d'Italia
- Victoria, B.C., native Ryder Hesjedal has become the first Canadian to win one of the cycling world's three Grand Tour events, wrapping up the 2012 Giro d'Italia with an excellent performance in the final stage in Milan. more »
- Neighbour may have helped find missing kids in Mexico
- Two Winnipeg children who had been missing for nearly four years were found in Mexico after a man raised concerns about his neighbour, according to a private investigator. more »
Latest Business Headlines
- Bankia asks Spain for €19B
- The board of directors of Spain's troubled bank, Bankia, has asked the Spanish government for €19 billion ($24.5 billion Cdn) in financial support. more »
- EI reforms aim to boost employment, Flaherty says
- Finance Minister Jim Flaherty defended his government's proposals to change employment insurance, saying the aim is to remove "disincentives to employment." more »
- Employment Insurance review boards to be scrapped
- The federal government is scrapping two review boards used by people appealing decisions made about their employment insurance. more »
- Ottawa moves to limit foreign investment reviews
- The federal government is raising to $1 billion the amount of foreign money that can go into a Canadian company before the investment is reviewed. The review has been used in the past to block foreign takeovers of MDA and Potash Corp. more »
Lang & O'Leary Exchange
Markets
| Index | Last Trade | Change |
|---|---|---|
| TSX COMPOSITE | 11576.47 | 10.4 |
| DOW | 12454.83 | -74.92 |
| NASDAQ | 2837.53 | -1.85 |
| SP 500 | 1317.82 | -2.86 |
| NYSE COMPOSITE | 7534.32 | -18.01 |
| AMEX | 2227.37 | 1.45 |
| TSX-VENTURE | 1309.27 | 26.8 |
The data on this site is informational only and may be delayed; it is not intended as trading or investment advice and you should not rely on it as such.
Business Features
- Teen struck by lightning in Ottawa dies
- Missing Winnipeg children found in Mexico
- Syrian regime denies role in Houla massacre
- Quebec tornadoes cause millions in damage
- Montreal protesters march in peaceful defiance
- Remains found in bag on Cape Breton river ID'd
- Woman's remains found in hockey bag on Cape Breton river
- Everest team unable to bring down Toronto woman's body
- Neighbour may have helped find missing kids in Mexico

