Bank of Canada says growth may be greater than forecast
Second half looks stronger than projected; key lending rate left at 0.25%
Last Updated: Thursday, September 10, 2009 | 2:37 PM ET
CBC News
Related
Internal Links
Video
- Jeannie Lee reports: Bank of Canada keeps key rate unchanged (Runs: 1:57)
- Play: Real Media »
- Play: QuickTime »
The Bank of Canada said the country's economy may grow faster in the second half of this year than it forecast earlier this summer.
In July, the central bank had projected the economy would rebound by 1.3 per cent in the third quarter and by three per cent in the final quarter. While the bank offered no new growth estimates, it signalled that the economy is performing better than it was just two months ago.
Bank of Canada governor Mark Carney said in July that the Canadian economy had resumed growth. (Sean Kilpatrick/Canadian Press)
At that time, the Bank of Canada said the recession in Canada was likely over.
"Stimulative monetary and fiscal policies, improved financial conditions, firmer commodity prices, and a rebound in business and consumer confidence are supporting domestic demand growth in Canada," the bank said in a statement Thursday.
"Combined with recent information on inventory adjustments and automotive production, this suggests that GDP growth in the second half of 2009 could be stronger than the bank projected in July."
The central bank's comments came as it released its latest interest rate policy announcement. As expected, it left its key overnight interest rate unchanged at 0.25 per cent.
The central bank reiterated its commitment to leave the key rate at that level through the middle of next year as long as inflation remains in check.
The bank also repeated its warning about the high Canadian dollar. "Persistent strength in the Canadian dollar remains a risk to growth and to the return of inflation to target," it said.
Inflation expected to remain low
Still, the bank predicts that inflation should remain low for the foreseeable future.
"Total CPI inflation is still expected to trough in the current quarter before returning to the two per cent target in the second quarter of 2011 as aggregate supply and demand return to balance."
Economists said the bank's comments suggest it is more optimistic the economy is emerging from recession.
"On balance, the bank seems more confident that the recovery is starting," said Dawn Desjardins, assistant chief economist at RBC.
"Our read is that the bank expects policymakers to keep their feet on the gas pedal to ensure that the nascent recovery does not peter out," she wrote in a morning commentary.
The Canadian dollar was up 0.02 cents to 92.53 cents US at 11:15 a.m. ET.
Share Tools
Top News Headlines
- Canadian Pacific strikers face back-to-work legislation
- Labour Minister Lisa Raitt is prepared to end the Canadian Pacific Railway strike if necessary, after both CP and the union rejected a proposal for voluntary arbitration by the government-appointed negotiator on Sunday. Raitt says she is "extremely disappointed."
more »
- Quebec students and province to resume talks
- Quebec's university student federation has confirmed negotiations between student leaders and the provincial government will resume Monday afternoon. more »
- Tropical storm Beryl strikes southeast U.S. coast
- Tropical storm Beryl has arrived at the southeastern U.S. coast, bringing heavy rain, winds and the possibility of flooding. more »
- Ryder Hesjedal wins prestigious Giro d'Italia
- Victoria native Ryder Hesjedal has become the first Canadian to win one of the cycling world's three Grand Tour events, wrapping up the 2012 Giro d'Italia with an excellent performance in the final stage in Milan. more »
- Syrian killings continue as Annan flies to Damascus
- International outrage against Syria intensified Monday, with China and Russia speaking out against the massacre of 108 people, including 49 children, in the town of Houla. more »
Latest Business Headlines
- Bankia asks Spain for €19B
- The board of directors of Spain's troubled bank, Bankia, has asked the Spanish government for €19 billion ($24.5 billion Cdn) in financial support. more »
- EI reforms aim to boost employment, Flaherty says
- Finance Minister Jim Flaherty defended his government's proposals to change employment insurance, saying the aim is to remove "disincentives to employment." more »
- Employment Insurance review boards to be scrapped
- The federal government is scrapping two review boards used by people appealing decisions made about their employment insurance. more »
- Ottawa moves to limit foreign investment reviews
- The federal government is raising to $1 billion the amount of foreign money that can go into a Canadian company before the investment is reviewed. The review has been used in the past to block foreign takeovers of MDA and Potash Corp. more »
Lang & O'Leary Exchange
Markets
| Index | Last Trade | Change |
|---|---|---|
| TSX COMPOSITE | 11576.47 | 0 |
| DOW | 12454.83 | 0 |
| NASDAQ | 2837.53 | 0 |
| SP 500 | 1317.82 | 0 |
| NYSE COMPOSITE | 7534.32 | 0 |
| AMEX | 2227.37 | 0 |
| TSX-VENTURE | 1309.27 | 0 |
The data on this site is informational only and may be delayed; it is not intended as trading or investment advice and you should not rely on it as such.
Business Features
- Seniors float above Montreal's Quartier Latin
- Remains found in bag on Cape Breton river ID'd
- Accused in blast that killed Alberta mom handled her funds
- Neighbour may have helped find missing kids in Mexico
- Quebec students and province to resume talks
- Lip-dub marriage proposal an internet hit
- Runner dies after collapsing in Cape Breton race
- Canadian Pacific strikers face back-to-work legislation
- Syrian regime denies role in Houla massacre

