Recession could stall growth for 7 years: IMF
Studied 88 previous banking crises
Last Updated: Tuesday, September 22, 2009 | 4:07 PM ET
CBC News
Related
Internal Links
The global financial crisis could hinder economic growth for at least seven years, the International Monetary Fund said Tuesday.
IMF economists Alasdair Scott and Petya Koeva Brooks looked at 88 banking crises over the past 40 years. Their findings are a part of the IMF's World Economic Outlook, to be released on Oct. 1, ahead of its annual two-day meeting in Istanbul, starting Oct. 6.
The IMF says banking crises typically set back employment, investment, and productivity. (CBC) "The medium-term output losses following banking crises are substantial. Seven years after the crisis, output has declined relative to trend by close to 10 percent on average," they said, although that varies widely, depending on the country.
Typically, however, "lower employment, investment, and productivity all contribute to sustained output losses," the report said.
"The combined output of economies currently in the midst of a banking crisis comprises close to one-half of real GDP for the advanced economies and one-quarter of world GDP. This suggests that real output in advanced economies is unlikely to rebound to its pre-crisis trend, which was the experience of emerging economies following the 1980s debt crises," it said.
The findings came before Group of 20 summit, which opens in Pittsburgh on Thursday and will be hosted by U.S. President Barack Obama.
The leaders will discuss how well they have reacted to the worst global recession in six decades and where to go next with reform of the financial system.
Share Tools
Top News Headlines
- Canadian Pacific strikers face back-to-work legislation
- Labour Minister Lisa Raitt is prepared to end the Canadian Pacific Railway strike if necessary, after both CP and the union rejected a proposal for voluntary arbitration by the government-appointed negotiator on Sunday. Raitt says she is "extremely disappointed."
more »
- Quebec students and province to resume talks
- Quebec's university student federation has confirmed negotiations between student leaders and the provincial government will resume Monday afternoon. more »
- Tropical storm Beryl strikes southeast U.S. coast
- Tropical storm Beryl has arrived at the southeastern U.S. coast, bringing heavy rain, winds and the possibility of flooding. more »
- Ryder Hesjedal wins prestigious Giro d'Italia
- Victoria native Ryder Hesjedal has become the first Canadian to win one of the cycling world's three Grand Tour events, wrapping up the 2012 Giro d'Italia with an excellent performance in the final stage in Milan. more »
- Syrian killings continue as Annan flies to Damascus
- International outrage against Syria intensified Monday, with China and Russia speaking out against the massacre of 108 people, including 49 children, in the town of Houla. more »
Latest Business Headlines
- Bankia asks Spain for €19B
- The board of directors of Spain's troubled bank, Bankia, has asked the Spanish government for €19 billion ($24.5 billion Cdn) in financial support. more »
- EI reforms aim to boost employment, Flaherty says
- Finance Minister Jim Flaherty defended his government's proposals to change employment insurance, saying the aim is to remove "disincentives to employment." more »
- Employment Insurance review boards to be scrapped
- The federal government is scrapping two review boards used by people appealing decisions made about their employment insurance. more »
- Ottawa moves to limit foreign investment reviews
- The federal government is raising to $1 billion the amount of foreign money that can go into a Canadian company before the investment is reviewed. The review has been used in the past to block foreign takeovers of MDA and Potash Corp. more »
Lang & O'Leary Exchange
Markets
| Index | Last Trade | Change |
|---|---|---|
| TSX COMPOSITE | 11576.47 | 0 |
| DOW | 12454.83 | 0 |
| NASDAQ | 2837.53 | 0 |
| SP 500 | 1317.82 | 0 |
| NYSE COMPOSITE | 7534.32 | 0 |
| AMEX | 2227.37 | 0 |
| TSX-VENTURE | 1309.27 | 0 |
The data on this site is informational only and may be delayed; it is not intended as trading or investment advice and you should not rely on it as such.
Business Features
- Seniors float above Montreal's Quartier Latin
- Remains found in bag on Cape Breton river ID'd
- Accused in blast that killed Alberta mom handled her funds
- Neighbour may have helped find missing kids in Mexico
- Quebec students and province to resume talks
- Lip-dub marriage proposal an internet hit
- Runner dies after collapsing in Cape Breton race
- Canadian Pacific strikers face back-to-work legislation
- Syrian regime denies role in Houla massacre

