Quebec's recovery beating other provinces: TD
Last Updated: Tuesday, September 1, 2009 | 2:10 PM ET
CBC News
Quebec's economy is emerging from the global recession in better shape than those of other big provinces such as Ontario, Alberta and British Columbia, a report said Tuesday.
TD Bank Financial Group said Quebec's housing market has remained relatively buoyant while the same sector has crumbled in other provinces.
As a result, consumers in Canada's main-French-speaking province had sufficient confidence to continue spending even as the national economy slide into a recession in 2008.
Falling slower
Measured from the economy's most recent gross domestic product growth peak to its recessionary trough, Quebec's GDP contracted by 2.3 per cent. That number — while indicating a shrinking economy — was less than half of the 5.3 per cent experienced by the national economy, TD said.
"The Quebec economy would present a picture of relative stability through the major swings in the global economy as well as financial and commodity markets," Drummond wrote in the 12-page report.
The province also benefited from $30 billion in new infrastructure spending that was announced in 2007, he said.
"(Thus) many public works projects were already under way or 'shovel ready' as the recession hit," Drummond noted.
By contrast, other regions received new public works cash in the latest round of stimulus spending, a factor which likely will translate into later economic gains, economists said.
In addition, Quebec sidestepped most of the country's auto sector woes, unlike Ontario, the TD report said.
Longer term
Even with the province's relatively decent economic performance, Quebec faces big challenges in the coming years, Drummond said.
Quebec needs to deal with its expensive daycare system, says TD Bank. (CBC) He predicts Quebec will have to re-evaluate its big-ticket services, including $7-a-day childcare, low university tuition and below-market electricity rates.
The report also says Quebec will have to deal with a budget deficit, increased international competition and its aging workforce.
TD estimates that Quebec's population will begin to decline in 2014, one year later than the bank's 2007 forecast, but still a bad sign for economic growth.
with files from the Canadian PressShare Tools
Top News Headlines
- Raitt closer to ending CP Rail strike
- Labour Minister Lisa Raitt is prepared to end the Canadian Pacific Rail strike if necessary, after both CP Rail and the union rejected a proposal for voluntary arbitration by the government-appointed negotiator on Sunday. Raitt tells CBC News she is "extremely disappointed." more »
- Syrian regime denies role in Houla massacre
- The UN Security Council condemned the Syrian regime at an emergency meeting Sunday, holding president Bashar al-Assad's military responsible for the massacre of more than 100 people, dozens of whom were children younger than 10 years old. more »
- Ryder Hesjedal wins prestigious Giro d'Italia
- Victoria, B.C., native Ryder Hesjedal has become the first Canadian to win one of the cycling world's three Grand Tour events, wrapping up the 2012 Giro d'Italia with an excellent performance in the final stage in Milan. more »
- Neighbour may have helped find missing kids in Mexico
- Two Winnipeg children who had been missing for nearly four years were found in Mexico after a man raised concerns about his neighbour, according to a private investigator. more »
Latest Business Headlines
- Bankia asks Spain for €19B
- The board of directors of Spain's troubled bank, Bankia, has asked the Spanish government for €19 billion ($24.5 billion Cdn) in financial support. more »
- EI reforms aim to boost employment, Flaherty says
- Finance Minister Jim Flaherty defended his government's proposals to change employment insurance, saying the aim is to remove "disincentives to employment." more »
- Employment Insurance review boards to be scrapped
- The federal government is scrapping two review boards used by people appealing decisions made about their employment insurance. more »
- Ottawa moves to limit foreign investment reviews
- The federal government is raising to $1 billion the amount of foreign money that can go into a Canadian company before the investment is reviewed. The review has been used in the past to block foreign takeovers of MDA and Potash Corp. more »
Lang & O'Leary Exchange
Markets
| Index | Last Trade | Change |
|---|---|---|
| TSX COMPOSITE | 11576.47 | 10.4 |
| DOW | 12454.83 | -74.92 |
| NASDAQ | 2837.53 | -1.85 |
| SP 500 | 1317.82 | -2.86 |
| NYSE COMPOSITE | 7534.32 | -18.01 |
| AMEX | 2227.37 | 1.45 |
| TSX-VENTURE | 1309.27 | 26.8 |
The data on this site is informational only and may be delayed; it is not intended as trading or investment advice and you should not rely on it as such.
Business Features
- Teen struck by lightning in Ottawa dies
- Missing Winnipeg children found in Mexico
- Syrian regime denies role in Houla massacre
- Quebec tornadoes cause millions in damage
- Montreal protesters march in peaceful defiance
- Remains found in bag on Cape Breton river ID'd
- Woman's remains found in hockey bag on Cape Breton river
- Everest team unable to bring down Toronto woman's body
- Neighbour may have helped find missing kids in Mexico

